mempool_fee_spike_fade_contrarian_long

not live
21
closed trades
52%
win rate
-9.39
total pnl ($)
1.175
weight
7d window — n=6 wr=50% pnl=-1.35  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-27 03:58:21 (26.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: x2189873_32431
n: 28  ·  wr: 46.4%  ·  total_bps: -140.9  ·  mean_bps: -5.03  ·  sharpe: -0.02  ·  max_dd_bps: -998.6
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 21 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-21 15:18BTCBuy64144.2→64205.8+0.09timeout
06-20 09:23BTCBuy62348.1→63524.8+8.87timeout
06-18 15:52BTCBuy64079.2→62498.6-12.84stop_loss
06-17 19:44BTCBuy65695.3→64077.7-12.79stop_loss
06-16 21:35BTCBuy66437.3→65683.7-6.22timeout
06-15 15:52BTCBuy64375.2→67203.6+21.53take_profit
06-14 19:16BTCBuy64161.2→63799.8-3.34timeout
06-13 18:43BTCBuy63845.2→64221.8+2.50timeout
06-12 18:26BTCBuy63413.2→63688.8+1.71timeout
06-11 17:45BTCBuy61708.1→63326.8+12.58timeout
06-10 16:13BTCBuy61058.1→62352.9+10.10timeout
06-09 13:19BTCBuy63842.2→62268.7-12.75stop_loss
06-08 14:37BTCBuy62238.1→63768.8+11.81timeout
06-07 14:22BTCBuy60939→61969.9+7.99timeout
06-05 13:56BTCBuy62547.1→61005.4-12.78stop_loss
06-05 10:29BTCBuy62478.1→62553.9+0.15timeout
06-03 16:27BTCBuy67209.4→65551.9-12.80stop_loss
06-02 14:26BTCBuy69545.5→67830.7-12.79stop_loss
05-31 17:19BTCBuy73878.7→73514.3-2.97timeout
05-30 14:58BTCBuy73096.7→73888.3+4.82timeout
05-29 12:41BTCBuy73501.7→73234.3-2.29timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
21
closed
52%
win rate
-9.39
total pnl ($)
-8.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC2152%-8.3-9.39

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
no postmortems