mempool_surge_fear_gate_short_v2 · strategy

closed trades

43%

win rate

+79.39

total pnl ($)

1.529

weight

7d window — n=25 wr=40% pnl=+50.14 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 88 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 17:13	BTC	Sell	60269→60546	-2.74	timeout
06-27 11:12	BTC	Sell	60056→60374	-3.07	timeout
06-27 05:13	BTC	Sell	60155→60275	-1.45	timeout
06-26 23:14	BTC	Sell	59441→60046	-5.52	timeout
06-26 16:55	BTC	Sell	59825→60082	-2.55	timeout
06-26 08:42	BTC	Sell	59453→60215	-6.88	timeout
06-26 02:36	BTC	Sell	59792→58821.9	+7.64	timeout
06-25 14:03	BTC	Sell	60902→59008	+15.05	timeout
06-25 13:54	BTC	Sell	61694.9→58565.9	+24.89	take_profit
06-25 05:07	BTC	Sell	59778→61608.9	-15.77	stop_loss
06-25 01:35	BTC	Sell	61960.9→60811	+8.83	timeout
06-24 17:20	BTC	Sell	62636.9→59506	+24.47	take_profit
06-24 12:28	BTC	Sell	62794.9→62771.1	-0.26	timeout
06-24 04:04	BTC	Sell	62398.9→62687.1	-2.72	timeout
06-23 21:46	BTC	Sell	62339.9→62614.1	-2.66	timeout
06-23 15:56	BTC	Sell	64006.8→62347.1	+12.53	timeout
06-23 05:48	BTC	Sell	64435.8→63339.2	+8.08	timeout
06-22 22:17	BTC	Sell	64183.8→64269.2	-1.12	timeout
06-22 16:06	BTC	Sell	63912.8→64688.2	-6.52	timeout
06-22 05:04	BTC	Sell	64133.8→64061.2	+0.12	timeout
06-21 23:03	BTC	Sell	64442.8→63649.2	+5.70	timeout
06-21 15:35	BTC	Sell	64307.8→64164.2	+0.64	timeout
06-21 09:20	BTC	Sell	63928.8→63942.2	-0.48	timeout
06-21 03:23	BTC	Sell	64182.8→64397.2	-2.12	timeout
06-20 21:20	BTC	Sell	63490.8→63935.2	-3.95	timeout
06-20 13:25	BTC	Sell	63410.8→63306.2	+0.40	timeout
06-20 07:22	BTC	Sell	62992.9→63727.2	-6.27	timeout
06-20 01:21	BTC	Sell	62647.9→63463.2	-6.96	timeout
06-19 19:18	BTC	Sell	62747.9→63024.2	-2.64	timeout
06-19 11:57	BTC	Sell	62947.9→62601.1	+2.26	timeout
06-19 05:55	BTC	Sell	62576.9→62723.1	-1.64	timeout
06-19 00:51	BTC	Sell	64281.8→62985.1	+9.58	timeout
06-18 17:56	BTC	Sell	63938.8→62568.1	+10.14	timeout
06-18 11:30	BTC	Sell	64453.8→64038.2	+2.78	timeout
06-18 05:46	BTC	Sell	65871.7→63902.2	+14.50	timeout
06-17 23:35	BTC	Sell	64691.8→64414.2	+1.73	timeout
06-17 17:36	BTC	Sell	65816.7→65891.3	-0.97	timeout
06-17 11:10	BTC	Sell	65734.7→64665.2	+7.72	timeout
06-17 04:25	BTC	Sell	65754.7→65866.3	-1.28	timeout
06-16 22:15	BTC	Sell	66539.7→65827.3	+4.94	timeout
06-16 15:49	BTC	Sell	66113.7→65780.3	+2.12	timeout
06-16 09:13	BTC	Sell	66442.7→66719.3	-2.52	timeout
06-16 02:48	BTC	Sell	66609.7→65837.3	+5.33	timeout
06-15 20:41	BTC	Sell	65701.7→66634.3	-7.52	timeout
06-15 14:15	BTC	Sell	65638.7→66429.3	-6.48	timeout
06-15 01:37	BTC	Sell	64254.8→65528.3	-10.34	timeout
