62
closed trades
47%
win rate
-21.44
total pnl ($)
1.492
weight
7d window — n=18 wr=67% pnl=+33.86
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 16:22:34 (19.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_recovered_008
n: 67
· wr: 49.3%
· total_bps: -534.1
· mean_bps: -7.97
· sharpe: -0.06
· max_dd_bps: -1325.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 62 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 09:42 | SUI | Buy | 0.701945→0.708323 | +4.06 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:18 | APT | Buy | 0.664166→0.651311 | -10.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 23:24 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0831978→0.0837591 | +2.91 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:25 | APT | Buy | 0.633858→0.642139 | +6.07 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:36 | APT | Buy | 0.637659→0.630742 | -5.87 | timeout |
| 06-20 07:33 | APT | Buy | 0.625956→0.635741 | +7.35 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:37 | SUI | Buy | 0.711718→0.711352 | -0.71 | timeout |
| 06-20 00:32 | APT | Buy | 0.627357→0.636041 | +6.53 | timeout |
| 06-19 21:33 | SUI | Buy | 0.715569→0.710562 | -3.92 | timeout |
| 06-19 17:26 | APT | Buy | 0.623956→0.634041 | +7.63 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:22 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0822706→0.0832372 | +5.42 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:47 | APT | Buy | 0.633458→0.621434 | -9.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:40 | APT | Buy | 0.653963→0.641019 | -10.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 09:49 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0846512→0.0850557 | +1.97 | timeout |
| 06-18 01:31 | APT | Buy | 0.662366→0.673931 | +8.25 | timeout |
| 06-18 00:48 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0857214→0.0862154 | +2.42 | timeout |
| 06-17 17:43 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0857974→0.0870282 | +6.69 | timeout |
| 06-17 15:25 | APT | Buy | 0.662466→0.683629 | +15.50 | take_profit |
| 06-15 07:21 | ARB | Buy | 0.0850213→0.0867783 | +9.85 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:34 | ARB | Buy | 0.0819305→0.0845189 | +15.33 | take_profit |
| 06-04 13:24 | APT | Buy | 0.766292→0.751436 | -10.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 09:24 | SUI | Buy | 0.781885→0.766735 | -10.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 00:30 | XRP | Buy | 1.2092→1.18601 | -10.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 00:29 | APT | Buy | 0.815604→0.7994 | -10.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 00:29 | APT | Buy | 0.815304→0.7994 | -10.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 23:57 | SUI | Buy | 0.8401→0.824042 | -10.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 23:02 | ARB | Buy | 0.0951938→0.09334 | -10.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 20:46 | XRP | Buy | 1.2176→1.1944 | -9.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 19:55 | SUI | Buy | 0.828097→0.81237 | -9.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 15:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0937044→0.0934776 | -1.61 | timeout |
| 06-03 14:17 | APT | Buy | 0.852113→0.852487 | -0.24 | timeout |
| 06-03 14:10 | XRP | Buy | 1.24331→1.22859 | -6.40 | timeout |
| 06-03 11:21 | SUI | Buy | 0.831538→0.83842 | +3.66 | timeout |
| 06-03 06:34 | APT | Buy | 0.821505→0.847788 | +15.56 | take_profit |
| 06-02 12:39 | APT | Buy | 0.908427→0.905674 | -1.95 | timeout |
| 06-02 12:29 | XRP | Buy | 1.26432→1.26098 | -1.76 | timeout |
| 06-02 07:03 | XRP | Buy | 1.28322→1.25886 | -9.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 07:03 | APT | Buy | 0.916129→0.898626 | -10.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 22:12 | APT | Buy | 0.925231→0.928668 | +1.37 | timeout |
| 05-30 18:21 | LINK | Buy | 9.15979→9.23379 | +3.56 | timeout |
| 05-29 18:20 | LINK | Buy | 8.88092→9.04474 | +8.74 | timeout |
| 05-29 11:51 | SUI | Buy | 0.917809→0.900324 | -9.98 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 21:11 | AVAX | Buy | 8.85901→8.95766 | +5.09 | timeout |
| 05-28 19:24 | LINK | Buy | 8.83121→9.02574 | +10.53 | timeout |
| 05-28 17:37 | SUI | Buy | 0.909457→0.932837 | +12.43 | timeout |
| 05-28 10:00 | LINK | Buy | 8.88702→8.91537 | +1.21 | timeout |
| 05-28 09:59 | SUI | Buy | 0.92085→0.922189 | +0.28 | timeout |
| 05-28 03:53 | AVAX | Buy | 9.04766→8.87434 | -10.03 | stop_loss |
| 05-27 21:20 | XRP | Buy | 1.33683→1.33027 | -2.93 | timeout |
| 05-27 13:21 | XRP | Buy | 1.33173→1.32717 | -2.17 | timeout |
| 05-24 08:20 | XRP | Buy | 1.36064→1.35776 | -1.54 | timeout |
| 05-23 20:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.33623→1.36436 | +10.06 | timeout |
| 05-23 17:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0991968→0.101175 | +9.53 | timeout |
| 05-23 13:10 | XRP | Buy | 1.31063→1.32987 | +6.92 | timeout |
| 05-23 06:10 | XRP | Buy | 1.33163→1.33217 | -0.23 | timeout |
| 05-21 10:25 | SUI | Buy | 1.11958→1.09858 | -9.83 | stop_loss |
| 05-21 10:25 | ARB | Buy | 0.111558→0.109408 | -10.07 | stop_loss |
| 05-21 07:20 | ARB | Buy | 0.111868→0.110812 | -5.15 | timeout |
| 05-18 22:20 | ARB | Buy | 0.115499→0.117721 | +9.15 | timeout |
| 05-18 14:21 | ARB | Buy | 0.116119→0.115661 | -2.46 | timeout |
| 05-16 05:43 | LINK | Buy | 10.0775→9.97381 | -5.56 | timeout |
| 05-08 11:22 | ETH | Buy | 2270.13→2291.17 | +4.20 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
62
closed
47%
win rate
-21.44
total pnl ($)
-6.9 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APT | 18 | 44% | -12.1 | -10.87 |
| SUI | 11 | 36% | -62.0 | -34.09 |
| XRP | 11 | 18% | -50.8 | -27.98 |
| ARB | 7 | 43% | +18.7 | +6.46 |
| DOGE | 7 | 86% | +78.0 | +27.31 |
| LINK | 5 | 80% | +73.9 | +18.48 |
| AVAX | 2 | 50% | -49.1 | -4.94 |
| ETH | 1 | 100% | +83.7 | +4.20 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 04:46 | SUI | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 11:22 | ETH | Buy | +4.20 | The market was in a mild downtrend with ETH declining 1.15% over 24 hours and 2.75% over the week, showing persistent bearish pressure. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without reaching a profitable exit, as the short-term sideways … |