5
closed trades
60%
win rate
+14.85
total pnl ($)
1.216
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 00:31:58 (35.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: PASS
· strict: STRICT-PASS
· batch:
acv__restored_beea5ea3
n: 11
· wr: 63.6%
· total_bps: +214.7
· mean_bps: +19.52
· sharpe: +0.27
· max_dd_bps: -123.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 5 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.44 | timeout |
| 05-04 16:23 | BTC | Buy | 78349.9→80248 | +11.69 | timeout |
| 05-02 03:06 | BTC | Buy | 77866.9→78300.1 | +2.36 | timeout |
| 05-01 19:06 | BTC | Buy | 78166.9→78490.1 | +1.63 | timeout |
| 05-01 10:11 | BTC | Buy | 77106.9→77119.1 | -0.39 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
5
closed
60%
win rate
+14.85
total pnl ($)
+59.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 5 | 60% | +59.0 | +14.85 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 16:23 | BTC | Buy | +11.69 | The market was in a neutral state with Bitcoin trading flat on the hour and funding rates near zero, indicating a lack of strong directional momentum. The trade failed because the position was closed due to a timeout, meaning the anticipated move never mate… |
| 05-02 03:06 | BTC | Buy | +2.36 | BTC had consolidated near $78,300 with minimal 1-hour momentum (-0.01%) after a modest 2.23% 24-hour rally, while funding rates turned slightly negative (-0.0073%) suggesting reduced leverage appetite. The macro_doge_mania fade strategy's thesis—that a 10% … |
| 05-01 19:06 | BTC | Buy | +1.63 | At close, Bitcoin had stabilized around $78,507 after a modest 2.81% 24-hour rally, with funding rates turning slightly negative (-0.26 bps) as leverage cooled following the initial Dogecoin mania spike. The trade's thesis partially worked: the 11.4% Dogeco… |
| 05-01 10:11 | BTC | Buy | -0.39 | # Trade Analysis: macro_doge_mania_fade_btc_long Bitcoin was consolidating near $77.3k with modest positive 24h momentum (+1.71%) but negligible 1h movement (-0.00%), reflecting a stable-to-choppy 6-hour window that allowed the long to persist without forc… |