mempool_congestion_fear_long · strategy

100

closed trades

44%

win rate

-334.10

total pnl ($)

0.675

weight

7d window — n=22 wr=41% pnl=-90.20 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-27 07:57:05 (31.9d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x2189873_18495

n: 47 · wr: 25.5% · total_bps: -7167.5 · mean_bps: -152.50 · sharpe: -0.78 · max_dd_bps: -7167.5

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 21:10	BTC	Buy	59730→60325	+4.60	timeout
06-27 19:28	BTC	Buy	59906→60261	+2.55	timeout
06-27 14:06	BTC	Buy	59864→60518	+5.01	timeout
06-26 19:12	BTC	Buy	59272→59948	+5.13	timeout
06-26 17:11	BTC	Buy	59304→60181	+6.85	timeout
06-26 13:19	BTC	Buy	60113→58558.8	-13.38	stop_loss
06-26 02:16	BTC	Buy	59975→58435.8	-13.27	stop_loss
06-25 18:51	BTC	Buy	59402→59421	-0.26	timeout
06-25 13:54	BTC	Buy	60073→58530.8	-13.21	stop_loss
06-25 13:51	BTC	Buy	60706→59152.4	-13.18	stop_loss
06-24 14:19	BTC	Buy	62477.1→60878.5	-13.24	stop_loss
06-24 14:19	BTC	Buy	62601.1→60995.4	-13.27	stop_loss
06-24 11:39	BTC	Buy	62596.1→62578.9	-0.61	timeout
06-24 09:55	BTC	Buy	62347.1→62680.9	+2.16	timeout
06-24 08:23	BTC	Buy	62381.1→62678.9	+1.84	timeout
06-23 08:15	BTC	Buy	64129.2→62478.6	-13.36	stop_loss
06-23 06:18	BTC	Buy	64593.2→62939.4	-13.27	stop_loss
06-23 04:44	BTC	Buy	65411.3→63735.9	-13.26	stop_loss
06-22 17:12	BTC	Buy	64187.2→64658.8	+3.21	timeout
06-21 21:23	BTC	Buy	63918.2→63741.8	-1.83	timeout
06-21 17:40	BTC	Buy	63796.2→64045.8	+1.59	timeout
06-21 15:21	BTC	Buy	64234.2→64158.8	-0.98	timeout
06-20 20:02	BTC	Buy	63040.2→63921.8	+6.58	timeout
06-20 16:56	BTC	Buy	62974.1→63965.8	+7.38	timeout
06-19 17:55	BTC	Buy	62582.1→63154.8	+4.12	timeout
06-19 16:40	BTC	Buy	62664.1→63262.8	+4.34	timeout
06-19 15:32	BTC	Buy	63156.2→63110.8	-0.71	timeout
06-18 15:40	BTC	Buy	64303.2→62656.5	-12.97	stop_loss
06-18 15:40	BTC	Buy	64351.2→62704.5	-12.94	stop_loss
06-18 11:48	BTC	Buy	64841.2→63904.8	-7.74	timeout
06-17 19:50	BTC	Buy	65675.3→63964.8	-13.49	stop_loss
06-17 19:41	BTC	Buy	65812.3→64127.7	-13.25	stop_loss
06-17 14:09	BTC	Buy	66048.3→65218.7	-6.75	timeout
06-17 08:39	BTC	Buy	66638.3→64932.3	-13.26	stop_loss
06-16 21:41	BTC	Buy	66419.3→65659.7	-6.26	timeout
06-16 11:25	BTC	Buy	66328.3→66434.7	+0.28	timeout
06-16 10:17	BTC	Buy	65700.3→66584.7	+6.26	timeout
06-15 21:18	BTC	Buy	64418.2→66480.7	+15.50	timeout
06-15 10:24	BTC	Buy	64614.2→65714.7	+8.07	timeout
06-14 23:07	BTC	Buy	64427.2→65314.7	+6.39	timeout
06-14 20:59	BTC	Buy	64267.2→63979.8	-2.71	timeout
06-14 02:44	BTC	Buy	63609.2→64484.8	+6.46	timeout
06-13 22:10	BTC	Buy	63515.2→64388.8	+6.40	timeout
06-13 20:38	BTC	Buy	63520.2→64232.8	+5.15	timeout
06-12 20:40	BTC	Buy	63342.2→63504.8	+0.80	timeout
06-12 19:36	BTC	Buy	63737.2→63767.8	-0.23	timeout
06-12 18:31	BTC	Buy	63439.2→63736.8	+1.88	timeout
06-11 20:06	BTC	Buy	61766.1→63579.8	+14.10	timeout
06-11 18:55	BTC	Buy	61743.1→63466.8	+13.37	timeout
06-11 17:44	BTC	Buy	61744.1→63291.8	+11.98	timeout
