mempool_fee_spike_btc_volume_regime_short

73

closed trades

47%

win rate

+90.40

total pnl ($)

1.409

weight

7d window — n=15 wr=40% pnl=+24.90 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-01 22:24:58 (27.1d ago) · src: canon

verdict: PASS · strict: STRICT-PASS · batch: x3485394_10039

n: 21 · wr: 52.4% · total_bps: +440.5 · mean_bps: +20.98 · sharpe: +0.24 · max_dd_bps: -242.2

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-28 08:48	BTC	Sell	60255→60394	-1.28	timeout
06-28 02:04	BTC	Sell	60494→60248	+1.27	timeout
06-27 05:58	BTC	Sell	59957→60221	-2.12	timeout
06-26 21:08	BTC	Sell	60050→59683	+2.11	timeout
06-26 06:44	BTC	Sell	58614.1→60409.2	-12.61	stop_loss
06-26 04:12	BTC	Sell	59659→59929	-2.19	timeout
06-25 13:55	BTC	Sell	61573.9→58498.9	+19.60	take_profit
06-25 04:51	BTC	Sell	59699→61051.1	-9.42	timeout
06-24 17:20	BTC	Sell	62577.9→59453	+19.57	take_profit
06-24 14:56	BTC	Sell	62660.9→60986	+10.31	timeout
06-24 06:07	BTC	Sell	62258.9→62799.1	-3.81	timeout
06-23 21:57	BTC	Sell	62363.9→62562.1	-1.64	timeout
06-23 06:00	BTC	Sell	64615.8→63340.2	+7.55	timeout
06-22 22:04	BTC	Sell	64178.8→64355.2	-1.46	timeout
06-22 05:14	BTC	Sell	64169.8→64271.2	-0.99	timeout
06-21 09:26	BTC	Sell	63933.8→64056.2	-1.07	timeout
06-21 03:17	BTC	Sell	63978.8→64266.2	-2.16	timeout
06-20 04:53	BTC	Sell	63063.8→63556.2	-3.49	timeout
06-19 21:26	BTC	Sell	62388.9→63168.2	-5.34	timeout
06-19 11:39	BTC	Sell	62881.9→62567.1	+1.61	timeout
06-19 03:31	BTC	Sell	63306.8→62775.1	+2.97	timeout
06-18 18:50	BTC	Sell	64084.8→62756.1	+7.83	timeout
06-18 05:54	BTC	Sell	66038.7→63900.2	+12.60	timeout
06-17 23:48	BTC	Sell	64827.8→64475.2	+1.81	timeout
06-17 07:43	BTC	Sell	65599.7→65524.3	+0.11	timeout
06-17 00:24	BTC	Sell	66538.7→65710.3	+4.65	timeout
06-16 16:06	BTC	Sell	66149.7→65826.3	+1.61	timeout
06-16 04:21	BTC	Sell	67095.6→66083.3	+5.66	timeout
06-15 22:19	BTC	Sell	65697.7→66342.3	-4.27	timeout
06-14 22:26	BTC	Sell	64578.8→65174.3	-4.03	timeout
06-14 11:03	BTC	Sell	64428.8→64477.2	-0.66	timeout
06-14 05:00	BTC	Sell	64009.8→64348.2	-2.49	timeout
06-13 22:56	BTC	Sell	63774.8→64441.2	-4.53	timeout
06-13 14:41	BTC	Sell	63670.8→64192.2	-3.62	timeout
06-13 08:37	BTC	Sell	63513.8→63842.2	-2.39	timeout
06-13 02:07	BTC	Sell	63519.8→63778.2	-1.97	timeout
06-12 19:59	BTC	Sell	63078.8→63593.2	-3.62	timeout
06-12 13:45	BTC	Sell	63374.8→63110.2	+1.34	timeout
06-12 07:35	BTC	Sell	63692.8→62975.1	+4.16	timeout
06-12 01:37	BTC	Sell	62860.9→63300.2	-3.11	timeout
06-11 09:12	BTC	Sell	61505.9→62822.1	-8.88	timeout
06-11 03:05	BTC	Sell	62097.9→62149.1	-0.66	timeout
06-10 07:14	BTC	Sell	61775.9→62023.1	-2.00	timeout
06-10 01:09	BTC	Sell	62644.9→62023.1	+3.57	timeout
06-09 18:42	BTC	Sell	63321.8→61702.1	+9.90	timeout
06-09 12:08	BTC	Sell	63093.8→62876.1	+1.00	timeout
06-09 05:05	BTC	Sell	63540.8→63243.2	+1.51	timeout
06-08 23:01	BTC	Sell	63072.8→63419.2	-2.55	timeout
06-08 16:00	BTC	Sell	63096.8→63764.2	-4.53	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	61778.9→63671	-12.61	stop_loss
06-07 15:22	BTC	Sell	61709.9→61819.1	-1.06	timeout
06-07 08:46	BTC	Sell	60877→62741.5	-12.62	stop_loss
06-07 03:09	BTC	Sell	60637→61468.1	-5.82	timeout
06-06 21:04	BTC	Sell	61131.9→60711	+2.37	timeout
06-06 09:56	BTC	Sell	61701.9→60956	+4.50	timeout
06-06 03:19	BTC	Sell	60771→60829	-0.74	timeout
06-05 18:44	BTC	Sell	62875.9→59738	+19.62	take_profit
06-05 06:21	BTC	Sell	63370.8→61650.1	+10.47	timeout
06-04 17:26	BTC	Sell	63824.8→63194.2	+3.63	timeout
06-04 14:11	BTC	Sell	62549.9→64471.4	-12.66	stop_loss
06-04 01:56	BTC	Sell	65382.7→62119.1	+19.61	take_profit
06-04 00:29	BTC	Sell	66790.7→63457.2	+19.60	take_profit
06-03 17:17	BTC	Sell	67126.6→65789.3	+7.63	timeout
06-03 12:47	BTC	Sell	66972.7→66991.3	-0.47	timeout
06-03 04:55	BTC	Sell	67555.6→66285.3	+7.17	timeout
06-02 20:10	BTC	Sell	69969.5→67457.4	+13.99	timeout
06-02 08:16	BTC	Sell	71551.4→70007.5	+8.31	timeout
06-02 00:46	BTC	Sell	72158.4→71161.6	+5.23	timeout
05-31 22:56	BTC	Sell	73831.3→73930.7	-0.91	timeout
05-31 04:26	BTC	Sell	73871.3→74177.7	-1.99	timeout
05-30 02:54	BTC	Sell	72931.4→73753.7	-4.85	timeout
05-29 07:52	BTC	Sell	73470.3→73397.7	+0.05	timeout
05-29 00:44	BTC	Sell	73484.3→73781.7	-1.92	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

73

closed

47%

win rate

+90.40

total pnl ($)

+30.8 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	73	47%	+30.8	+90.40

time	sym	side	reason
06-29 01:06	BTC	Sell	circuit_breaker
06-28 15:35	BTC	Sell	circuit_breaker

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 73 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)

Postmortem feed (last 10)