mempool_cooling_basis_elevated_short

not live
7
closed trades
57%
win rate
-1.60
total pnl ($)
1.207
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?


Cumulative P&L (last 7 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
05-08 05:00BTCSell80008→79632+1.91timeout
05-07 21:27BTCSell79924→79897-0.26timeout
05-07 14:15BTCSell81114.9→80599+2.75timeout
05-07 09:05BTCSell80803→81075.1-2.13timeout
05-06 23:14BTCSell81387.9→81203.1+0.67timeout
05-04 11:21BTCSell79732→79053+3.82timeout
05-04 04:02BTCSell79095→80349-8.35timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
7
closed
57%
win rate
-1.60
total pnl ($)
-4.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC757%-4.8-1.60

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
05-08 05:00BTCSell+1.91The market was in a mild intraday recovery within a broader downtrend, with BTC up 0.39% on the hour but down over 1% on the day. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, as the sideways consolidation …
05-07 21:27BTCSell-0.26The market was in a mild downtrend over the past week with low hourly volatility, showing no strong directional momentum. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, meaning the expected price movement did not materialize within the all…
05-07 14:15BTCSell+2.75BTC was in a mild downtrend across all timeframes with low funding and declining open interest. The short thesis failed to capture meaningful downside because the trade expired via timeout before the anticipated move materialized.
05-07 09:05BTCSell-2.13BTC traded in a narrow range with low volatility, showing a slight 1-hour gain but a broader 7-day decline. The sell thesis failed because the market did not move decisively within the timeout period, leading to a small loss from funding costs.
05-06 23:14BTCSell+0.67The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with steady open interest, offering no clear directional bias. The thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout without reaching a target or stop, as the lack of volatility prevented any meaning…