3
closed trades
0%
win rate
-13.65
total pnl ($)
1.081
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-17 00:04:56 (36.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
g
n: 3
· wr: 0.0%
· total_bps: -467.2
· mean_bps: -155.73
· sharpe: -3.82
· max_dd_bps: -467.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 3 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 19:34 | ETH | Sell | 2279.5→2291 | -2.97 | timeout |
| 04-27 01:00 | ETH | Sell | 2347.9→2394.9 | -10.46 | stop_loss |
| 04-21 14:27 | ETH | Sell | 2316.5→2315.9 | -0.22 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
3
closed
0%
win rate
-13.65
total pnl ($)
-91.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 3 | 0% | -91.0 | -13.65 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 01:00 | ETH | Sell | -10.46 | ETH was in a modest uptrend at close, rising 3% over 24 hours and 4.51% over 7 days while BTC gained 1.94% daily, showing broad market strength that worked against the short thesis. The trade's bearish bet on NFT floor cascade weakness (MAYC -10.3%, BAYC -9… |
| 04-21 14:27 | ETH | Sell | -0.22 | ETH was trading flat to slightly negative at $2315.83 with minimal directional momentum across the 1-hour, 24-hour, and 7-day timeframes. The thesis failed because the NFT floor cascade signal (BAYC -11.1%, Pudgy Penguins -7.2%, Doodles -5.6%) didn't transl… |