mempool_spike_fear_gate_long_v4 · strategy

closed trades

48%

win rate

-144.22

total pnl ($)

0.443

weight

7d window — n=31 wr=45% pnl=-84.02 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 92 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-22 08:06	BTC	Buy	64135.2→64097.8	-0.82	timeout
06-22 05:49	BTC	Buy	64223.2→64196.8	-0.67	timeout
06-22 04:01	BTC	Buy	64392.2→63860.8	-4.63	timeout
06-21 05:38	BTC	Buy	63661.2→64298.8	+4.56	timeout
06-21 04:17	BTC	Buy	63426.2→64405.8	+7.28	timeout
06-21 01:52	BTC	Buy	63556.2→64259.8	+5.03	timeout
06-21 00:39	BTC	Buy	63568.2→64288.8	+5.16	timeout
06-20 23:29	BTC	Buy	63275.2→64231.8	+7.10	timeout
06-19 22:25	BTC	Buy	62821.1→63265.8	+3.04	timeout
06-19 21:21	BTC	Buy	62987.1→63218.8	+1.34	timeout
06-19 20:10	BTC	Buy	63103.2→63040.8	-0.98	timeout
06-19 18:48	BTC	Buy	62720.1→63024.8	+1.96	timeout
06-19 17:22	BTC	Buy	62436.1→63010.8	+4.16	timeout
06-18 15:57	BTC	Buy	63891.2→62298.7	-12.89	stop_loss
06-18 15:40	BTC	Buy	64267.2→62658.5	-12.70	stop_loss
06-18 15:40	BTC	Buy	64336.2→62751.5	-12.48	stop_loss
06-18 15:40	BTC	Buy	64356.2→62767.5	-12.54	stop_loss
06-18 15:39	BTC	Buy	64376.2→62790.4	-12.73	stop_loss
06-18 12:43	BTC	Buy	64855.2→64192.8	-5.55	timeout
06-18 10:38	BTC	Buy	64909.2→63937.8	-8.01	timeout
06-17 22:03	BTC	Buy	65528.3→63914.8	-12.75	stop_loss
06-17 19:42	BTC	Buy	65723.3→64105.7	-12.76	stop_loss
06-17 19:37	BTC	Buy	65652.3→64540.8	-8.93	timeout
06-17 11:05	BTC	Buy	66121.3→64492.5	-12.85	stop_loss
06-17 08:39	BTC	Buy	66572.3→64922.3	-12.87	stop_loss
06-17 04:57	BTC	Buy	65808.3→65887.7	+0.12	timeout
06-16 14:40	BTC	Buy	66474.3→65618.7	-6.97	timeout
06-16 10:09	BTC	Buy	65673.3→66540.7	+6.12	timeout
06-16 08:45	BTC	Buy	65749.3→66576.7	+5.87	timeout
06-16 01:10	BTC	Buy	65431.3→66264.7	+5.92	timeout
06-15 22:18	BTC	Buy	65057.3→66347.7	+9.42	timeout
06-15 13:16	BTC	Buy	63883.2→66691.7	+21.54	take_profit
06-15 06:46	BTC	Buy	64238.2→65781.7	+11.55	timeout
06-15 05:38	BTC	Buy	64311.2→65695.7	+10.30	timeout
06-15 00:27	BTC	Buy	64517.2→65735.7	+8.98	timeout
06-14 16:45	BTC	Buy	64041.2→64110.8	+0.05	timeout
06-14 15:41	BTC	Buy	64308.2→64012.8	-2.76	timeout
06-14 01:01	BTC	Buy	63621.2→64550.8	+6.90	timeout
06-13 23:36	BTC	Buy	63458.2→64422.8	+7.13	timeout
06-13 19:12	BTC	Buy	63655.2→64143.8	+3.39	timeout
06-13 15:01	BTC	Buy	64147.2→64191.8	-0.14	timeout
06-13 13:46	BTC	Buy	63156.2→64070.8	+6.74	timeout
06-12 20:41	BTC	Buy	63328.2→63525.8	+1.09	timeout
06-12 19:37	BTC	Buy	63736.2→63776.8	-0.14	timeout
06-12 18:31	BTC	Buy	63429.2→63705.8	+1.72	timeout
06-12 14:16	BTC	Buy	62749.1→63450.8	+5.08	timeout
06-12 13:07	BTC	Buy	62899.1→63422.8	+3.64	timeout
06-11 20:03	BTC	Buy	61889.1→63583.8	+13.11	timeout
06-11 19:00	BTC	Buy	61855.1→63426.8	+12.13	timeout
