4
closed trades
50%
win rate
-16.84
total pnl ($)
1.101
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 03:55:31 (18.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
fu
n: 6
· wr: 50.0%
· total_bps: -5.9
· mean_bps: -0.99
· sharpe: -0.01
· max_dd_bps: -234.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 4 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 01:38 | ETH | Sell | 2115.49→2091.61 | +8.22 | timeout |
| 05-26 01:37 | BTC | Sell | 77294.1→76641.8 | +6.00 | timeout |
| 04-27 01:01 | BTC | Sell | 77988→79431 | -15.52 | stop_loss |
| 04-27 01:00 | ETH | Sell | 2348.6→2392.1 | -15.54 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
4
closed
50%
win rate
-16.84
total pnl ($)
-52.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 2 | 50% | -59.3 | -9.52 |
| ETH | 2 | 50% | -45.2 | -7.32 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 01:00 | ETH | Sell | -15.54 | ETH was rallying modestly with +3.00% over 24h and +0.84% in the final hour before the stop loss, supported by positive crypto momentum (BTC +1.94% daily) and stable funding rates at 0.00735%, showing no acute deleveraging pressure. The thesis failed becaus… |