loose_top_trader_ls_contrarian · strategy

164

closed trades

45%

win rate

+211.98

total pnl ($)

1.457

weight

7d window — n=37 wr=43% pnl=+37.39 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-24 04:34:30 (29.2d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: axn

n: 129 · wr: 38.8% · total_bps: -2162.4 · mean_bps: -16.76 · sharpe: -0.09 · max_dd_bps: -4014.9

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-22 04:07	BTC	Buy	64006.2→63935.8	-1.03	timeout
06-22 01:26	SOL	Buy	71.6918→74.8288	+21.39	take_profit
06-22 00:06	BNB	Sell	586.353→585.046	+0.89	timeout
06-21 02:38	SAGA	Sell	0.0136566→0.0140105	-13.41	stop_loss
06-20 22:34	AAVE	Buy	73.3513→76.5479	+21.34	take_profit
06-20 20:08	ICP	Buy	2.23786→2.28333	+9.71	timeout
06-20 14:05	NEAR	Buy	2.16804→2.11202	-13.32	stop_loss
06-20 12:16	ACE	Buy	0.0849212→0.0827379	-13.30	stop_loss
06-20 08:05	TRX	Sell	0.31999→0.322471	-4.33	timeout
06-20 08:05	BNB	Sell	580.045→587.147	-6.35	timeout
06-19 20:04	BNB	Sell	588.703→579.925	+6.75	timeout
06-19 12:37	DOT	Buy	0.969382→0.945021	-13.02	stop_loss
06-19 03:19	ACE	Buy	0.0782196→0.0762428	-13.09	stop_loss
06-18 15:48	BLUR	Buy	0.016029→0.0156183	-13.26	stop_loss
06-18 15:40	FIL	Sell	0.79788→0.763071	+21.36	take_profit
06-18 15:37	DOT	Sell	0.99885→0.954699	+21.65	take_profit
06-18 15:18	AVAX	Sell	6.73911→6.43531	+21.87	take_profit
06-18 05:02	SUI	Sell	0.775606→0.741835	+21.31	take_profit
06-18 03:57	DOT	Sell	1.02654→0.981485	+21.50	take_profit
06-17 19:39	ICP	Buy	2.4122→2.35024	-13.29	stop_loss
06-17 16:07	BNB	Sell	614.586→606.111	+6.67	timeout
06-17 15:50	NEAR	Buy	2.28507→2.385	+21.39	take_profit
06-17 15:38	FIL	Sell	0.80118→0.821696	-13.25	stop_loss
06-17 08:37	DOGE	Buy	0.0882771→0.0860634	-13.01	stop_loss
06-17 08:06	BTC	Buy	66542.3→65428.7	-8.86	timeout
06-17 01:49	SUI	Sell	0.794381→0.814711	-13.09	stop_loss
06-17 01:46	DOT	Sell	1.00115→1.02637	-13.05	stop_loss
06-16 14:23	DOGE	Buy	0.0887452→0.0864951	-13.15	stop_loss
06-16 08:45	AVAX	Sell	6.81949→6.99084	-13.02	stop_loss
06-16 02:18	SOL	Buy	75.1793→73.3133	-12.86	stop_loss
06-16 02:01	ETC	Buy	7.52348→7.3325	-13.14	stop_loss
06-15 22:24	ETH	Buy	1840.68→1795.12	-12.84	stop_loss
06-15 18:31	APT	Buy	0.712678→0.694579	-13.16	stop_loss
06-15 15:38	SOL	Buy	71.2537→74.3688	+21.44	take_profit
06-15 13:08	ETC	Buy	7.28082→7.5997	+21.45	take_profit
06-15 12:42	DOGE	Buy	0.0863696→0.0901275	+21.18	take_profit
06-15 12:10	XRP	Buy	1.182→1.23349	+21.32	take_profit
06-15 04:08	BTC	Buy	64070.2→65734.7	+12.49	timeout
06-15 00:06	ETH	Buy	1677.07→1723.83	+13.50	timeout
06-14 23:26	SUI	Buy	0.7594→0.792452	+21.24	take_profit
06-14 21:40	ADA	Sell	0.169688→0.174	-13.10	stop_loss
06-14 12:36	ADA	Buy	0.173063→0.168703	-12.85	stop_loss
06-14 08:07	DOGE	Sell	0.0874991→0.0870628	+2.27	timeout
06-14 08:06	LTC	Buy	42.9987→43.991	+11.33	timeout
06-13 12:56	XRP	Sell	1.12622→1.15457	-12.90	stop_loss
06-13 08:04	XRP	Buy	1.14159→1.14061	-1.10	timeout
