mstr_premium_fear_greed_regime

not live
1
closed trades
0%
win rate
-0.06
total pnl ($)
1.211
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-20 06:12:49 (33.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: gy__restored_fc710820
n: 5  ·  wr: 20.0%  ·  total_bps: -459.8  ·  mean_bps: -91.95  ·  sharpe: -1.05  ·  max_dd_bps: -459.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 1 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
05-02 15:16BTCSell78468.1→78398.9-0.06timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
1
closed
0%
win rate
-0.06
total pnl ($)
-0.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC10%-0.2-0.06

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
05-02 15:16BTCSell-0.06Bitcoin traded sideways with a slight 24-hour decline of -0.22%, showing resilience near $78,357 with minimal directional conviction as the RISK-OFF regime persisted (FG=26). The trade's thesis failed because while the MSTR premium compression signal was ma…