macro_nft_floor_acceleration_decay_short

67

closed trades

49%

win rate

+2.34

total pnl ($)

1.129

weight

7d window — n=13 wr=46% pnl=+0.59 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-19 20:07:26 (33.7d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: agy__restored_14d1cd2e

n: 56 · wr: 50.0% · total_bps: -889.8 · mean_bps: -15.89 · sharpe: -0.17 · max_dd_bps: -1598.4

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-22 00:22	BTC	Sell	63974.8→63528.2	+0.15	timeout
06-21 11:53	BTC	Sell	64253.8→64090.2	+0.04	timeout
06-20 23:48	BTC	Sell	63726.8→64274.2	-0.24	timeout
06-20 10:19	BTC	Sell	63163.8→63680.2	-0.22	timeout
06-19 20:19	BTC	Sell	62613.9→63003.2	-0.18	timeout
06-19 06:49	BTC	Sell	62750.9→62767.1	-0.03	timeout
06-18 18:22	BTC	Sell	63907.8→62931.1	+0.35	timeout
06-18 05:51	BTC	Sell	65839.7→63875.2	+0.72	timeout
06-17 15:23	BTC	Sell	65728.7→65285.3	+0.15	timeout
06-17 03:22	BTC	Sell	65719.7→65724.3	-0.02	timeout
06-16 15:19	BTC	Sell	65728.7→65833.3	-0.06	timeout
06-16 02:48	BTC	Sell	66609.7→65837.3	+0.27	timeout
06-15 14:21	BTC	Sell	65651.7→66481.3	-0.34	timeout
06-14 23:55	BTC	Sell	64216.8→65798.2	-0.64	stop_loss
06-14 12:51	BTC	Sell	64518.8→64283.2	+0.07	timeout
06-13 23:20	BTC	Sell	63945.8→64547.2	-0.26	timeout
06-13 10:21	BTC	Sell	63608.8→63741.2	-0.07	timeout
06-12 20:23	BTC	Sell	63511.8→63513.2	-0.02	timeout
06-12 08:20	BTC	Sell	63510.8→63430.2	+0.01	timeout
06-11 19:56	BTC	Sell	62690.9→63641.2	-0.40	timeout
06-11 07:55	BTC	Sell	61950.9→62673.1	-0.31	timeout
06-10 19:50	BTC	Sell	61673.9→61914.1	-0.12	timeout
06-10 05:29	BTC	Sell	61716.9→62023.1	-0.15	timeout
06-09 16:55	BTC	Sell	63309.8→61329.1	+0.76	timeout
06-09 04:58	BTC	Sell	63469.8→63255.2	+0.06	timeout
06-08 16:34	BTC	Sell	62823.9→63695.2	-0.37	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	62105.9→63635	-0.64	stop_loss
06-07 16:29	BTC	Sell	61537.9→62161.1	-0.28	timeout
06-06 22:58	BTC	Sell	60520→60591	-0.05	timeout
06-05 15:17	BTC	Sell	62606.9→60728	+0.73	timeout
06-04 13:38	BTC	Sell	62489.9→64032.2	-0.64	stop_loss
06-04 01:55	BTC	Sell	64985.8→62132.1	+1.08	take_profit
06-03 22:08	BTC	Sell	67400.6→65508.3	+0.68	timeout
06-03 12:18	BTC	Sell	67075.6→66806.3	+0.08	timeout
06-02 19:28	BTC	Sell	70092.5→66886.3	+1.12	take_profit
06-02 08:46	BTC	Sell	71576.4→69895.5	+0.57	timeout
06-01 17:48	BTC	Sell	73416.3→71684.6	+0.57	timeout
06-01 01:50	BTC	Sell	73829.3→73506.7	+0.09	timeout
05-31 11:54	BTC	Sell	73805.3→73880.7	-0.04	timeout
05-30 23:46	BTC	Sell	73588.3→73787.7	-0.09	timeout
05-29 20:45	BTC	Sell	73768.3→73690.7	+0.00	timeout
05-29 06:12	BTC	Sell	73646.3→73394.7	+0.07	timeout
05-28 16:08	BTC	Sell	73150.3→72855.6	+0.08	timeout
05-28 02:39	BTC	Sell	75047.2→74222.7	+0.25	timeout
05-27 12:09	BTC	Sell	75941.2→75657.8	+0.07	timeout
05-26 23:09	BTC	Sell	77347.1→75788.8	+0.48	timeout
05-26 11:08	BTC	Sell	77225.1→77387.9	-0.08	timeout
05-25 22:39	BTC	Sell	77502.1→77118.9	+0.10	timeout
05-25 07:38	BTC	Sell	76630.2→77243.9	-0.22	timeout
05-24 19:38	BTC	Sell	76832.2→76637.8	+0.04	timeout
05-24 06:38	BTC	Sell	75782.2→76745.8	-0.34	timeout
05-23 18:37	BTC	Sell	75377.2→75819.8	-0.17	timeout
05-23 06:07	BTC	Sell	76725.2→75459.8	+0.39	timeout
05-22 17:37	BTC	Sell	77574.1→76940.8	+0.18	timeout
05-22 03:37	BTC	Sell	77046.1→77747.9	-0.25	timeout
05-21 15:37	BTC	Sell	77971.1→77072.9	+0.27	timeout
05-21 02:07	BTC	Sell	77130.1→77866.9	-0.26	timeout
05-20 08:36	BTC	Sell	76913.2→77312.9	-0.15	timeout
05-19 20:35	BTC	Sell	77090.1→76909.8	+0.04	timeout
05-19 07:43	BTC	Sell	76741.2→77264.9	-0.19	timeout
05-18 19:43	BTC	Sell	76914.2→76748.8	+0.03	timeout
05-16 10:02	BTC	Sell	78974.1→78978	-0.02	timeout
05-15 21:04	BTC	Sell	80556→79113	+0.42	timeout
05-12 10:43	BTC	Sell	81715.9→81724.1	-0.02	timeout
05-12 03:01	BTC	Sell	80831→81724.1	-0.30	timeout
05-10 23:03	BTC	Sell	80907→82290.1	-0.45	timeout
05-10 06:03	BTC	Sell	80795→80682	+0.01	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

67

closed

49%

win rate

+2.34

total pnl ($)

+13.6 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	67	49%	+13.6	+2.34

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
05-10 06:03	BTC	Sell	+0.01	The market was in a mild uptrend with BTC up 2.30% over 24 hours and low negative funding, suggesting neutral-to-bullish sentiment. The short thesis failed because the timeout closed the trade prematurely before any significant downside materialized in the …

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Cumulative P&L (last 67 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

Postmortem feed (last 10)