246
closed trades
39%
win rate
-343.80
total pnl ($)
0.442
weight
7d window — n=57 wr=37% pnl=-93.47
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 01:10:13 (34.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
akw
n: 179
· wr: 41.9%
· total_bps: -590.1
· mean_bps: -3.30
· sharpe: -0.04
· max_dd_bps: -1157.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 01:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.15864→0.15941 | +3.11 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:28 | SOL | Buy | 72.3979→71.0538 | -14.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 16:45 | BTC | Buy | 65049.3→64522.8 | -6.75 | timeout |
| 06-22 15:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.16126→0.158651 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 15:34 | XRP | Buy | 1.14629→1.14641 | -0.57 | timeout |
| 06-22 13:27 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0835839→0.0844619 | +7.20 | timeout |
| 06-22 09:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.15977→0.16059 | +3.17 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0837259→0.0832882 | -4.61 | timeout |
| 06-22 03:05 | ADA | Buy | 0.15857→0.15942 | +3.32 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.13518→1.14531 | +6.01 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:56 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833708→0.0827953 | -5.85 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:41 | BTC | Buy | 64026.2→63938.8 | -1.70 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:26 | ETH | Buy | 1730.17→1734.13 | +1.04 | timeout |
| 06-21 17:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.16172→0.1618 | -0.27 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:28 | SOL | Buy | 73.496→74.1069 | +5.52 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:39 | BTC | Buy | 64335.2→64003.8 | -4.52 | timeout |
| 06-21 09:24 | ADA | Buy | 0.16042→0.16084 | +1.35 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:53 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833238→0.0830592 | -3.07 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:39 | SOL | Buy | 73.6891→72.8771 | -8.98 | timeout |
| 06-21 07:22 | BTC | Buy | 64343.2→64204.8 | -2.29 | timeout |
| 06-21 02:25 | SOL | Buy | 73.649→73.172 | -5.56 | timeout |
| 06-21 02:25 | ADA | Buy | 0.162991→0.162419 | -3.33 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:08 | ADA | Buy | 0.16198→0.16125 | -4.09 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.163101→0.1619 | -6.18 | timeout |
| 06-20 11:32 | XRP | Buy | 1.14859→1.14771 | -1.23 | timeout |
| 06-20 10:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0842231→0.08391 | -3.45 | timeout |
| 06-20 09:47 | SOL | Buy | 71.6557→71.5043 | -2.29 | timeout |
| 06-20 05:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.13748→1.14301 | +3.00 | timeout |
| 06-19 23:54 | SOL | Buy | 69.0664→69.4816 | +3.85 | timeout |
| 06-19 11:46 | BTC | Buy | 62508.1→62631.9 | +0.83 | timeout |
| 06-19 09:09 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0826547→0.0823514 | -3.40 | timeout |
| 06-19 09:08 | ETH | Buy | 1695.07→1695.33 | -0.56 | timeout |
| 06-19 04:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.162101→0.15944 | -12.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 04:19 | BTC | Buy | 62865.1→62783.9 | -1.63 | timeout |
| 06-19 02:06 | SOL | Buy | 69.5024→70.0155 | +4.82 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:27 | ETH | Buy | 1673.57→1704.53 | +13.18 | timeout |
| 06-18 19:40 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0822155→0.0826203 | +3.01 | timeout |
| 06-18 19:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.16103→0.162529 | +6.27 | timeout |
| 06-18 19:40 | BTC | Buy | 62664.1→62862.9 | +1.75 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:29 | SOL | Buy | 70.9126→69.7896 | -12.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 12:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.166992→0.165639 | -6.78 | timeout |
| 06-18 03:28 | ADA | Buy | 0.166872→0.166758 | -1.20 | timeout |
| 06-18 01:48 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0854964→0.0861585 | +5.12 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:29 | ETH | Buy | 1769.68→1741.65 | -12.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:28 | SOL | Buy | 72.3428→74.4938 | +21.59 | take_profit |
| 06-17 15:05 | BTC | Buy | 64589.2→65145.7 | +5.79 | timeout |
| 06-17 12:56 | ETH | Buy | 1764.98→1758.32 | -3.50 | timeout |
| 06-17 12:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859255→0.0860305 | +0.25 | timeout |
| 06-17 06:04 | XRP | Buy | 1.2202→1.2178 | -2.16 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:27 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0874949→0.0870792 | -4.28 | timeout |
| 06-16 23:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.174894→0.172011 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | BTC | Buy | 66583.3→65543.9 | -12.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:34 | XRP | Buy | 1.24831→1.22828 | -12.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.179685→0.176777 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 12:45 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0883871→0.0884149 | -0.42 | timeout |
