news_panic_social_shock_short · strategy

212

closed trades

40%

win rate

-86.11

total pnl ($)

1.121

weight

7d window — n=60 wr=45% pnl=-19.71 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-03 16:49:59 (24.3d ago) · src: canon

verdict: INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: strategies_batch_alf

n: 3 · wr: 100.0% · total_bps: +90.0 · mean_bps: +30.01 · sharpe: +1.72 · max_dd_bps: +0.0

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 23:39	BTC	Sell	60181→60029	+0.81	timeout
06-27 21:15	BTC	Sell	60260→60358	-1.27	timeout
06-27 18:18	BTC	Sell	60575→60520	+0.00	timeout
06-27 15:51	BTC	Sell	60583→60746	-1.80	timeout
06-27 10:15	BTC	Sell	60252→60444	-2.04	timeout
06-27 06:28	BTC	Sell	60226→60195	-0.19	timeout
06-27 01:46	BTC	Sell	59918→59943	-0.66	timeout
06-26 23:27	BTC	Sell	59878→60006	-1.52	timeout
06-26 21:26	BTC	Sell	59695→59775	-1.12	timeout
06-26 19:16	BTC	Sell	60034→59972	+0.07	timeout
06-26 17:16	BTC	Sell	60231→60174	+0.03	timeout
06-26 15:17	BTC	Sell	59989→59891	+0.37	timeout
06-26 13:15	BTC	Sell	59496→59139	+2.55	timeout
06-26 11:23	BTC	Sell	59718→59462	+1.70	timeout
06-26 08:53	BTC	Sell	60526→60182	+2.39	timeout
06-26 06:44	BTC	Sell	59866→60339	-4.40	timeout
06-26 03:38	BTC	Sell	58797.1→59363.6	-5.27	stop_loss
06-26 01:40	BTC	Sell	59825→59327	+3.71	timeout
06-25 23:33	BTC	Sell	59720→60129	-3.87	timeout
06-25 19:25	BTC	Sell	59557→59293	+1.77	timeout
06-25 16:11	BTC	Sell	59478→60050	-5.26	stop_loss
06-25 14:08	BTC	Sell	58861.1→59426.7	-5.26	stop_loss
06-25 11:11	BTC	Sell	61613.9→61080.1	+3.88	timeout
06-25 09:12	BTC	Sell	61758.9→61746.1	-0.35	timeout
06-25 06:32	BTC	Sell	61602.9→61674.1	-1.03	timeout
06-25 04:21	BTC	Sell	60736→60828	-1.21	timeout
06-25 02:09	BTC	Sell	60722→60839	-1.41	timeout
06-25 00:02	BTC	Sell	60810→61066.1	-2.55	timeout
06-24 20:01	BTC	Sell	59568→60141.1	-5.27	stop_loss
06-24 18:11	BTC	Sell	59823→59532	+1.98	timeout
06-24 16:12	BTC	Sell	60868→60455	+2.94	timeout
06-24 14:12	BTC	Sell	61976.9→61181.1	+5.97	timeout
06-24 11:48	BTC	Sell	62372.9→62972.6	-5.26	stop_loss
06-24 10:10	BTC	Sell	62707.9→62587.1	+0.51	timeout
06-24 07:11	BTC	Sell	62843.9→62746.1	+0.33	timeout
06-24 04:52	BTC	Sell	62768.9→62754.1	-0.33	timeout
06-24 02:46	BTC	Sell	62945.9→62698.1	+1.52	timeout
06-24 00:01	BTC	Sell	62505.9→62771.1	-2.57	timeout
06-23 20:18	BTC	Sell	62301.9→62412.1	-1.33	timeout
06-23 18:02	BTC	Sell	62513.9→62401.1	+0.45	timeout
06-23 15:43	BTC	Sell	62546.9→62284.1	+1.66	timeout
06-23 13:32	BTC	Sell	62358.9→62411.1	-0.87	timeout
06-23 08:28	BTC	Sell	62891.9→61953.1	+7.01	take_profit
06-23 07:14	BTC	Sell	63122.8→63011.2	+0.44	timeout
06-23 05:15	BTC	Sell	64019.8→63543.2	+3.27	timeout
06-23 02:54	BTC	Sell	64037.8→64211.2	-1.80	timeout
06-23 00:57	BTC	Sell	64023.8→64097.2	-1.02	timeout
06-22 22:55	BTC	Sell	64246.8→63967.2	+1.73	timeout
06-22 20:53	BTC	Sell	64415.8→64396.2	-0.30	timeout
06-22 18:49	BTC	Sell	64461.8→64465.2	-0.47	timeout