06-13 06:37	AAVE	Sell	64.098→65.7133	-13.05	stop_loss
06-12 22:25	SAGA	Sell	0.0126168→0.0129397	-13.24	stop_loss
06-12 16:04	BTC	Buy	62617.1→63677.8	+7.90	timeout
06-12 16:04	LTC	Sell	42.7513→42.8557	-1.59	timeout
06-12 14:20	DOGE	Buy	0.0850012→0.0887258	+21.28	take_profit
06-12 11:13	BLUR	Buy	0.0177334→0.0185094	+21.43	take_profit
06-11 18:00	SAGA	Sell	0.0122669→0.0125994	-14.00	stop_loss
06-11 11:30	ETH	Sell	1626.04→1666.3	-12.77	stop_loss
06-11 10:55	BTC	Sell	61674.9→63201.7	-12.66	stop_loss
06-11 03:55	AVAX	Sell	6.3903→6.55992	-13.71	stop_loss
06-11 03:55	LINK	Sell	7.57271→7.78984	-14.80	stop_loss
06-11 01:41	SOL	Sell	63.3745→64.9512	-12.87	stop_loss
06-10 21:54	DOT	Sell	0.946463→0.905116	+21.39	take_profit
06-10 21:50	HBAR	Buy	0.0790208→0.0770192	-13.11	stop_loss
06-10 17:29	ADA	Buy	0.164561→0.16042	-13.04	stop_loss
06-10 16:46	ARB	Buy	0.0807802→0.0787109	-13.26	stop_loss
06-10 13:49	BTC	Sell	60963→62468.3	-12.78	stop_loss
06-10 13:40	INJ	Buy	5.04686→5.27098	+21.77	take_profit
06-10 12:02	BLUR	Sell	0.0177266→0.0171533	+15.72	timeout
06-09 16:39	LINK	Sell	8.0168→7.66692	+21.42	take_profit
06-09 16:38	XRP	Sell	1.17181→1.12078	+21.30	take_profit
06-09 16:07	BTC	Sell	62870.9→61010.1	+14.56	timeout
06-09 12:10	FIL	Buy	0.768192→0.773237	+2.83	timeout
06-09 05:33	ADA	Sell	0.165759→0.169927	-13.02	stop_loss
06-09 00:36	ARB	Buy	0.0826207→0.0805396	-12.80	stop_loss
06-08 20:50	TRX	Sell	0.327888→0.326612	+1.50	timeout
06-08 18:06	BNB	Sell	594.821→609.737	-12.93	stop_loss
06-08 05:15	OP	Buy	0.0970443→0.094609	-12.96	stop_loss
06-08 00:17	HYPE	Sell	58.8233→60.3102	-13.09	stop_loss
06-07 22:14	UNI	Sell	2.52507→2.58844	-13.00	stop_loss
06-07 22:14	SUI	Sell	0.749892→0.768876	-13.09	stop_loss
06-07 20:02	DOT	Buy	0.942316→0.942004	-0.62	timeout
06-07 16:03	BTC	Buy	60835→62010.9	+9.11	timeout
06-07 08:57	ETH	Buy	1570.76→1639.64	+21.50	take_profit
06-07 08:45	DOGE	Buy	0.0815314→0.0850827	+21.35	take_profit
06-07 08:38	XRP	Buy	1.09227→1.13981	+21.67	take_profit
06-06 04:27	XRP	Buy	1.08807→1.0608	-12.96	stop_loss
06-06 04:19	LTC	Buy	42.5996→41.5278	-12.92	stop_loss
06-06 04:13	SOL	Buy	63.0675→61.498	-12.89	stop_loss
06-06 04:08	TRX	Sell	0.330587→0.31938	+16.50	timeout
06-05 21:42	ONDO	Buy	0.330693→0.345074	+21.29	take_profit
06-05 20:49	ICP	Buy	2.23396→2.33192	+21.47	take_profit
06-05 19:01	AVAX	Buy	6.90072→6.71996	-13.56	stop_loss
06-05 18:54	SAGA	Sell	0.0140165→0.0133933	+21.78	take_profit
06-05 16:57	XMR	Sell	311.272→319.099	-13.02	stop_loss
06-05 16:11	ACE	Sell	0.0901775→0.0861215	+22.04	take_profit
06-05 14:06	LTC	Buy	43.995→42.8888	-13.01	stop_loss
06-05 13:56	SOL	Buy	66.1399→64.4991	-12.84	stop_loss
06-05 13:55	XRP	Buy	1.13418→1.10577	-12.97	stop_loss
06-05 11:45	AAVE	Buy	68.06→66.3582	-12.95	stop_loss
06-05 06:22	ATOM	Sell	1.80225→1.72143	+21.90	take_profit
06-05 06:16	BTC	Buy	63492.2→61929.9	-12.69	stop_loss
06-05 04:54	ADA	Buy	0.16074→0.167748	+21.34	take_profit
06-05 03:59	SUI	Sell	0.762449→0.729172	+21.38	take_profit

