367
closed trades
40%
win rate
-768.35
total pnl ($)
0.322
weight
7d window — n=82 wr=45% pnl=-151.68
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-22 09:16:50 (35.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
aub
n: 239
· wr: 45.2%
· total_bps: -246.4
· mean_bps: -1.03
· sharpe: -0.01
· max_dd_bps: -2505.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 22:56 | ETH | Buy | 1556.26→1577.94 | +9.76 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:21 | BTC | Buy | 59982→59897 | -1.76 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:21 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0744966→0.0754541 | +8.89 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:31 | SOL | Buy | 71.3017→73.573 | +23.17 | take_profit |
| 06-26 11:27 | BTC | Buy | 59033→59443 | +4.51 | timeout |
| 06-26 09:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.146677→0.143892 | -14.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:14 | ETH | Buy | 1528.05→1576.64 | +23.13 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:13 | SOL | Buy | 67.5471→66.2729 | -14.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.143516→0.140774 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.141905→0.143714 | +8.83 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:44 | DOGE | Buy | 0.076093→0.074639 | -14.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | ETH | Buy | 1628.96→1598.44 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:26 | ETH | Buy | 1646.06→1633.54 | -6.35 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:50 | SOL | Buy | 68.1002→68.4107 | +2.72 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:17 | ADA | Buy | 0.149857→0.14698 | -15.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:06 | BTC | Buy | 60746→61122.9 | +3.97 | timeout |
| 06-25 08:39 | XRP | Buy | 1.07267→1.08223 | +6.02 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:50 | ETH | Buy | 1618.96→1625.94 | +2.54 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:46 | ADA | Buy | 0.144746→0.147433 | +13.36 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:22 | BTC | Buy | 60746→60835 | +0.43 | timeout |
| 06-25 00:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.05616→1.07493 | +12.72 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:21 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0730293→0.0753472 | +23.14 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:43 | BTC | Buy | 61272.1→60132.9 | -14.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:47 | ETH | Buy | 1648.16→1617.13 | -14.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:42 | SOL | Buy | 68.9593→67.656 | -14.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:12 | SOL | Buy | 69.5124→68.2056 | -14.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:48 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0781015→0.0766065 | -15.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:42 | BTC | Buy | 62678.1→61512.2 | -14.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.148517→0.145621 | -15.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:26 | XRP | Buy | 1.09727→1.09093 | -4.97 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:38 | ETH | Buy | 1665.57→1665.43 | -0.74 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:38 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0792558→0.0786783 | -6.12 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:07 | BTC | Buy | 62694.1→62788.9 | +0.43 | timeout |
| 06-24 05:54 | ADA | Buy | 0.151178→0.151972 | +3.22 | timeout |
| 06-23 22:41 | ETH | Buy | 1662.37→1663.43 | -0.18 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:31 | BTC | Buy | 62168.1→62530.9 | +3.71 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.10368→1.10312 | -1.06 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:35 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0794859→0.0785953 | -8.93 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:16 | SOL | Buy | 68.9483→68.8647 | -1.47 | timeout |
| 06-23 13:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.152648→0.149738 | -15.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:17 | ETH | Buy | 1678.17→1646.61 | -14.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | SOL | Buy | 71.0217→69.6827 | -14.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.15913→0.156093 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | SOL | Buy | 71.8628→70.5051 | -14.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0820355→0.0804756 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 05:57 | XRP | Buy | 1.12978→1.11562 | -10.01 | timeout |
| 06-23 03:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.15858→0.15932 | +2.89 | timeout |
| 06-22 20:48 | BTC | Buy | 65093.3→64432.8 | -8.29 | timeout |
| 06-22 18:55 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0843211→0.0827179 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 17:29 | XRP | Buy | 1.15459→1.13265 | -14.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 16:40 | ETH | Buy | 1767.98→1734.86 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 16:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.16161→0.158461 | -15.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:39 | ADA | Buy | 0.16002→0.162529 | +11.02 | timeout |
| 06-22 13:04 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0831848→0.0845868 | +11.96 | timeout |
| 06-22 12:11 | SOL | Buy | 73.582→74.0369 | +3.89 | timeout |