06-22 16:34	BTC	Sell	65057.7→64645.2	+2.72	timeout
06-22 14:05	BTC	Sell	65095.7→65361.3	-2.48	timeout
06-22 11:36	BTC	Sell	64080.8→64697.6	-5.26	stop_loss
06-22 09:55	BTC	Sell	64097.8→64113.2	-0.57	timeout
06-21 23:20	BTC	Sell	63644.8→63722.2	-1.06	timeout
06-21 18:28	BTC	Sell	64075.8→64014.2	+0.03	timeout
06-21 16:24	BTC	Sell	64160.8→64198.2	-0.74	timeout
06-21 11:41	BTC	Sell	64334.8→64214.2	+0.49	timeout
06-21 08:52	BTC	Sell	64181.8→63916.2	+1.63	timeout
06-21 04:51	BTC	Sell	64394.8→64323.2	+0.11	timeout
06-21 00:43	BTC	Sell	64286.8→64282.2	-0.41	timeout
06-20 22:40	BTC	Sell	63931.8→64230.2	-2.78	timeout
06-20 20:38	BTC	Sell	63859.8→63849.2	-0.37	timeout
06-20 18:42	BTC	Sell	63850.8→63815.2	-0.17	timeout
06-20 16:33	BTC	Sell	64162.8→63908.2	+1.54	timeout
06-20 14:20	BTC	Sell	63500.8→63285.2	+1.25	timeout
06-20 04:09	BTC	Sell	63299.8→63375.2	-1.05	timeout
06-20 00:22	BTC	Sell	63262.8→63454.2	-1.96	timeout
06-19 22:20	BTC	Sell	63222.8→63192.2	-0.21	timeout
06-19 17:41	BTC	Sell	63257.8→63042.2	+1.25	timeout
06-19 15:40	BTC	Sell	63321.8→63103.2	+1.27	timeout
06-19 13:38	BTC	Sell	62452.9→62837.1	-3.53	timeout
06-19 11:22	BTC	Sell	62426.9→62626.1	-2.05	timeout
06-19 08:41	BTC	Sell	62494.9→62623.1	-1.48	timeout
06-19 06:39	BTC	Sell	62568.9→62714.1	-1.61	timeout
06-19 00:39	BTC	Sell	62867.9→62992.1	-1.44	timeout
06-18 22:29	BTC	Sell	62941.9→62806.1	+0.62	timeout
06-18 20:26	BTC	Sell	62767.9→63116.2	-3.23	timeout
06-18 15:37	BTC	Sell	63948.8→62980.1	+7.12	take_profit
06-18 13:42	BTC	Sell	64181.8→63916.2	+1.62	timeout
06-18 11:36	BTC	Sell	63968.8→64005.2	-0.73	timeout
06-18 08:57	BTC	Sell	64442.8→64374.2	+0.08	timeout
06-18 06:30	BTC	Sell	63935.8→63968.2	-0.70	timeout
06-18 04:11	BTC	Sell	64515.8→64041.2	+3.23	timeout
06-18 02:10	BTC	Sell	64725.8→64541.2	+0.98	timeout
06-17 23:04	BTC	Sell	63955.8→64369.2	-3.68	timeout
06-17 21:05	BTC	Sell	64420.8→64322.2	+0.31	timeout
06-17 18:05	BTC	Sell	65996.7→65013.3	+7.00	take_profit
06-17 16:26	BTC	Sell	65457.7→66088.3	-5.27	stop_loss
06-17 14:40	BTC	Sell	65194.7→65065.3	+0.54	timeout
06-17 12:38	BTC	Sell	64744.8→64809.2	-0.94	timeout
06-17 10:37	BTC	Sell	64942.8→64924.2	-0.30	timeout
06-17 08:16	BTC	Sell	65666.7→65292.3	+2.40	timeout
06-17 06:16	BTC	Sell	65735.7→65819.3	-1.08	timeout
06-17 03:46	BTC	Sell	65850.7→65744.3	+0.36	timeout
06-17 01:32	BTC	Sell	65729.7→65560.3	+0.84	timeout
06-16 23:29	BTC	Sell	65743.7→65712.3	-0.21	timeout
06-16 21:28	BTC	Sell	65683.7→65704.3	-0.60	timeout
06-16 19:16	BTC	Sell	66027.7→65564.3	+3.06	timeout
06-16 17:12	BTC	Sell	65829.7→65796.3	-0.19	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

212

closed

40%

win rate

-86.11

total pnl ($)

-8.1 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	212	40%	-8.1	-86.11

Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)

time	sym	side	reason
06-27 22:42	BTC	Sell	circuit_breaker

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…