220
closed trades
39%
win rate
-475.05
total pnl ($)
0.538
weight
7d window — n=50 wr=36% pnl=-115.38
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 01:10:13 (38.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
akw
n: 163
· wr: 46.6%
· total_bps: -861.4
· mean_bps: -5.28
· sharpe: -0.06
· max_dd_bps: -1475.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 11:41 | SOL | Buy | 72.1838→71.6033 | -6.67 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:22 | XRP | Buy | 1.06337→1.05834 | -4.18 | timeout |
| 06-27 05:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.147507→0.147563 | -0.41 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:19 | SOL | Buy | 72.2528→71.6642 | -6.74 | timeout |
| 06-26 15:39 | ADA | Buy | 0.143416→0.148033 | +23.44 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:22 | SOL | Buy | 67.0101→69.1496 | +23.25 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.143306→0.140565 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:33 | SOL | Buy | 66.0819→67.0769 | +10.62 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:19 | BTC | Buy | 59162→59858 | +8.13 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:45 | DOGE | Buy | 0.075991→0.0745431 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.148187→0.145291 | -15.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:56 | BTC | Buy | 61300.1→61155.9 | -2.43 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:56 | XRP | Buy | 1.08027→1.07283 | -5.83 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:14 | ADA | Buy | 0.147247→0.148833 | +7.43 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:01 | BTC | Buy | 60027→60871 | +9.88 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:07 | XRP | Buy | 1.05706→1.07113 | +9.36 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.140775→0.145214 | +23.00 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | ETH | Buy | 1628.46→1597.54 | -14.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:38 | BTC | Buy | 61729.1→60579.7 | -14.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:01 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0779685→0.0764826 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.147337→0.144432 | -15.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:23 | ETH | Buy | 1673.17→1641.81 | -14.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | SOL | Buy | 69.7515→68.4195 | -15.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 09:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0796279→0.0787093 | -9.29 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:15 | BTC | Buy | 62545.1→62775.9 | +2.07 | timeout |
| 06-23 23:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.150578→0.151042 | +1.64 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:22 | ETH | Buy | 1652.07→1662.23 | +3.93 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:24 | BTC | Buy | 62590.1→62558.9 | -1.01 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:18 | XRP | Buy | 1.11428→1.10722 | -5.37 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:17 | SOL | Buy | 69.7005→68.3825 | -14.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 02:47 | ETH | Buy | 1738.37→1731.23 | -3.78 | timeout |
| 06-23 02:47 | BTC | Buy | 64372.2→64133.8 | -3.45 | timeout |
| 06-22 21:39 | XRP | Buy | 1.14659→1.12476 | -14.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 16:32 | BTC | Buy | 64213.2→64639.8 | +4.31 | timeout |
| 06-22 15:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.16172→0.158641 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.16031→0.162619 | +10.06 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0837259→0.0836241 | -1.61 | timeout |
| 06-22 07:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.15854→0.16035 | +7.86 | timeout |
| 06-22 00:45 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833078→0.0829663 | -3.74 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.16147→0.15942 | -10.17 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:20 | BTC | Buy | 64173.2→64180.8 | -0.57 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:21 | ETH | Buy | 1728.87→1726.73 | -1.63 | timeout |
| 06-21 13:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.16039→0.16133 | +3.71 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:49 | BTC | Buy | 64243.2→63898.8 | -4.76 | timeout |
| 06-21 07:26 | ETH | Buy | 1741.27→1732.43 | -4.48 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.162991→0.15989 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 23:04 | ETH | Buy | 1736.77→1742.63 | +1.79 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:58 | XRP | Buy | 1.14619→1.15191 | +3.00 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.084144→0.0837321 | -4.38 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:46 | SOL | Buy | 71.6707→71.1683 | -5.99 | timeout |
