13
closed trades
15%
win rate
-90.20
total pnl ($)
1.065
weight
7d window — n=1 wr=0% pnl=-13.79
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-18 19:31:42 (34.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
abb__restored_7fdebbdb
n: 29
· wr: 41.4%
· total_bps: -233.9
· mean_bps: -8.06
· sharpe: -0.07
· max_dd_bps: -1075.9
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 13 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 15:37 | BTC | Buy | 64044.2→62839.4 | -13.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 21:33 | BTC | Buy | 61222.1→62016.9 | +8.48 | timeout |
| 06-05 18:44 | BTC | Buy | 60707→59578.2 | -13.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 11:11 | BTC | Buy | 63343.2→62164.8 | -13.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 08:01 | BTC | Buy | 64621.2→63419.1 | -13.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 23:54 | BTC | Buy | 65311.3→64093.7 | -13.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 16:22 | BTC | Buy | 66953.3→65707.8 | -13.66 | stop_loss |
| 05-24 02:46 | BTC | Buy | 76796.8→76780.2 | -0.81 | timeout |
| 05-22 20:24 | BTC | Buy | 76735.8→75881.2 | -8.45 | timeout |
| 05-19 01:36 | BTC | Buy | 76742.8→76912.2 | +0.90 | timeout |
| 05-18 19:36 | BTC | Buy | 77111.9→76684.2 | -4.54 | timeout |
| 05-15 21:24 | BTC | Buy | 79248→79082 | -2.08 | timeout |
| 04-30 05:53 | BTC | Buy | 75779→75672 | -1.62 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
13
closed
15%
win rate
-90.20
total pnl ($)
-99.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 13 | 15% | -99.1 | -90.20 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 05:53 | BTC | BUY | -1.62 | At close, Bitcoin had declined 2.21% over 24 hours and 3.16% over 7 days, with funding rates turning negative (-0.004423%) despite elevated open interest, signaling weakening bullish conviction. The capitulation long thesis failed because the entry at $75,7… |