negative_funding_short_squeeze_setup

not live
28
closed trades
50%
win rate
+31.96
total pnl ($)
1.227
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-20 06:03:35 (38.6d ago) · src: canon
verdict: PASS  ·  strict: STRICT-PASS  ·  batch: zf
n: 98  ·  wr: 61.2%  ·  total_bps: +1675.0  ·  mean_bps: +17.09  ·  sharpe: +0.21  ·  max_dd_bps: -1114.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 28 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
05-12 06:43BTCBuy81724.1→81715.9-0.49timeout
05-10 09:08BTCBuy80576→80829+1.11timeout
05-10 08:37BTCBuy80709→80827+0.26timeout
05-10 08:06BTCBuy80607→80679-0.03timeout
05-10 07:15BTCBuy80696→80701-0.42timeout
05-09 17:34BTCBuy80229→80806+3.14timeout
05-09 17:04BTCBuy80375→80644+1.21timeout
05-09 16:20BTCBuy80367→80654+1.29timeout
05-09 10:13BTCBuy80417→80158-2.05timeout
05-09 09:32BTCBuy80314→80221-1.01timeout
05-09 09:03BTCBuy80205→80366+0.58timeout
05-09 08:32BTCBuy80148→80384+1.04timeout
05-09 08:01BTCBuy80163→80272+0.21timeout
05-07 09:21BTCBuy81024.1→81030.9-0.41timeout
05-07 08:31BTCBuy81187.1→81404.9+0.88timeout
05-07 04:32BTCBuy81401.1→80945-3.27timeout
05-07 03:16BTCBuy81201.1→81032.9-1.49timeout
05-07 02:45BTCBuy81366.1→80994-2.74timeout
05-07 01:19BTCBuy81360.1→81015.9-2.55timeout
05-07 00:31BTCBuy81486.1→81178.9-2.29timeout
05-06 13:18BTCBuy80239→81999.9+10.44timeout
05-06 13:18BTCBuy80337→81999.9+9.81timeout
05-06 13:18BTCBuy80256→81999.9+10.32timeout
05-06 10:54BTCBuy79747→82294.9+15.45take_profit
05-04 23:50BTCBuy79761→79741-0.54timeout
05-04 23:10BTCBuy80091→79858-1.87timeout
05-04 22:27BTCBuy79357→80231+5.09timeout
05-04 10:20BTCBuy79727→78247.9-9.72stop_loss

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
28
closed
50%
win rate
+31.96
total pnl ($)
+23.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC2850%+23.0+31.96

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
05-10 09:08BTCBuy+1.11BTC was trading in a tight range near $81,479 with low volatility and slightly positive momentum over 24 hours. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the allotted time.
05-10 08:37BTCBuy+0.26BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing mild positive momentum across timeframes. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the holding period.
05-10 08:06BTCBuy-0.03BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing mild upward drift across timeframes. The thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching the target or stop, as the market remained range-bound and the timeout closed the position at a …
05-10 07:15BTCBuy-0.42BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility and neutral funding. The trade failed because the timeout triggered before the expected move materialized in the sideways market.
05-09 17:34BTCBuy+3.14The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC declining 1.61% over 24 hours and negative momentum across the 1h and 7d periods. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, indicating the expected price movement did not materialize within …
05-09 17:04BTCBuy+1.21The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC down across all timeframes and negative funding. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected move did not materialize within the holding period.
05-09 16:20BTCBuy+1.29BTC was in a mild downtrend across all timeframes with low funding and declining open interest. The trade's small profit came from a brief intraday bounce, but the timeout close prevented capturing further gains as the broader bearish regime persisted.
05-09 10:13BTCBuy-2.05BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing a slight 1-hour gain but a broader 7-day decline. The trade failed because the entry never triggered, and the position was closed by timeout without any price action to validate the thesis.
05-09 09:32BTCBuy-1.01The market was in a mild intraday uptick but remained in a broader downtrend over 24h and 7d, with low funding and declining open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, likely from a lack of directional conviction or insu…
05-09 09:03BTCBuy+0.58The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with moderate open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without reaching a target or stop, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the allotte…