445
closed trades
39%
win rate
-390.91
total pnl ($)
0.702
weight
7d window — n=100 wr=41% pnl=-87.68
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-22 12:32:16 (36.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
aui
n: 37
· wr: 43.2%
· total_bps: -106.6
· mean_bps: -2.88
· sharpe: -0.04
· max_dd_bps: -740.9
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 00:36 | INJ | Buy | 4.91193→4.84087 | -7.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 23:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.42441→6.56256 | +10.30 | take_profit |
| 06-26 22:07 | ETH | Buy | 1574.86→1570.44 | -1.86 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:07 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0752758→0.0752062 | -0.93 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.04006→1.03894 | -0.99 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:03 | SOL | Buy | 72.8859→71.8743 | -7.40 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 19:16 | INJ | Sell | 4.8047→4.87255 | -7.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 17:28 | SUI | Buy | 0.683881→0.698595 | +10.29 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:55 | ADA | Sell | 0.142644→0.144648 | -7.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:53 | LINK | Sell | 7.11482→7.21491 | -7.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:51 | ETH | Sell | 1528.95→1549.93 | -7.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:43 | SOL | Sell | 68.6057→69.5572 | -7.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:40 | INJ | Buy | 4.54514→4.47914 | -7.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:32 | SUI | Sell | 0.673642→0.683212 | -7.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 04:18 | LINK | Buy | 7.06557→7.22009 | +10.48 | take_profit |
| 06-26 03:56 | ETH | Buy | 1529.05→1562.54 | +10.50 | take_profit |
| 06-26 03:53 | ARB | Buy | 0.0709377→0.0724919 | +10.50 | take_profit |
| 06-26 03:45 | NEAR | Buy | 1.76984→1.80865 | +10.51 | take_profit |
| 06-26 03:14 | INJ | Buy | 4.21985→4.31172 | +10.43 | take_profit |
| 06-25 21:36 | AVAX | Buy | 6.09982→6.23314 | +10.48 | take_profit |
| 06-25 21:13 | OP | Buy | 0.100895→0.103064 | +10.29 | take_profit |
| 06-25 20:10 | INJ | Buy | 4.15454→4.19995 | +5.02 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:13 | XRP | Buy | 1.04216→1.02743 | -7.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 18:17 | BNB | Buy | 548.877→557.641 | +7.51 | timeout |
| 06-25 18:14 | SOL | Buy | 66.923→65.9991 | -7.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:34 | BTC | Sell | 59972→59497 | +3.51 | timeout |
| 06-25 16:09 | ETH | Buy | 1550.15→1584.14 | +10.51 | take_profit |
| 06-25 16:06 | OP | Buy | 0.101225→0.103534 | +10.95 | take_profit |
| 06-25 15:03 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0743934→0.0727902 | +10.32 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:58 | NEAR | Sell | 1.86453→1.82366 | +10.51 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:55 | APT | Sell | 0.59785→0.584846 | +10.43 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:54 | ARB | Sell | 0.0732317→0.0716479 | +10.36 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:43 | INJ | Buy | 4.29517→4.23262 | -7.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:34 | ATOM | Buy | 1.62611→1.6033 | -7.43 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 10:28 | SOL | Buy | 69.4124→68.4305 | -7.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 09:15 | NEAR | Buy | 1.96929→1.94174 | -7.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 00:57 | INJ | Buy | 4.25876→4.19905 | -7.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:01 | LTC | Buy | 39.4809→40.3689 | +10.81 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:01 | AVAX | Buy | 6.02841→6.16646 | +11.00 | take_profit |
| 06-24 19:53 | ARB | Sell | 0.0735616→0.0742686 | -5.28 | timeout |
| 06-24 18:25 | SOL | Buy | 64.9517→66.37 | +10.47 | take_profit |
| 06-24 18:13 | SUI | Sell | 0.656286→0.665499 | -7.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:22 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0742486→0.0732081 | -7.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:22 | OP | Buy | 0.0963741→0.0949787 | -7.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:20 | INJ | Buy | 4.24046→4.16497 | -9.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:46 | BNB | Buy | 568.972→560.909 | -7.53 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:45 | ETH | Buy | 1644.76→1622.13 | -7.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:18 | INJ | Buy | 4.30438→4.31442 | +0.74 | timeout |
| 06-24 13:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0779985→0.0769023 | -7.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | OP | Buy | 0.101105→0.0994454 | -8.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.147407→0.145331 | -7.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | ARB | Buy | 0.0780495→0.0769223 | -7.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:37 | AVAX | Sell | 6.4016→6.391 | +0.39 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:04 | APT | Buy | 0.646362→0.64114 | -4.49 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:25 | ATOM | Buy | 1.68752→1.69668 | +2.32 | timeout |
