mempool_congestion_contrarian_long

90

closed trades

40%

win rate

-136.27

total pnl ($)

0.938

weight

7d window — n=22 wr=50% pnl=-32.84 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-23 09:29 (30.6d ago) · src: backtest-gate-results.jsonl

verdict: ERROR · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: strategies_batch_awc

n: 0 · wr: 0.0% · total_bps: +0.0 · mean_bps: +0.00 · sharpe: +0.00 · max_dd_bps: +0.0

gate: min_trades=5 min_wr=0.45 min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=231.39

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-22 19:42	BTC	Buy	64606.2→64403.8	-2.03	timeout
06-22 11:35	BTC	Buy	64219.2→64596.8	+2.44	timeout
06-22 03:32	BTC	Buy	64198.2→64362.8	+0.80	timeout
06-21 19:25	BTC	Buy	64288.2→64185.8	-1.23	timeout
06-21 11:22	BTC	Buy	64434.2→64274.8	-1.69	timeout
06-21 03:13	BTC	Buy	63871.2→64266.8	+2.64	timeout
06-20 19:04	BTC	Buy	63644.2→63849.8	+1.17	timeout
06-20 10:58	BTC	Buy	63329.2→63640.8	+1.99	timeout
06-20 02:53	BTC	Buy	62998.1→63335.8	+2.23	timeout
06-19 18:44	BTC	Buy	62405.1→63013.8	+4.42	timeout
06-19 10:36	BTC	Buy	62881.1→62435.9	-3.96	timeout
06-19 02:36	BTC	Buy	62792.1→62907.9	+0.51	timeout
06-18 15:40	BTC	Buy	63879.2→62685.5	-9.79	stop_loss
06-18 14:25	BTC	Buy	63906.2→64017.8	+0.43	timeout
06-18 06:20	BTC	Buy	64143.2→63887.8	-2.45	timeout
06-17 19:39	BTC	Buy	65440.3→64222.7	-9.76	stop_loss
06-17 18:12	BTC	Buy	64874.2→65396.7	+3.54	timeout
06-17 10:05	BTC	Buy	65877.3→64831.8	-8.41	timeout
06-17 02:01	BTC	Buy	65946.3→65891.7	-0.88	timeout
06-16 14:33	BTC	Buy	66546.3→65309.1	-9.76	stop_loss
06-16 09:49	BTC	Buy	66351.3→66540.7	+0.98	timeout
06-16 01:41	BTC	Buy	66831.3→66351.7	-4.04	timeout
06-15 17:33	BTC	Buy	65617.3→66646.7	+7.36	timeout
06-15 09:30	BTC	Buy	65374.3→65621.7	+1.45	timeout
06-15 01:16	BTC	Buy	63945.2→65440.7	+11.24	timeout
06-14 17:07	BTC	Buy	64437.2→63902.8	-4.62	timeout
06-14 08:58	BTC	Buy	64532.2→64424.8	-1.30	timeout
06-14 00:54	BTC	Buy	63967.2→64518.8	+3.87	timeout
06-13 16:48	BTC	Buy	63853.2→63997.8	+0.68	timeout
06-13 08:44	BTC	Buy	63583.2→63858.8	+1.69	timeout
06-13 00:36	BTC	Buy	63825.2→63550.8	-2.63	timeout
06-12 16:30	BTC	Buy	63474.2→63856.8	+2.56	timeout
06-12 04:34	BTC	Buy	63377.2→63693.8	+2.03	timeout
06-11 16:26	BTC	Buy	62882.1→62592.9	-2.78	timeout
06-11 08:05	BTC	Buy	61609.1→62723.9	+8.56	timeout
06-10 21:11	BTC	Buy	62626.1→61461.2	-9.76	stop_loss
06-10 15:50	BTC	Buy	61681.1→62271.9	+4.32	timeout
06-09 23:21	BTC	Buy	61569.1→62016.9	+3.21	timeout
06-09 14:39	BTC	Buy	62482.1→61314.3	-9.80	stop_loss
06-09 11:12	BTC	Buy	62879.1→62575.9	-2.84	timeout
06-09 00:49	BTC	Buy	63564.2→62380.7	-9.76	stop_loss
06-08 22:59	BTC	Buy	63938.2→63412.8	-4.57	timeout
06-08 14:53	BTC	Buy	62956.1→63852.8	+6.66	timeout
06-08 06:47	BTC	Buy	63219.2→62945.9	-2.62	timeout
06-07 22:15	BTC	Buy	61817.1→63789.8	+15.51	take_profit