06-11 17:55	BTC	Buy	61919.1→63451.8	+11.83	timeout
06-11 10:29	BTC	Buy	61321.1→62814.9	+11.58	timeout
06-11 09:24	BTC	Buy	60924→62767.9	+14.56	timeout
06-10 19:42	BTC	Buy	61827.1→61967.9	+0.62	timeout
06-10 16:26	BTC	Buy	60915→62179.9	+9.85	timeout
06-09 14:46	BTC	Buy	62744.1→61193.3	-12.82	stop_loss
06-09 14:44	BTC	Buy	62821.1→61275.3	-12.76	stop_loss
06-09 14:39	BTC	Buy	62859.1→61312.3	-12.77	stop_loss
06-09 14:11	BTC	Buy	63491.2→61923.9	-12.80	stop_loss
06-09 13:25	BTC	Buy	63791.2→62221.8	-12.74	stop_loss
06-08 23:04	BTC	Buy	62819.1→63413.8	+4.26	timeout
06-08 21:00	BTC	Buy	61859.1→63456.8	+12.43	timeout
06-08 18:51	BTC	Buy	62045.1→63381.8	+10.26	timeout
06-08 15:31	BTC	Buy	62044.1→63884.8	+14.33	timeout
06-08 14:30	BTC	Buy	62132.1→63781.8	+12.79	timeout
06-07 22:15	BTC	Buy	61318.1→64009.8	+21.50	take_profit
06-07 09:12	BTC	Buy	61196.1→62776.9	+12.51	timeout
06-07 04:44	BTC	Buy	59804→61729.9	+15.66	timeout
06-07 02:18	BTC	Buy	60728→61285.9	+4.06	timeout
06-06 19:21	BTC	Buy	59406→60605	+9.70	timeout
06-06 18:20	BTC	Buy	60408→60415	-0.35	timeout
06-06 04:31	BTC	Buy	61254.1→59747.1	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 18:52	BTC	Buy	60825→59329.4	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 18:52	BTC	Buy	60867→59370.3	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 18:52	BTC	Buy	60867→59370.3	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 15:39	BTC	Buy	61717.1→60194.9	-12.78	stop_loss
06-05 14:04	BTC	Buy	62082.1→60549.7	-12.79	stop_loss
06-05 13:56	BTC	Buy	62509.1→60971.4	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 13:49	BTC	Buy	62709.1→61165.3	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 13:49	BTC	Buy	62988.1→61437.2	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 11:56	BTC	Buy	62447.1→62032.9	-3.79	timeout
06-05 06:22	BTC	Buy	62952.1→61404.2	-12.68	stop_loss
06-05 06:20	BTC	Buy	63247.2→61679.1	-12.80	stop_loss
06-05 06:17	BTC	Buy	63381.2→61817	-12.72	stop_loss
06-05 05:59	BTC	Buy	63786.2→62210.8	-12.76	stop_loss
06-04 10:48	BTC	Buy	63878.2→62307.7	-12.72	stop_loss
06-04 10:28	BTC	Buy	64112.2→62526.6	-12.79	stop_loss
06-04 09:29	BTC	Buy	64347.2→62759.5	-12.78	stop_loss
06-04 00:25	BTC	Buy	65441.3→63831.9	-12.74	stop_loss
06-03 20:55	BTC	Buy	66323.3→64652.4	-13.09	stop_loss
06-03 20:55	BTC	Buy	66423.3→64783.4	-12.84	stop_loss
06-03 20:55	BTC	Buy	66548.3→64908.3	-12.83	stop_loss
06-03 19:55	BTC	Buy	66922.3→65276.1	-12.80	stop_loss

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

48%

win rate

-144.22

total pnl ($)

-31.1 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	92	48%	-31.1	-144.22

Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)

time	sym	side	reason
06-22 13:54	BTC	Buy	trigger_already_opened

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…