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

164

closed

45%

win rate

+211.98

total pnl ($)

+25.6 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
XRP	12	50%	+63.4	+38.48
SOL	10	50%	+15.4	+7.75
BTC	9	44%	-9.1	-3.96
LINK	8	50%	+79.4	+31.79
DOGE	8	62%	+118.8	+47.71
SUI	8	50%	+82.2	+32.94
ADA	7	29%	-64.2	-22.23
AVAX	7	29%	-104.7	-37.06
LTC	7	14%	-160.3	-55.85
BNB	7	57%	+8.7	+3.50
DOT	7	43%	+71.1	+24.88
ACE	6	17%	-156.4	-46.92
ETH	6	50%	+4.2	+1.53
NEAR	5	60%	+149.2	+37.38
ICP	5	80%	+245.0	+61.24
ONDO	4	75%	+255.0	+51.01
TRX	4	50%	+3.3	+0.66
BLUR	4	50%	+52.9	+10.58
SAGA	4	25%	-94.4	-18.88
ETC	3	33%	-41.2	-6.17
UNI	3	33%	-161.9	-24.29
AAVE	3	33%	-31.1	-4.66
FIL	3	67%	+73.0	+10.94
APT	2	50%	+84.1	+8.33
OP	2	0%	-261.6	-26.03
ATOM	2	50%	+77.9	+7.75
RENDER	2	100%	+432.9	+43.29
GOAT	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
CHILLGUY	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
ZEREBRO	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
HYPE	2	50%	+82.2	+8.22
ARB	2	0%	-263.0	-26.06
BCH	1	100%	+428.7	+21.43
KAS	1	100%	+435.7	+21.78
XLM	1	100%	+429.4	+21.47
XMR	1	0%	-260.5	-13.02
INJ	1	100%	+435.1	+21.77
HBAR	1	0%	-262.3	-13.11

Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)

time	sym	side	reason
06-22 04:47	DOT	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 04:47	DOT	Buy	trigger_already_opened

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…