06-07 14:28	BTC	Buy	61928.1→62020.9	+0.29	timeout
06-07 06:20	BTC	Buy	60707→61781.9	+8.42	timeout
06-06 22:15	BTC	Buy	60869→60602	-2.62	timeout
06-06 14:15	BTC	Buy	61169.1→60869	-2.90	timeout
06-06 04:12	BTC	Buy	61311.1→60170.9	-9.75	stop_loss
06-05 18:51	BTC	Buy	60687→59558.2	-9.75	stop_loss
06-05 14:24	BTC	Buy	61434.1→60528	-7.82	timeout
06-05 05:59	BTC	Buy	63382.2→62202.8	-9.73	stop_loss
06-04 21:52	BTC	Buy	63750.2→63333.8	-3.71	timeout
06-04 09:30	BTC	Buy	63864.2→62665.5	-9.83	stop_loss
06-04 03:32	BTC	Buy	62325.1→64322.8	+15.57	take_profit
06-03 23:03	BTC	Buy	65716.3→64494.5	-9.74	stop_loss
06-03 12:31	BTC	Buy	66339.3→67064.6	+5.03	timeout
06-02 19:33	BTC	Buy	67599.4→66341.5	-9.75	stop_loss
06-02 14:01	BTC	Buy	69907.5→68674.8	-9.28	stop_loss
06-01 22:24	BTC	Buy	71588.4→71145.6	-3.59	timeout
06-01 00:22	BTC	Buy	73576.3→73769.7	+0.87	timeout
05-31 18:43	BTC	Buy	73779.3→73608.7	-1.62	timeout
05-31 13:33	BTC	Buy	74116.3→73936.7	-1.66	timeout
05-31 07:44	BTC	Buy	73771.3→73829.7	-0.10	timeout
05-31 01:17	BTC	Buy	73885.3→74176.7	+1.50	timeout
05-30 17:41	BTC	Buy	73522.3→73907.7	+2.13	timeout
05-29 18:59	BTC	Buy	73626.3→73330.7	-2.47	timeout
05-29 07:51	BTC	Buy	73546.3→73405.7	-1.42	timeout
05-29 04:18	BTC	Buy	73488.3→73233.7	-2.22	timeout
05-29 04:18	BTC	Buy	73488.3→73225.7	-2.28	timeout
05-28 23:49	BTC	Buy	72941.4→73524.7	+3.50	timeout
05-28 19:26	BTC	Buy	73356.3→73496.7	+0.46	timeout
05-28 15:23	BTC	Buy	73274.3→72837.6	-3.47	timeout
05-28 11:20	BTC	Buy	73689.3→73386.7	-2.51	timeout
05-28 03:55	BTC	Buy	74490.3→73190.2	-9.18	stop_loss
05-28 03:18	BTC	Buy	74961.3→73594.5	-9.57	stop_loss
05-27 23:19	BTC	Buy	75199.2→74492.7	-5.17	timeout
05-27 19:19	BTC	Buy	75943.2→74999.7	-6.69	timeout
05-27 15:19	BTC	Buy	75764.2→75207.8	-4.12	timeout
05-27 11:19	BTC	Buy	75813.2→75949.8	+0.50	timeout
05-27 07:17	BTC	Buy	75887.2→75739.8	-1.38	timeout
05-27 03:18	BTC	Buy	75809.2→75829.8	-0.29	timeout
05-26 17:30	BTC	Buy	77262.1→75911.7	-9.21	stop_loss
05-26 15:15	BTC	Buy	76631.2→76904.8	+1.33	timeout
05-26 11:16	BTC	Buy	76547.2→77269.9	+4.27	timeout
05-26 07:15	BTC	Buy	77258.1→76639.8	-4.45	timeout
05-26 03:16	BTC	Buy	77437.9→76533.2	-6.29	timeout
05-25 23:15	BTC	Buy	77633.9→77258.1	-2.90	timeout
05-25 19:15	BTC	Buy	77411.9→77452.1	-0.24	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

90

closed

40%

win rate

-136.27

total pnl ($)

-30.1 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	90	40%	-30.1	-136.27

time	sym	side	reason
06-22 20:12	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 11:57	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 11:57	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 03:50	BTC	Buy	stale_intent

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 90 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 4)

Postmortem feed (last 10)