| 06-16 12:32 | ETH | Buy | 1783.08→1830.52 | +19.24 | timeout |
| 06-16 10:54 | ADA | Buy | 0.178425→0.179545 | +4.04 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:48 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087973→0.0870242 | -8.76 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.180255→0.177327 | -12.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 16:09 | SOL | Buy | 73.365→75.5507 | +21.66 | take_profit |
| 06-15 15:23 | XRP | Buy | 1.2193→1.25559 | +21.65 | take_profit |
| 06-15 15:06 | BTC | Buy | 65949.3→66623.7 | +7.00 | timeout |
| 06-15 14:42 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0904096→0.0889562 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 11:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.180915→0.182754 | +6.96 | timeout |
| 06-15 03:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.182136→0.181895 | -1.69 | timeout |
| 06-15 02:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.16899→1.1814 | +7.27 | timeout |
| 06-15 01:32 | ETH | Buy | 1702.27→1712.23 | +3.71 | timeout |
| 06-15 01:15 | BTC | Buy | 64349.2→65449.7 | +12.15 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:39 | SOL | Buy | 67.8932→69.9095 | +21.61 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.167152→0.168288 | +4.40 | timeout |
| 06-14 19:27 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859995→0.0864964 | +3.68 | timeout |
| 06-14 19:27 | XRP | Buy | 1.13428→1.13292 | -1.51 | timeout |
| 06-14 18:42 | SOL | Buy | 66.993→67.3579 | +3.46 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:51 | BTC | Buy | 64518.2→63885.8 | -8.03 | timeout |
| 06-14 13:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.170363→0.167848 | -11.71 | timeout |
| 06-14 10:10 | SOL | Buy | 68.4673→68.3367 | -2.10 | timeout |
| 06-14 06:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.172943→0.171767 | -5.77 | timeout |
| 06-14 03:54 | BTC | Buy | 64378.2→64492.8 | +0.67 | timeout |
| 06-14 03:48 | SOL | Buy | 68.8453→68.7727 | -1.40 | timeout |
| 06-14 01:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.14619→1.15251 | +3.52 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:27 | ETH | Buy | 1673.87→1675.73 | +0.18 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:08 | BTC | Buy | 64027.2→64216.8 | +1.55 | timeout |
| 06-13 18:45 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0882601→0.0878 | -4.60 | timeout |
| 06-13 16:53 | ADA | Buy | 0.173613→0.172977 | -3.34 | timeout |
| 06-13 13:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.14409→1.15331 | +5.34 | timeout |
| 06-13 13:06 | ETH | Buy | 1675.57→1679.03 | +0.85 | timeout |
| 06-13 12:35 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0872218→0.087936 | +5.44 | timeout |
| 06-13 11:38 | BTC | Buy | 63799.2→63856.8 | -0.02 | timeout |
| 06-13 04:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.170113→0.170547 | +1.25 | timeout |
| 06-13 01:44 | XRP | Buy | 1.13268→1.13782 | +2.76 | timeout |
| 06-12 19:00 | BTC | Buy | 64049.2→63661.8 | -5.21 | timeout |
| 06-12 15:57 | SOL | Buy | 68.3142→67.2343 | -12.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 13:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.170373→0.167644 | -12.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 13:30 | XRP | Buy | 1.14899→1.13025 | -12.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 11:37 | SOL | Buy | 66.2379→66.809 | +5.76 | timeout |
| 06-12 08:21 | BTC | Buy | 63640.2→63435.8 | -3.11 | timeout |
| 06-12 06:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.171193→0.168374 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 06:10 | XRP | Buy | 1.14779→1.13762 | -7.32 | timeout |
| 06-11 22:03 | BTC | Buy | 63552.2→63553.8 | -0.69 | timeout |
| 06-11 18:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.166352→0.171267 | +21.46 | take_profit |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
246
closed
39%
win rate
-343.80
total pnl ($)
-18.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 59 | 39% | -19.2 | -84.44 |
| BTC | 42 | 33% | -13.0 | -41.09 |
| DOGE | 39 | 33% | -33.0 | -96.52 |
| XRP | 38 | 39% | -32.4 | -92.09 |
| SOL | 35 | 40% | +0.4 | +1.15 |
| ETH | 33 | 48% | -12.4 | -30.81 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 8)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 22:51 | XRP | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 22:51 | DOGE | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 21:55 | SOL | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 21:49 | ADA | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 13:00 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 11:51 | XRP | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 02:17 | DOGE | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-21 22:07 | XRP | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||