mempool_fee_spike_btc_dominance_shift

40

closed trades

42%

win rate

-143.27

total pnl ($)

0.923

weight

7d window — n=11 wr=27% pnl=-54.09 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-31 20:59:10 (22.5d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x3485394_04230

n: 7 · wr: 28.6% · total_bps: -550.4 · mean_bps: -78.63 · sharpe: -0.51 · max_dd_bps: -693.3

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-23 08:27	BTC	Buy	63909.2→61944.9	-15.79	stop_loss
06-23 08:24	BTC	Buy	64128.2→62165.8	-15.70	stop_loss
06-22 17:13	BTC	Buy	64175.2→64671.8	+3.41	timeout
06-21 15:21	BTC	Buy	64261.2→64159.8	-1.18	timeout
06-20 09:25	BTC	Buy	62422.1→63523.8	+8.27	timeout
06-19 18:40	BTC	Buy	62700.1→63002.8	+1.94	timeout
06-19 06:50	BTC	Buy	64074.2→62758.9	-10.68	timeout
06-18 11:51	BTC	Buy	64835.2→63870.8	-7.96	timeout
06-17 19:42	BTC	Buy	65589.3→64153.8	-11.41	timeout
06-17 04:08	BTC	Buy	66173.3→65827.7	-3.11	timeout
06-16 14:10	BTC	Buy	66301.3→66122.7	-1.88	timeout
06-16 00:24	BTC	Buy	65682.3→66264.7	+4.03	timeout
06-15 10:50	BTC	Buy	64518.2→65738.7	+9.01	timeout
06-14 22:47	BTC	Buy	64489.2→65418.7	+6.71	timeout
06-14 10:15	BTC	Buy	63736.2→64494.8	+5.47	timeout
06-13 20:37	BTC	Buy	63522.2→64229.8	+5.10	timeout
06-13 07:28	BTC	Buy	62982.1→63751.8	+5.65	timeout
06-12 19:14	BTC	Buy	63519.2→63688.8	+0.87	timeout
06-12 07:03	BTC	Buy	62655.1→63036.8	+2.55	timeout
06-11 15:06	BTC	Buy	62004.1→62660.9	+4.75	timeout
06-10 19:14	BTC	Buy	61770.1→61715.9	-0.96	timeout
06-09 14:35	BTC	Buy	63343.2→61399.2	-15.80	stop_loss
06-09 14:16	BTC	Buy	63855.2→61899.9	-15.76	stop_loss
06-09 04:12	BTC	Buy	62888.1→62926.9	-0.14	timeout
06-08 16:08	BTC	Buy	61956.1→63785.8	+14.19	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Buy	60686→63714.8	+24.51	take_profit
06-07 11:09	BTC	Buy	60686→62463.9	+14.22	timeout
06-06 04:31	BTC	Buy	61629.1→59744.1	-15.74	stop_loss
06-05 14:04	BTC	Buy	62518.1→60605.7	-15.75	stop_loss
06-05 06:24	BTC	Buy	63034.2→61104.4	-15.70	stop_loss
06-05 06:21	BTC	Buy	63411.2→61471.2	-15.72	stop_loss
06-04 00:29	BTC	Buy	65331.3→63333.1	-15.74	stop_loss
06-03 20:55	BTC	Buy	66996.3→64945.3	-15.81	stop_loss
06-03 19:54	BTC	Buy	67412.4→65325.1	-15.96	stop_loss
06-02 14:26	BTC	Buy	69973.5→67830.7	-15.77	stop_loss
06-02 09:25	BTC	Buy	71540.6→69351.8	-15.83	stop_loss
06-01 22:36	BTC	Buy	73408.7→71162.8	-15.86	stop_loss
05-31 10:30	BTC	Buy	73619.7→73776.3	+0.48	timeout
05-30 14:54	BTC	Buy	72946.6→73888.3	+5.85	timeout
05-29 12:44	BTC	Buy	73473.7→73241.3	-2.05	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

40

closed

42%

win rate

-143.27

total pnl ($)

-71.1 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	40	42%	-71.1	-143.27

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 40 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

Postmortem feed (last 10)