06-14 23:27	BTC	Sell	63774.8→65728.1	-15.77	stop_loss
06-14 19:22	BTC	Sell	64311.8→63794.2	+3.60	timeout
06-14 11:06	BTC	Sell	64416.8→64439.2	-0.62	timeout
06-14 04:54	BTC	Sell	63960.8→64308.2	-3.18	timeout
06-13 22:45	BTC	Sell	63833.8→64493.2	-5.60	timeout
06-13 16:24	BTC	Sell	63512.8→63973.2	-4.08	timeout
06-13 10:00	BTC	Sell	63518.8→63732.2	-2.09	timeout
06-13 03:42	BTC	Sell	63796.8→63474.2	+2.08	timeout
06-12 21:31	BTC	Sell	63756.8→63536.2	+1.30	timeout
06-12 15:27	BTC	Sell	63386.8→64257.2	-7.28	timeout
06-12 09:24	BTC	Sell	63498.8→63635.2	-1.48	timeout
06-12 03:23	BTC	Sell	62729.9→63378.2	-5.57	timeout
06-11 21:13	BTC	Sell	62797.9→63576.2	-6.58	timeout
06-11 15:14	BTC	Sell	62038.9→62669.1	-5.48	timeout
06-11 08:58	BTC	Sell	61738.9→62909.1	-9.87	timeout
06-11 02:58	BTC	Sell	62021.9→62170.1	-1.61	timeout
06-10 20:27	BTC	Sell	61454.9→61880.1	-3.88	timeout
06-10 04:10	BTC	Sell	60917→62023.1	-9.58	timeout
06-09 22:12	BTC	Sell	62674.9→62023.1	+4.70	timeout
06-09 15:32	BTC	Sell	62720.9→61312.1	+10.79	timeout
06-09 09:31	BTC	Sell	63613.8→62720.1	+6.57	timeout
06-09 03:28	BTC	Sell	64061.8→62799.1	+9.40	timeout
06-08 21:12	BTC	Sell	63231.8→63691.2	-4.06	timeout
06-08 15:02	BTC	Sell	63076.8→64043.2	-8.09	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	61748.9→63641	-15.77	stop_loss
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	61554.9→63440.9	-15.77	stop_loss
06-07 19:43	BTC	Sell	62186.9→61226.1	+7.25	timeout
06-07 13:19	BTC	Sell	61564.9→61741.1	-1.87	timeout
06-07 06:37	BTC	Sell	60546→62218.1	-14.28	timeout
06-07 00:30	BTC	Sell	60624→60814	-2.01	timeout
06-06 18:11	BTC	Sell	60996.9→60587	+2.88	timeout
06-06 12:08	BTC	Sell	61430.9→61052.1	+2.60	timeout
06-06 06:05	BTC	Sell	60719→61134.1	-3.88	timeout
06-05 18:55	BTC	Sell	62232.9→59127	+24.52	take_profit
06-05 18:21	BTC	Sell	61577.9→60531	+8.08	timeout
06-05 11:58	BTC	Sell	63798.8→62013.1	+13.56	timeout
06-05 05:42	BTC	Sell	62980.9→63014.2	-0.74	timeout
06-04 22:20	BTC	Sell	62826.9→63345.2	-4.60	timeout
06-04 17:13	BTC	Sell	63761.8→63637.2	+0.57	timeout
06-04 02:00	BTC	Sell	65339.7→62078.1	+24.51	take_profit
06-04 01:49	BTC	Sell	65793.7→62510.1	+24.50	take_profit
06-03 23:43	BTC	Sell	67150.6→64243.2	+21.20	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

43%

win rate

+79.39

total pnl ($)

+18.0 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	88	43%	+18.0	+79.39

Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)

time	sym	side	reason
06-27 12:22	BTC	Sell	circuit_breaker

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…