06-10 19:12	BTC	Buy	61797.1→61730.9	-1.05	timeout
06-10 17:16	BTC	Buy	61579.1→62082.9	+3.58	timeout
06-10 16:13	BTC	Buy	61045.1→62326.9	+10.00	timeout
06-09 15:56	BTC	Buy	62664.1→61060.4	-13.25	stop_loss
06-09 14:29	BTC	Buy	63162.2→61542.1	-13.28	stop_loss
06-09 14:21	BTC	Buy	63211.2→61591.1	-13.27	stop_loss
06-09 11:04	BTC	Buy	63054.2→62566.9	-4.26	timeout
06-09 04:03	BTC	Buy	63096.2→62829.9	-2.56	timeout
06-08 18:53	BTC	Buy	62079.1→63399.8	+10.12	timeout
06-07 21:30	BTC	Buy	60883→61744.9	+6.65	timeout
06-07 20:04	BTC	Buy	60529→61465.9	+7.33	timeout
06-07 17:50	BTC	Buy	60581→62193.9	+12.89	timeout
06-06 20:02	BTC	Buy	60171→60537	+2.66	timeout
06-06 19:02	BTC	Buy	59349→60581	+9.98	timeout
06-06 15:58	BTC	Buy	60476→60783	+2.12	timeout
06-05 18:52	BTC	Buy	60900→59341.3	-13.26	stop_loss
06-05 18:43	BTC	Buy	61416.1→59844.1	-13.25	stop_loss
06-05 15:39	BTC	Buy	61763.1→60182.9	-13.23	stop_loss
06-05 15:37	BTC	Buy	61835.1→60252.8	-13.24	stop_loss
06-05 13:56	BTC	Buy	62573.1→60971.4	-13.25	stop_loss
06-05 10:32	BTC	Buy	62528.1→62593.9	+0.06	timeout
06-05 06:23	BTC	Buy	62816.1→61208.3	-13.25	stop_loss
06-05 03:01	BTC	Buy	64131.2→62486.6	-13.25	stop_loss
06-05 02:47	BTC	Buy	63341.2→62657.9	-5.80	timeout
06-04 10:28	BTC	Buy	64095.2→62445.6	-13.30	stop_loss
06-04 09:31	BTC	Buy	64304.2→62657.5	-13.25	stop_loss
06-04 01:19	BTC	Buy	64404.2→62755.5	-13.25	stop_loss
06-04 00:29	BTC	Buy	65080.3→63415.1	-13.24	stop_loss
06-04 00:25	BTC	Buy	65501.3→63824.9	-13.25	stop_loss
06-03 19:54	BTC	Buy	67067.4→65324.1	-13.48	stop_loss
06-03 19:54	BTC	Buy	67067.4→65324.1	-13.51	stop_loss
06-03 19:53	BTC	Buy	67152.4→65434	-13.29	stop_loss
06-03 03:50	BTC	Buy	67260.4→65538.9	-13.25	stop_loss
06-03 03:28	BTC	Buy	67858.4→66118.6	-13.27	stop_loss
06-02 15:26	BTC	Buy	69082.5→67287	-13.45	stop_loss
06-02 14:27	BTC	Buy	69545.5→67764.7	-13.26	stop_loss
06-02 14:26	BTC	Buy	69587.5→67805.7	-13.26	stop_loss
06-01 15:25	BTC	Buy	73590.7→71111.9	-17.42	stop_loss
06-01 15:25	BTC	Buy	73438.7→71111.9	-16.43	stop_loss
05-31 20:28	BTC	Buy	73934.7→73673.3	-2.21	timeout
05-30 22:37	BTC	Buy	73440.7→73853.3	+2.25	timeout
05-30 20:26	BTC	Buy	73692.7→73926.3	+1.02	timeout
05-30 18:39	BTC	Buy	73823.7→73989.3	+0.56	timeout
05-30 16:46	BTC	Buy	73982.7→73924.3	-0.96	timeout
05-30 14:58	BTC	Buy	73097.7→73887.3	+4.80	timeout
05-29 17:22	BTC	Buy	73433.7→74213.3	+4.77	timeout
05-29 16:08	BTC	Buy	72831.6→73834.3	+6.40	timeout
05-29 15:03	BTC	Buy	72957.6→73100.3	+0.43	timeout
05-29 13:51	BTC	Buy	73013.7→73124.3	+0.29	timeout
05-29 12:41	BTC	Buy	73502.7→73232.3	-2.31	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

100

closed

44%

win rate

-334.10

total pnl ($)

-66.5 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	100	44%	-66.5	-334.10

Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)

time	sym	side	reason
06-27 23:19	BTC	Buy	circuit_breaker

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…