mempool_fee_spike_fear_short

73

closed trades

47%

win rate

+36.13

total pnl ($)

1.292

weight

7d window — n=16 wr=38% pnl=+5.99 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-03 18:45:37 (24.7d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x3485394_01002

n: 23 · wr: 60.9% · total_bps: +808.1 · mean_bps: +35.14 · sharpe: +0.31 · max_dd_bps: -323.6

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-28 08:50	BTC	Sell	60258→60383	-1.49	timeout
06-28 02:05	BTC	Sell	60494→60242	+1.64	timeout
06-27 11:54	BTC	Sell	60035→60325	-2.85	timeout
06-27 05:52	BTC	Sell	59977→60230	-2.56	timeout
06-26 21:11	BTC	Sell	60107→59694	+3.03	timeout
06-26 07:28	BTC	Sell	58572.1→60659.3	-18.27	stop_loss
06-26 04:26	BTC	Sell	59733→59887	-1.76	timeout
06-25 22:22	BTC	Sell	61579.9→59764	+14.31	timeout
06-25 04:51	BTC	Sell	59743→61068.1	-11.54	timeout
06-24 22:08	BTC	Sell	62599.9→61032.1	+12.00	timeout
06-24 14:57	BTC	Sell	62638.9→61028.1	+12.38	timeout
06-24 03:13	BTC	Sell	62319.9→62607.1	-2.73	timeout
06-23 20:24	BTC	Sell	62207.9→62432.1	-2.25	timeout
06-23 05:58	BTC	Sell	64590.8→63351.2	+9.16	timeout
06-22 22:02	BTC	Sell	64122.8→64342.2	-2.16	timeout
06-22 05:13	BTC	Sell	64168.8→64232.2	-0.94	timeout
06-21 09:25	BTC	Sell	63945.8→64040.2	-1.12	timeout
06-21 03:20	BTC	Sell	64293.8→64287.2	-0.40	timeout
06-20 04:53	BTC	Sell	63063.8→63556.2	-4.36	timeout
06-19 21:25	BTC	Sell	62406.9→63167.2	-6.52	timeout
06-19 11:42	BTC	Sell	62892.9→62634.1	+1.57	timeout
06-19 03:30	BTC	Sell	63173.8→62808.1	+2.40	timeout
06-18 18:51	BTC	Sell	64065.8→62773.1	+9.51	timeout
06-18 06:08	BTC	Sell	65274.7→63904.2	+10.06	timeout
06-17 23:49	BTC	Sell	64814.8→64462.2	+2.28	timeout
06-17 07:44	BTC	Sell	65619.7→65532.3	+0.23	timeout
06-17 00:20	BTC	Sell	66599.7→65747.3	+5.99	timeout
06-16 16:05	BTC	Sell	66241.7→65877.3	+2.30	timeout
06-16 04:22	BTC	Sell	67159.6→66025.3	+7.97	timeout
06-15 22:19	BTC	Sell	65685.7→66342.3	-5.42	timeout
06-15 09:14	BTC	Sell	64056.8→65669.3	-13.04	timeout
06-14 22:27	BTC	Sell	64572.8→65134.3	-4.77	timeout
06-14 10:47	BTC	Sell	64465.8→64534.2	-0.97	timeout
06-14 04:20	BTC	Sell	64007.8→64496.2	-4.29	timeout
06-13 22:16	BTC	Sell	63732.8→64362.2	-5.37	timeout
06-13 14:41	BTC	Sell	63670.8→64192.2	-4.52	timeout
06-13 08:37	BTC	Sell	63513.8→63842.2	-2.99	timeout
06-13 02:07	BTC	Sell	63519.8→63778.2	-2.46	timeout
06-12 19:59	BTC	Sell	63078.8→63593.2	-4.53	timeout
06-12 13:44	BTC	Sell	63342.8→63126.2	+1.30	timeout
06-12 07:38	BTC	Sell	63726.8→62947.1	+5.69	timeout
06-12 01:38	BTC	Sell	62783.9→63309.2	-4.58	timeout
06-11 19:02	BTC	Sell	62738.9→63536.2	-6.74	timeout
06-11 09:17	BTC	Sell	61636.9→62774.1	-9.61	timeout
06-11 03:05	BTC	Sell	62071.9→62149.1	-1.03	timeout
06-10 07:36	BTC	Sell	61933.9→62023.1	-1.22	timeout
06-10 01:53	BTC	Sell	62394.9→62023.1	+2.48	timeout
06-09 19:47	BTC	Sell	63146.8→61783.1	+10.39	timeout
06-09 12:01	BTC	Sell	63037.8→62759.1	+1.73	timeout
06-09 05:09	BTC	Sell	63440.8→63118.2	+2.10	timeout
06-08 23:02	BTC	Sell	63047.8→63398.2	-3.22	timeout
06-08 16:00	BTC	Sell	63129.8→63678.2	-4.74	timeout
06-07 22:15	BTC	Sell	62028.9→64241.3	-18.29	stop_loss
06-07 09:25	BTC	Sell	60884→62643.1	-14.91	timeout
06-07 03:08	BTC	Sell	60591→61474.1	-7.71	timeout
06-06 21:04	BTC	Sell	61141.9→60710	+3.05	timeout
06-06 14:58	BTC	Sell	60931→60828	+0.39	timeout
06-06 00:53	BTC	Sell	62006.9→61244.1	+5.70	timeout
06-05 20:47	BTC	Sell	59322→61435.8	-18.27	stop_loss
06-05 17:55	BTC	Sell	62691.9→60718	+15.33	timeout
06-05 10:01	BTC	Sell	63290.8→62906.1	+2.58	timeout
06-05 02:01	BTC	Sell	64253.8→63261.2	+7.27	timeout
06-04 18:58	BTC	Sell	63991.8→63812.2	+0.96	timeout
06-04 02:04	BTC	Sell	65346.7→61432.1	+29.50	take_profit
06-04 01:19	BTC	Sell	66795.7→62794.1	+29.50	take_profit
06-03 17:16	BTC	Sell	67202.6→65749.3	+10.39	timeout
06-03 12:48	BTC	Sell	66988.7→67008.4	-0.62	timeout
06-03 05:04	BTC	Sell	67482.6→66923.3	+3.70	timeout
06-02 20:11	BTC	Sell	69974.5→67423.4	+17.76	timeout
05-30 22:30	BTC	Sell	73612.3→73861.7	-2.09	timeout
05-30 02:54	BTC	Sell	72939.4→73752.7	-6.01	timeout
05-29 07:51	BTC	Sell	73504.3→73398.7	+0.29	timeout
05-29 00:44	BTC	Sell	73466.3→73781.7	-2.52	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

73

closed

47%

win rate

+36.13

total pnl ($)

+9.7 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	73	47%	+9.7	+36.13

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 73 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

Postmortem feed (last 10)