mstr_etf_confluence_long

not live
3
closed trades
33%
win rate
-2.52
total pnl ($)
1.093
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-20 03:34:06 (33.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: ko
n: 7  ·  wr: 57.1%  ·  total_bps: -21.9  ·  mean_bps: -3.13  ·  sharpe: -0.13  ·  max_dd_bps: -73.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 3 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
05-07 03:49BTCBuy81053.1→80890-1.46timeout
05-06 21:48BTCBuy81278.1→81517.9+1.03timeout
05-05 00:01BTCBuy80013→79750-2.09timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
3
closed
33%
win rate
-2.52
total pnl ($)
-16.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC333%-16.8-2.52

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
05-07 03:49BTCBuy-1.46The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with stable open interest. The thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching the target or stop, resulting in a small loss from funding costs.
05-06 21:48BTCBuy+1.03BTC was in a mild intraday uptick within a broader weekly downtrend, with low volatility and neutral funding. The thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout without reaching a target or stop, as the market lacked the directional momentum needed to …
05-05 00:01BTCBuy-2.09The market was in a low-volatility consolidation phase with minimal price movement and neutral funding rates. The trade failed because the anticipated breakout did not materialize within the allotted time, resulting in a timeout exit.