| 06-24 00:10 | OP | Buy | 0.099855→0.102044 | +10.56 | take_profit |
| 06-23 22:16 | INJ | Buy | 4.54544→4.59445 | +4.96 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:56 | ADA | Buy | 0.149907→0.150042 | +0.01 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:33 | SOL | Buy | 69.1954→69.0526 | -1.45 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:33 | APT | Buy | 0.635359→0.636741 | +0.64 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:33 | LINK | Buy | 7.607→7.6108 | -0.21 | timeout |
| 06-23 15:47 | SUI | Buy | 0.709137→0.699135 | -7.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 15:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0796679→0.0785491 | -7.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 13:02 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77044→1.74549 | -7.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 13:02 | AVAX | Buy | 6.22456→6.24004 | +0.80 | timeout |
| 06-23 11:30 | ARB | Buy | 0.0774193→0.0785604 | +6.93 | timeout |
| 06-23 11:18 | SOL | Buy | 68.5773→68.8947 | +1.91 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:28 | AVAX | Buy | 6.09632→6.01079 | -7.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:46 | SUI | Sell | 0.68077→0.690357 | -7.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:20 | OP | Buy | 0.100485→0.0990557 | -7.57 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:47 | INJ | Buy | 4.70538→4.63942 | -7.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 01:51 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78635→1.78785 | -0.01 | timeout |
| 06-23 01:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.157659→0.1583 | +1.65 | timeout |
| 06-23 01:37 | AVAX | Buy | 6.17934→6.25304 | +5.55 | timeout |
| 06-23 01:35 | NEAR | Buy | 2.06182→2.03277 | -7.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 01:31 | INJ | Buy | 4.7915→4.8047 | +0.92 | timeout |
| 06-22 15:50 | OP | Buy | 0.103436→0.102374 | -5.59 | timeout |
| 06-22 15:36 | ATOM | Buy | 1.82966→1.80345 | -7.62 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 14:17 | NEAR | Buy | 2.17204→2.14149 | -7.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 11:48 | NEAR | Buy | 2.15714→2.16686 | +1.79 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:48 | INJ | Buy | 4.89652→4.92167 | +2.10 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:36 | SUI | Sell | 0.726898→0.737353 | -7.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 10:20 | APT | Buy | 0.670868→0.665734 | -4.26 | timeout |
| 06-22 03:56 | INJ | Sell | 5.01135→4.90333 | +10.33 | take_profit |
| 06-21 22:39 | NEAR | Buy | 2.12843→2.09843 | -7.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | ARB | Buy | 0.0834008→0.0821184 | -8.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:07 | APT | Buy | 0.662366→0.65291 | -7.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 17:52 | INJ | Buy | 4.97354→4.93027 | -4.77 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:57 | AVAX | Buy | 6.27817→6.26393 | -1.57 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:57 | INJ | Buy | 4.99685→4.97476 | -2.64 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:42 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77584→1.77626 | -0.32 | timeout |
| 06-21 09:59 | ADA | Buy | 0.16127→0.16179 | +1.17 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:27 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79015→1.77955 | -3.40 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:53 | INJ | Buy | 5.12758→5.05371 | -7.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 01:24 | ADA | Buy | 0.163021→0.162999 | -0.52 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:00 | INJ | Buy | 4.96654→5.01924 | +4.87 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:51 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77864→1.79825 | +5.05 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:21 | SOL | Sell | 72.2152→71.7168 | +3.02 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:56 | NEAR | Buy | 2.15124→2.14896 | -0.96 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:36 | OP | Buy | 0.101305→0.0998151 | -7.73 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
445
closed
39%
win rate
-390.91
total pnl ($)
-17.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INJ | 65 | 38% | -19.3 | -62.41 |
| NEAR | 64 | 31% | -40.3 | -128.94 |
| ATOM | 52 | 33% | -32.6 | -84.25 |
| OP | 35 | 37% | -15.1 | -26.19 |
| APT | 35 | 31% | -47.4 | -82.96 |
| ARB | 33 | 42% | -16.2 | -26.71 |
| ADA | 28 | 29% | -69.0 | -96.43 |
| SOL | 25 | 48% | +9.3 | +11.81 |
| AVAX | 20 | 65% | +41.2 | +41.26 |
| SUI | 18 | 39% | -5.5 | -4.95 |
| ETH | 16 | 50% | +35.8 | +28.66 |
| LINK | 14 | 43% | +1.1 | +0.80 |
| DOGE | 13 | 38% | -11.6 | -7.54 |
| XRP | 12 | 42% | +8.3 | +5.03 |
| BNB | 6 | 67% | +22.8 | +6.75 |
| LTC | 5 | 80% | +103.7 | +25.94 |
| BTC | 4 | 50% | +46.1 | +9.22 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 3)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 12:10 | ARB | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 11:58 | ATOM | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 11:10 | NEAR | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||