13
closed trades
15%
win rate
-68.12
total pnl ($)
0.983
weight
7d window — n=1 wr=0% pnl=-12.76
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 19:33:33 (33.6d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
aba__restored_6d487d01
n: 7
· wr: 42.9%
· total_bps: -15.0
· mean_bps: -2.15
· sharpe: -0.02
· max_dd_bps: -163.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 13 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 15:40 | BTC | Buy | 63871.2→62671.5 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 20:57 | BTC | Buy | 61025.1→62016.9 | +10.00 | timeout |
| 06-05 18:44 | BTC | Buy | 60782→59651.2 | -12.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 10:30 | BTC | Buy | 63551.2→62365.7 | -12.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 08:24 | BTC | Buy | 63936.2→63377.8 | -6.27 | timeout |
| 06-03 23:51 | BTC | Buy | 65353.3→64137.7 | -12.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 18:48 | BTC | Buy | 66687.3→66055.7 | -6.76 | timeout |
| 05-24 01:46 | BTC | Buy | 76741.8→76803.2 | -0.08 | timeout |
| 05-22 19:23 | BTC | Buy | 76784.8→76346.2 | -4.31 | timeout |
| 05-19 05:21 | BTC | Buy | 77402.9→76728.2 | -6.27 | timeout |
| 05-18 23:36 | BTC | Buy | 76385.8→76982.2 | +4.47 | timeout |
| 05-18 18:35 | BTC | Buy | 77153.9→76366.2 | -7.24 | timeout |
| 04-30 04:04 | BTC | Buy | 75858→75828 | -0.84 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
13
closed
15%
win rate
-68.12
total pnl ($)
-80.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 13 | 15% | -80.6 | -68.12 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 04:04 | BTC | BUY | -0.84 | # Trade Analysis: MSTR Premium Compression NAV Discount Fear Long BTC traded sideways to slightly down at close ($75,862, -1.40% on the day, -2.72% weekly), with compressed 1-hour volatility (0.19%) and negative funding rates (-0.004134%), indicating weak … |