| 06-20 11:35 | XRP | Buy | 1.13868→1.14811 | +5.57 | timeout |
| 06-20 03:54 | SOL | Buy | 69.0784→69.9975 | +9.26 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.16051→0.1615 | +4.00 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:09 | ETH | Buy | 1696.87→1695.43 | -1.32 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:09 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0826887→0.0826143 | -1.30 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.164241→0.161029 | -15.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 23:33 | BTC | Buy | 63182.2→62893.9 | -4.08 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:36 | SOL | Buy | 70.9156→69.5668 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 14:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.16619→1.15891 | -5.31 | timeout |
| 06-18 03:31 | ETH | Buy | 1746.07→1746.03 | -0.69 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.169022→0.165676 | -15.58 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:49 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859065→0.0871972 | +10.52 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:28 | SOL | Buy | 72.2908→74.5978 | +23.23 | take_profit |
| 06-17 11:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.214→1.19091 | -14.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 05:28 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0875389→0.0874491 | -1.45 | timeout |
| 06-17 04:18 | XRP | Buy | 1.22181→1.2155 | -4.56 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.174764→0.171431 | -15.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:34 | BTC | Buy | 66275.3→65409.7 | -10.51 | timeout |
| 06-16 13:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.24751→1.22368 | -15.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 11:50 | SOL | Buy | 73.7271→74.4258 | +6.39 | timeout |
| 06-16 06:47 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087979→0.0875631 | -4.17 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.180305→0.176787 | -15.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 21:07 | XRP | Buy | 1.27742→1.25306 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:19 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0904096→0.0886555 | -15.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 18:37 | BTC | Buy | 65707.3→66787.7 | +11.61 | timeout |
| 06-15 13:06 | ETH | Buy | 1725.07→1780.02 | +23.20 | take_profit |
| 06-15 11:23 | XRP | Buy | 1.184→1.22129 | +22.95 | take_profit |
| 06-15 06:35 | XRP | Buy | 1.17589→1.1819 | +3.20 | timeout |
| 06-15 02:47 | ADA | Buy | 0.182876→0.179375 | -15.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 23:21 | BTC | Buy | 64020.2→65505.7 | +16.73 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.13428→1.17001 | +22.98 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:18 | SOL | Buy | 66.98→69.1126 | +23.28 | take_profit |
| 06-14 14:10 | SOL | Buy | 68.4513→67.6359 | -9.53 | timeout |
| 06-14 10:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.172943→0.170477 | -11.23 | timeout |
| 06-14 09:45 | BTC | Buy | 64577.2→64526.8 | -1.28 | timeout |
| 06-14 05:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.14599→1.14471 | -1.44 | timeout |
| 06-14 00:08 | BTC | Buy | 64070.2→64418.8 | +3.40 | timeout |
| 06-13 22:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0882501→0.087874 | -3.95 | timeout |
| 06-13 16:36 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0873378→0.0876891 | +2.27 | timeout |
| 06-13 15:38 | BTC | Buy | 63799.2→64292.8 | +5.12 | timeout |
| 06-13 13:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.170553→0.173367 | +11.66 | timeout |
| 06-13 05:58 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0867677→0.0858675 | -8.30 | timeout |
| 06-12 21:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.170373→0.170157 | -1.64 | timeout |
| 06-12 19:14 | XRP | Buy | 1.14439→1.13212 | -8.64 | timeout |
| 06-12 16:03 | SOL | Buy | 68.3192→67.0194 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 15:07 | SOL | Buy | 66.2379→68.3537 | +23.21 | take_profit |
| 06-12 06:35 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0868897→0.085239 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 03:23 | XRP | Buy | 1.14089→1.14151 | -0.28 | timeout |
| 06-11 23:21 | SOL | Buy | 65.7399→66.73 | +10.55 | timeout |
| 06-11 19:30 | XRP | Buy | 1.11178→1.14761 | +23.49 | take_profit |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
220
closed
39%
win rate
-475.05
total pnl ($)
-28.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 50 | 40% | -55.5 | -207.79 |
| BTC | 38 | 42% | -10.4 | -30.07 |
| XRP | 36 | 39% | -17.3 | -46.18 |
| DOGE | 35 | 29% | -40.8 | -107.59 |
| ETH | 31 | 35% | -34.3 | -79.98 |
| SOL | 30 | 47% | -1.6 | -3.44 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||