4
closed trades
25%
win rate
-10.39
total pnl ($)
1.118
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 04:02:07 (33.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
np
n: 6
· wr: 16.7%
· total_bps: -632.7
· mean_bps: -105.45
· sharpe: -1.37
· max_dd_bps: -632.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 4 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-07 22:13 | ETH | Sell | 1616.54→1656.99 | -11.75 | stop_loss |
| 05-31 20:17 | ETH | Sell | 2029.5→2001.5 | +5.85 | timeout |
| 05-01 21:36 | ETH | Sell | 2275.17→2290.23 | -3.39 | timeout |
| 04-26 01:47 | ETH | Sell | 2310.3→2313.9 | -1.11 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
4
closed
25%
win rate
-10.39
total pnl ($)
-57.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 4 | 25% | -57.5 | -10.39 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-01 21:36 | ETH | Sell | -3.39 | # Trade Post-Mortem: ETH NFT Floor Pump Fade (BAYC) **Market Context at Close:** ETH rallied +1.44% over 24h (closing at $2291.21) and +2.20% for BTC, reversing the flat 24h baseline that was present at trade entry; funding rates remained slightly negative… |
| 04-26 01:47 | ETH | Sell | -1.11 | ETH was grinding sideways with minimal intraday movement (-0.10% in the hour before close) while Bitcoin held steady, showing no follow-through momentum despite the NFT floor pump signal that triggered the short. The trade's thesis failed because the BAYC f… |