41
closed trades
27%
win rate
-40.02
total pnl ($)
1.038
weight
7d window — n=22 wr=27% pnl=-5.72
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-22 11:29:21 (30.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
aug
n: 313
· wr: 38.3%
· total_bps: -3658.9
· mean_bps: -11.69
· sharpe: -0.23
· max_dd_bps: -3723.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 41 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 05:34 | BTC | Buy | 63985.2→64220.8 | +1.39 | timeout |
| 06-21 23:30 | BTC | Buy | 63581.2→63602.8 | -0.28 | timeout |
| 06-21 17:27 | BTC | Buy | 64180.2→64126.8 | -0.86 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:25 | BTC | Buy | 64308.2→64287.8 | -0.61 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:22 | BTC | Buy | 64477.2→64232.8 | -2.35 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:19 | BTC | Buy | 64082.2→64248.8 | +0.85 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:18 | BTC | Buy | 64001.2→63892.8 | -1.30 | timeout |
| 06-20 11:15 | BTC | Buy | 63664.2→63631.8 | -0.71 | timeout |
| 06-20 05:10 | BTC | Buy | 63388.2→63805.8 | +2.84 | timeout |
| 06-19 23:07 | BTC | Buy | 63033.2→63265.8 | +1.39 | timeout |
| 06-19 17:05 | BTC | Buy | 63157.2→62874.9 | -2.68 | timeout |
| 06-19 11:03 | BTC | Buy | 62365.1→62522.9 | +0.82 | timeout |
| 06-19 05:28 | BTC | Buy | 62726.1→62575.9 | -1.65 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:12 | BTC | Buy | 62913.1→62787.9 | -1.44 | timeout |
| 06-18 17:19 | BTC | Buy | 62518.1→62563.9 | -0.07 | timeout |
| 06-18 11:18 | BTC | Buy | 63959.2→63963.8 | -0.42 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:11 | BTC | Buy | 63930.2→63918.8 | -0.54 | timeout |
| 06-17 22:59 | BTC | Buy | 64230.2→64261.8 | -0.20 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:48 | BTC | Buy | 65512.3→65953.7 | +2.92 | timeout |
| 06-17 10:37 | BTC | Buy | 64949.2→64905.8 | -0.79 | timeout |
| 06-17 04:41 | BTC | Buy | 65793.3→65894.7 | +0.32 | timeout |
| 06-16 22:35 | BTC | Buy | 65678.3→65685.7 | -0.40 | timeout |
| 06-16 16:29 | BTC | Buy | 65762.3→65746.7 | -0.57 | timeout |
| 06-12 14:45 | BTC | Buy | 63176.2→63503.8 | +2.14 | timeout |
| 06-11 15:24 | BTC | Buy | 62908.1→62764.9 | -1.59 | timeout |
| 06-11 09:15 | BTC | Buy | 62789.1→62790.9 | -0.44 | timeout |
| 06-11 03:07 | BTC | Buy | 62160.1→62036.9 | -1.44 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:59 | BTC | Buy | 61954.1→61770.9 | -1.93 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:57 | BTC | Buy | 62125.1→61847.9 | -2.68 | timeout |
| 06-10 08:50 | BTC | Buy | 61681.1→61204.9 | -4.30 | timeout |
| 06-09 20:44 | BTC | Buy | 61862.1→62016.9 | +0.80 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:21 | BTC | Buy | 62225.1→61623.1 | -5.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 14:48 | BTC | Buy | 63423.2→63859.8 | +2.99 | timeout |
| 06-05 19:48 | BTC | Buy | 59550→60438 | +7.01 | take_profit |
| 06-05 13:41 | BTC | Buy | 62220.1→61623.1 | -5.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 15:48 | BTC | Buy | 64284.2→63667 | -5.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 09:29 | BTC | Buy | 63343.2→62728.5 | -5.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 05:03 | BTC | Buy | 64627.2→64006.8 | -5.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 20:55 | BTC | Buy | 65305.3→64652.4 | -5.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 14:33 | BTC | Buy | 67131.4→66732.7 | -3.42 | timeout |
| 05-25 12:15 | BTC | Buy | 77411.9→77324.1 | -1.02 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
41
closed
27%
win rate
-40.02
total pnl ($)
-19.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 41 | 27% | -19.5 | -40.02 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 04:50 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||