mempool_spike_fear_reversal_long

not live
73
closed trades
52%
win rate
-113.87
total pnl ($)
0.727
weight
7d window — n=24 wr=42% pnl=-38.82  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-30 08:55:21 (23.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: x3485394_94360
n: 10  ·  wr: 40.0%  ·  total_bps: -584.7  ·  mean_bps: -58.47  ·  sharpe: -0.55  ·  max_dd_bps: -728.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 73 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-22 04:21BTCBuy64160.2→63927.8-2.28timeout
06-21 13:20BTCBuy64226.2→64136.8-1.11timeout
06-21 07:18BTCBuy63861.2→64228.8+2.43timeout
06-21 01:13BTCBuy63587.2→64229.8+4.58timeout
06-20 18:59BTCBuy63728.2→63768.8-0.13timeout
06-20 11:26BTCBuy63298.2→63684.8+2.58timeout
06-20 05:25BTCBuy62925.1→63695.8+5.68timeout
06-19 23:21BTCBuy62627.1→63264.8+4.63timeout
06-19 17:49BTCBuy62698.1→63161.8+3.25timeout
06-19 11:33BTCBuy62902.1→62613.9-2.70timeout
06-19 04:16BTCBuy62556.1→62846.9+1.90timeout
06-18 22:06BTCBuy64095.2→62903.9-9.70timeout
06-18 16:00BTCBuy64252.2→62380.9-14.84timeout
06-18 09:48BTCBuy64121.2→64247.8+0.48timeout
06-18 03:33BTCBuy65354.3→64299.8-8.53timeout
06-17 21:24BTCBuy64946.2→64328.8-5.19timeout
06-17 15:29BTCBuy65752.3→65333.7-3.64timeout
06-17 09:22BTCBuy65719.3→64905.8-6.66timeout
06-17 03:15BTCBuy65854.3→65729.7-1.41timeout
06-16 21:15BTCBuy66679.3→65886.7-6.44timeout
06-16 14:55BTCBuy65763.3→65631.7-1.49timeout
06-16 08:50BTCBuy66483.3→66615.7+0.56timeout
06-16 02:47BTCBuy66590.3→65826.7-6.19timeout
06-15 20:45BTCBuy65742.3→66516.7+5.41timeout
06-15 04:22BTCBuy64086.2→65731.7+12.37timeout
06-14 22:15BTCBuy64501.2→65110.7+4.25timeout
06-14 10:53BTCBuy64471.2→64531.8+0.01timeout
06-14 04:26BTCBuy64011.2→64465.8+3.12timeout
06-13 22:22BTCBuy63754.2→64429.8+4.83timeout
06-13 14:35BTCBuy63689.2→64139.8+3.07timeout
06-13 04:39BTCBuy63958.2→63582.8-3.38timeout
06-12 21:51BTCBuy63792.2→63446.8-3.18timeout
06-12 15:35BTCBuy63482.2→63909.8+2.90timeout
06-12 09:24BTCBuy63491.2→63634.8+0.64timeout
06-12 03:22BTCBuy62711.1→63419.8+5.16timeout
06-11 21:14BTCBuy62803.1→63552.8+5.45timeout
06-11 08:59BTCBuy61777.1→62911.9+8.68timeout
06-11 02:58BTCBuy62028.1→62163.9+0.61timeout
06-10 20:28BTCBuy61478.1→61869.9+2.71timeout
06-10 04:48BTCBuy61325.1→62016.9+5.24timeout
06-09 23:02BTCBuy62667.1→62016.9-5.59timeout
06-09 15:02BTCBuy62824.1→61349.9-12.20timeout
06-09 04:12BTCBuy63844.2→62926.9-7.63timeout
06-08 21:56BTCBuy63433.2→63718.8+1.78timeout
06-08 15:44BTCBuy63104.2→63837.8+5.34timeout
06-08 02:35BTCBuy62197.1→63006.8+6.03timeout
06-07 14:37BTCBuy61189.1→62231.9+8.06timeout
06-07 08:12BTCBuy60572→62300.9+13.86timeout
06-07 01:47BTCBuy60827→61416.9+4.36timeout
06-06 19:45BTCBuy61061.1→60603-4.17timeout
06-06 10:47BTCBuy61661.1→60430-10.43timeout
06-06 03:22BTCBuy60697→60819+0.55timeout
06-05 14:26BTCBuy62882.1→60329.8-20.74stop_loss
06-05 06:22BTCBuy63439.2→61496.9-15.72timeout
06-04 22:33BTCBuy62512.1→63329.8+6.11timeout
06-04 17:00BTCBuy64258.2→63465.8-6.66timeout
06-04 01:22BTCBuy65293.3→62643.5-20.74stop_loss
06-03 23:48BTCBuy66875.3→64160.7-20.74stop_loss
06-03 16:42BTCBuy66354.3→65886.7-4.00timeout
06-03 12:29BTCBuy66761.3→66992.7+1.31timeout
06-03 04:48BTCBuy67788.4→66441.7-10.39timeout
06-02 15:31BTCBuy69971.5→67132.1-20.75stop_loss
06-02 13:49BTCBuy70899.5→68866.6-14.81timeout
06-01 04:11BTCBuy73675.7→73560.3-1.27timeout
05-31 19:44BTCBuy73828.7→73516.3-2.58timeout
05-31 04:29BTCBuy73873.7→74171.3+1.53timeout
05-30 13:13BTCBuy73542.7→73750.3+0.94timeout
05-30 02:22BTCBuy72765.6→73596.3+5.24timeout
05-29 19:17BTCBuy73785.7→73318.3-3.64timeout
05-29 14:04BTCBuy73598.7→73126.3-3.68timeout
05-29 07:58BTCBuy73433.7→73450.3-0.37timeout
05-29 00:53BTCBuy73493.7→73715.3+0.98timeout
05-28 18:49BTCBuy73156.7→73599.3+2.50timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
73
closed
52%
win rate
-113.87
total pnl ($)
-31.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC7352%-31.0-113.87

Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)

timesymsidereason
06-21 23:06BTCBuystale_intent

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
no postmortems