| 06-22 09:54 | BTC | Buy | 64606.2→64106.8 | -6.52 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:14 | XRP | Buy | 1.13108→1.13662 | +2.99 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:02 | ETH | Buy | 1720.17→1733.43 | +5.10 | timeout |
| 06-22 04:24 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0834028→0.0830902 | -3.47 | timeout |
| 06-22 02:08 | BTC | Buy | 63994.2→64515.8 | +5.40 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | SOL | Buy | 72.6389→74.9508 | +23.19 | take_profit |
| 06-21 21:11 | ETH | Buy | 1727.07→1705.73 | -9.94 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | XRP | Buy | 1.14419→1.12236 | -15.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 19:35 | SOL | Buy | 73.36→74.2539 | +8.39 | timeout |
| 06-21 13:54 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0831448→0.0833322 | +0.97 | timeout |
| 06-21 13:34 | BTC | Buy | 64289.2→63998.8 | -4.03 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:54 | ADA | Buy | 0.16099→0.16083 | -1.42 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:40 | SOL | Buy | 73.7201→73.128 | -6.77 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:25 | DOGE | Buy | 0.08384→0.0833212 | -5.31 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.162061→0.163229 | +4.69 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:47 | XRP | Buy | 1.14819→1.15161 | +1.49 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:35 | ETH | Buy | 1713.87→1743.03 | +12.03 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:33 | SOL | Buy | 71.7888→74.0669 | +23.09 | take_profit |
| 06-20 22:05 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0829047→0.0834521 | +4.23 | timeout |
| 06-20 16:38 | XRP | Buy | 1.14539→1.14591 | -0.40 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:18 | ETH | Buy | 1725.17→1734.73 | +3.43 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:21 | BTC | Buy | 63657.2→63258.8 | -5.40 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:25 | SOL | Buy | 72.2998→70.9349 | -14.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 12:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833408→0.083924 | +4.58 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:19 | BTC | Buy | 63170.2→63627.8 | +4.75 | timeout |
| 06-20 05:48 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0829297→0.0836621 | +5.95 | timeout |
| 06-20 05:06 | SOL | Buy | 68.9473→71.1473 | +23.23 | take_profit |
| 06-20 02:54 | ADA | Buy | 0.16054→0.16177 | +4.99 | timeout |
| 06-20 02:21 | XRP | Buy | 1.13328→1.13612 | +1.24 | timeout |
| 06-19 22:07 | BTC | Buy | 63080.2→63043.8 | -1.13 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:51 | SOL | Buy | 68.1642→69.0786 | +9.43 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:45 | BTC | Buy | 62514.1→63245.8 | +8.15 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:40 | XRP | Buy | 1.12308→1.13412 | +6.72 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.15992→0.16138 | +6.22 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:09 | SOL | Buy | 68.6633→68.6307 | -0.99 | timeout |
| 06-19 11:10 | ETH | Buy | 1704.17→1689.23 | -7.26 | timeout |
| 06-19 04:52 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0836369→0.0820484 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 04:32 | SOL | Buy | 69.8065→68.4945 | -14.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 04:17 | ETH | Buy | 1708.17→1702.03 | -3.40 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.164301→0.161149 | -15.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 23:40 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0822155→0.0834561 | +10.60 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.16103→0.163219 | +9.44 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:40 | BTC | Buy | 62664.1→62904.9 | +2.24 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:37 | ETH | Buy | 1743.47→1710.87 | -14.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:44 | ADA | Buy | 0.166992→0.163777 | -15.14 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
367
closed
40%
win rate
-768.35
total pnl ($)
-27.9 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 74 | 42% | -29.8 | -165.05 |
| BTC | 62 | 44% | -26.4 | -123.45 |
| ETH | 60 | 38% | -29.3 | -131.89 |
| DOGE | 60 | 40% | -38.9 | -175.37 |
| SOL | 57 | 40% | -21.2 | -89.90 |
| XRP | 54 | 35% | -20.6 | -82.69 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 17)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 00:16 | XRP | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 20:32 | ADA | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 20:31 | ADA | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 14:36 | SOL | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 02:17 | ETH | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 23:24 | SOL | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 05:28 | ETH | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 20:36 | BTC | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 17:07 | XRP | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-24 15:00 | ETH | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-24 15:00 | ETH | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-24 15:00 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-24 14:39 | SOL | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 12:44 | ADA | Buy | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-24 11:30 | DOGE | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 08:47 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-24 08:47 | SOL | Buy | trigger_already_opened |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||