330
closed trades
42%
win rate
-507.88
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=82 wr=39% pnl=-261.40
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 08:58:44 (33.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
aoq
n: 112
· wr: 38.4%
· total_bps: -2147.5
· mean_bps: -19.17
· sharpe: -0.19
· max_dd_bps: -2806.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 01:56 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78775→1.78965 | +0.13 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:38 | INJ | Buy | 4.85991→4.76263 | -12.53 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:28 | OP | Buy | 0.101755→0.0998051 | -12.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 15:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.16173→0.158651 | -11.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 14:48 | BTC | Buy | 64129.2→64903.8 | +6.68 | timeout |
| 06-22 14:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.13418→1.14221 | +3.72 | timeout |
| 06-22 14:48 | ETH | Buy | 1746.07→1751.92 | +1.43 | timeout |
| 06-22 12:30 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80375→1.83014 | +8.24 | timeout |
| 06-22 04:26 | INJ | Buy | 4.96704→4.87144 | -12.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 03:14 | XRP | Buy | 1.13108→1.13212 | -0.01 | timeout |
| 06-22 02:34 | ETH | Buy | 1727.27→1739.53 | +3.67 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | SOL | Buy | 72.6339→74.9378 | +18.48 | take_profit |
| 06-22 00:31 | ATOM | Buy | 1.76884→1.76136 | -3.12 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | OP | Buy | 0.101395→0.0994254 | -12.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | APT | Buy | 0.662366→0.649513 | -12.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 18:57 | SOL | Buy | 73.65→74.1279 | +3.31 | timeout |
| 06-21 17:48 | APT | Buy | 0.653063→0.656736 | +2.79 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:10 | OP | Buy | 0.102496→0.102944 | +2.07 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:41 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77524→1.76876 | -2.72 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:15 | NEAR | Buy | 2.25286→2.20944 | -12.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 09:22 | BTC | Buy | 64343.2→63982.8 | -3.95 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:48 | LTC | Buy | 44.5591→44.8318 | +3.14 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:21 | INJ | Buy | 5.08117→4.98466 | -11.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 04:56 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80555→1.77926 | -9.24 | timeout |
| 06-20 21:18 | ETH | Buy | 1734.47→1733.93 | -0.74 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:28 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78675→1.79075 | +0.83 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:35 | SUI | Buy | 0.713088→0.699475 | -12.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 15:19 | NEAR | Buy | 2.10773→2.17606 | +18.92 | take_profit |
| 06-20 15:02 | LTC | Buy | 44.136→44.128 | -0.66 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:48 | BTC | Buy | 63718.2→63432.8 | -3.24 | timeout |
| 06-20 11:47 | SOL | Buy | 71.6557→71.8302 | +0.90 | timeout |
| 06-20 10:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833408→0.083957 | +3.91 | timeout |
| 06-20 07:00 | INJ | Buy | 5.10778→5.10072 | -1.31 | timeout |
| 06-20 05:38 | SUI | Buy | 0.715239→0.716161 | +0.23 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:40 | BTC | Buy | 63268.2→63522.8 | +1.88 | timeout |
| 06-20 03:58 | LTC | Buy | 43.825→43.892 | +0.35 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:54 | SUI | Buy | 0.717969→0.710152 | -7.03 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:54 | SOL | Buy | 69.3084→69.0656 | -2.62 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:35 | ETH | Buy | 1692.87→1699.03 | +1.63 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:01 | ATOM | Buy | 1.81835→1.80675 | -4.28 | timeout |
| 06-19 11:09 | SUI | Buy | 0.714118→0.710032 | -3.90 | timeout |
| 06-19 11:09 | LINK | Buy | 7.87197→7.81375 | -4.96 | timeout |
| 06-19 11:09 | SOL | Buy | 68.6663→68.1488 | -5.05 | timeout |
| 06-19 10:35 | LTC | Buy | 43.3208→43.3921 | +0.48 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.30198→6.17716 | -12.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 03:15 | INJ | Buy | 5.29312→5.15993 | -15.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 03:13 | NEAR | Buy | 2.21445→2.17237 | -11.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 01:42 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78465→1.81165 | +8.61 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:40 | BTC | Buy | 63918.2→62728.5 | -11.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:36 | DOGE | Buy | 0.08412→0.0825231 | -11.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:29 | ETH | Buy | 1750.58→1717.67 | -11.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:25 | SOL | Buy | 71.3407→69.9975 | -11.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 12:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.16619→1.16451 | -1.39 | timeout |
| 06-18 10:33 | SUI | Buy | 0.750328→0.748083 | -2.38 | timeout |
| 06-18 10:33 | ETH | Buy | 1735.47→1740.83 | +1.28 | timeout |
| 06-18 10:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.165571→0.166648 | +3.34 | timeout |
| 06-18 04:11 | ATOM | Buy | 1.87757→1.84172 | -11.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 21:25 | ATOM | Buy | 1.95439→1.91246 | -13.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 20:48 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859075→0.0857046 | -2.00 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:44 | AVAX | Buy | 6.83381→6.70397 | -11.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:29 | ETH | Buy | 1769.18→1736.06 | -11.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:49 | NEAR | Buy | 2.3887→2.34324 | -11.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:28 | SOL | Buy | 72.3879→74.6868 | +18.49 | take_profit |
| 06-17 14:50 | BTC | Buy | 64901.2→65083.7 | +1.16 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.2161→1.193 | -11.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.565→72.1821 | -11.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:38 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0875509→0.0858796 | -12.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 06:31 | BTC | Buy | 65672.3→65648.7 | -0.75 | timeout |
| 06-16 23:47 | XRP | Buy | 1.2141→1.2178 | +1.27 | timeout |
| 06-16 23:46 | SOL | Buy | 73.263→73.554 | +1.86 | timeout |
| 06-16 23:46 | SUI | Buy | 0.783996→0.797771 | +9.96 | timeout |
| 06-16 19:39 | LTC | Buy | 45.3233→45.3807 | +0.20 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:31 | LINK | Buy | 8.26897→8.11181 | -11.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.24751→1.22368 | -12.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:10 | NEAR | Buy | 2.43451→2.38461 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 12:45 | BTC | Buy | 66371.3→66425.7 | -0.07 | timeout |
| 06-16 12:10 | ARB | Buy | 0.0860315→0.0866883 | +4.13 | timeout |
| 06-16 08:21 | INJ | Buy | 5.69862→5.87853 | +18.41 | take_profit |
| 06-16 06:43 | ATOM | Buy | 1.95929→1.96331 | +0.75 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:35 | BTC | Buy | 66260.3→65822.7 | -4.49 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.178175→0.175876 | -8.27 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:31 | ETH | Buy | 1796.58→1762.94 | -11.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 15:04 | LTC | Buy | 45.1883→45.8015 | +7.61 | timeout |
| 06-15 13:19 | ARB | Buy | 0.0864316→0.0891677 | +18.46 | take_profit |
| 06-15 09:28 | OP | Buy | 0.110958→0.109923 | -6.18 | timeout |
| 06-15 09:28 | INJ | Buy | 5.14008→5.1966 | +6.03 | timeout |
| 06-15 04:10 | LTC | Buy | 44.7812→45.2597 | +5.88 | timeout |
| 06-15 04:10 | XRP | Buy | 1.16319→1.1855 | +10.98 | timeout |
| 06-15 02:47 | ADA | Buy | 0.182876→0.179375 | -12.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 21:49 | LINK | Buy | 7.84526→8.09248 | +18.37 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:40 | NEAR | Buy | 2.13093→2.19855 | +18.49 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:33 | SOL | Buy | 67.6661→69.8155 | +18.53 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:27 | ATOM | Buy | 1.95679→1.9997 | +12.64 | timeout |
| 06-14 19:33 | LTC | Buy | 43.884→44.178 | +3.53 | timeout |
| 06-14 18:11 | BTC | Buy | 64449.2→63676.8 | -7.76 | timeout |
| 06-14 17:54 | AVAX | Buy | 6.58134→6.45616 | -11.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 14:36 | ETH | Buy | 1678.07→1656.73 | -8.17 | timeout |
| 06-14 10:52 | BNB | Buy | 608.342→611.107 | +2.18 | timeout |
| 06-14 07:40 | ATOM | Buy | 1.93758→1.93522 | -1.32 | timeout |
| 06-14 06:23 | SUI | Buy | 0.767352→0.762759 | -4.14 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
330
closed
42%
win rate
-507.88
total pnl ($)
-25.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 37 | 54% | -15.4 | -34.48 |
| SOL | 34 | 38% | -18.7 | -37.71 |
| BTC | 33 | 42% | -9.4 | -18.87 |
| ATOM | 27 | 33% | -63.5 | -102.45 |
| DOGE | 21 | 48% | -41.7 | -52.52 |
| INJ | 19 | 32% | -22.3 | -25.17 |
| XRP | 19 | 47% | -0.9 | -0.82 |
| NEAR | 18 | 22% | -72.3 | -78.16 |
| ADA | 18 | 28% | -51.6 | -55.61 |
| LTC | 18 | 67% | +15.9 | +17.08 |
| SUI | 15 | 27% | -60.4 | -54.39 |
| LINK | 14 | 57% | +3.8 | +3.12 |
| APT | 14 | 57% | -7.8 | -6.58 |
| BNB | 12 | 67% | +31.7 | +22.52 |
| AVAX | 12 | 25% | -72.9 | -52.45 |
| OP | 10 | 40% | -36.8 | -22.17 |
| ARB | 9 | 33% | -17.5 | -9.23 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 17)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 23:25 | LTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 23:25 | ADA | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 22:53 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 22:51 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 20:13 | OP | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 20:13 | ATOM | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 20:12 | OP | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 20:12 | ATOM | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 13:01 | ADA | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 09:04 | XRP | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 09:03 | ETH | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 09:03 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 03:45 | INJ | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-21 21:39 | XRP | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-21 21:39 | SOL | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-21 21:38 | XRP | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-21 21:38 | SOL | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||