liq_squeeze_contrarian_short · strategy

315

closed trades

32%

win rate

-159.69

total pnl ($)

1.271

weight

7d window — n=46 wr=50% pnl=+9.83 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-04 08:19:51 (22.9d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: aro

n: 409 · wr: 44.5% · total_bps: +650.8 · mean_bps: +1.59 · sharpe: +0.02 · max_dd_bps: -2689.8

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-26 19:49	BTC	Sell	59624→59832	-1.75	timeout
06-26 15:26	BTC	Sell	59634→60273.1	-4.65	stop_loss
06-26 13:43	BTC	Sell	59054→59436	-2.95	timeout
06-26 11:51	BTC	Sell	59389→59363	-0.18	timeout
06-26 09:19	SOL	Sell	69.8585→69.7235	+0.42	timeout
06-26 06:22	ETH	Sell	1543.35→1559.94	-4.66	stop_loss
06-26 03:27	BTC	Sell	58663.1→58877.9	-1.83	timeout
06-26 02:08	ETH	Sell	1560.64→1558.66	+0.14	timeout
06-25 20:07	BTC	Sell	59293→59653	-2.79	timeout
06-25 17:29	BTC	Sell	59706→59546	+0.71	timeout
06-25 15:43	ETH	Sell	1565.64→1555.56	+2.21	timeout
06-25 14:32	BTC	Sell	58994.1→59619.8	-4.60	stop_loss
06-25 13:59	ETH	Sell	1555.44→1532.15	+5.63	take_profit
06-25 13:44	BTC	Sell	61043.9→60134	+5.60	take_profit
06-25 11:36	DOT	Sell	0.88002→0.877159	+0.94	timeout
06-25 01:48	BTC	Sell	60771→60803	-0.57	timeout
06-24 23:26	ETH	Sell	1615.64→1621.06	-1.70	timeout
06-24 18:15	SOL	Sell	65.0022→65.7097	-4.71	stop_loss
06-24 17:44	ETH	Sell	1588.44→1564.86	+5.57	take_profit
06-24 16:57	BTC	Sell	60297→59753	+3.24	timeout
06-24 15:56	BTC	Sell	60981→60298	+4.12	timeout
06-24 14:49	DOGE	Sell	0.0769428→0.0767592	+0.59	timeout
06-24 13:43	BTC	Sell	62422.9→61482.1	+5.67	take_profit
06-24 11:14	SOL	Sell	69.2016→68.8693	+1.56	timeout
06-23 19:45	BTC	Sell	62128.9→62262.1	-1.22	timeout
06-23 16:05	ARB	Sell	0.0791102→0.0782596	+3.92	timeout
06-23 13:50	ADA	Sell	0.151212→0.151918	-2.22	timeout
06-23 09:18	XRP	Sell	1.10472→1.10298	+0.27	timeout
06-23 08:17	ETH	Sell	1679.03→1654.17	+5.56	take_profit
06-23 07:06	BTC	Sell	63296.8→62919.1	+2.03	timeout
06-23 05:55	BTC	Sell	63659.8→63355.2	+1.56	timeout
06-23 02:52	SOL	Sell	71.4403→71.9738	-3.36	timeout
06-22 23:47	BTC	Sell	63892.8→63968.2	-0.83	timeout
06-22 22:43	BTC	Sell	64181.8→63891.2	+1.45	timeout
06-22 19:59	SOL	Sell	72.7441→72.7259	-0.26	timeout
06-22 18:30	BTC	Sell	64476.8→64583.2	-1.02	timeout
06-22 16:51	ETH	Sell	1742.73→1738.17	+0.68	timeout
06-22 15:36	SOL	Sell	73.6739→73.7011	-0.51	timeout
06-22 04:04	BTC	Sell	64074.8→63940.2	+0.48	timeout
06-22 00:35	BTC	Sell	63369.8→63738.2	-2.68	timeout
06-21 21:51	BTC	Sell	63679.8→63799.2	-1.11	timeout
06-21 12:19	ETH	Sell	1721.53→1719.17	+0.19	timeout
06-21 09:34	BTC	Sell	63921.8→64082.2	-1.36	timeout
06-20 18:38	ETH	Sell	1724.83→1728.47	-1.21	timeout
06-20 17:33	SUI	Sell	0.705004→0.705446	-0.61	timeout
06-20 14:20	DOT	Sell	0.96093→0.950328	+4.05	timeout
06-19 19:34	AVAX	Sell	5.70937→5.77343	-4.85	stop_loss
06-19 18:51	AVAX	Sell	5.84444→5.91513	-5.20	stop_loss
06-19 18:27	BTC	Sell	62843.9→63093.2	-1.95	timeout
06-19 13:05	ETH	Sell	1680.13→1698.22	-4.67	stop_loss
06-19 11:44	ETH	Sell	1687.63→1693.07	-1.65	timeout
06-19 10:15	BTC	Sell	62413.9→62497.1	-0.90	timeout
06-19 08:40	XRP	Sell	1.12192→1.12858	-2.74	timeout
06-19 05:34	XRP	Sell	1.12752→1.12788	-0.49	timeout
06-19 04:15	BTC	Sell	62706.9→62846.1	-1.25	timeout
06-18 18:23	ETH	Sell	1677.23→1684.97	-2.21	timeout
06-18 16:43	ETH	Sell	1699.73→1686.97	+2.64	timeout
06-18 15:37	SOL	Sell	70.6084→69.5584	+5.59	take_profit
06-18 14:37	ETH	Sell	1737.93→1739.67	-0.76	timeout
06-18 12:00	BTC	Sell	64075.8→63954.2	+0.40	timeout
06-18 06:08	DOGE	Sell	0.083954→0.084195	-1.51	timeout
06-18 04:32	BTC	Sell	64329.8→63916.2	+2.21	timeout
06-18 01:29	BTC	Sell	64540.8→64644.2	-1.00	timeout
06-17 22:24	SUI	Sell	0.76137→0.769777	-4.78	stop_loss
06-17 20:47	XRP	Sell	1.1806→1.1847	-1.75	timeout
06-17 19:41	BTC	Sell	65184.7→64209.2	+5.63	take_profit
06-17 19:01	XRP	Sell	1.2073→1.2113	-1.69	timeout
06-17 17:55	ETH	Sell	1771.92→1790.97	-4.66	stop_loss
06-17 15:03	ETH	Sell	1758.12→1756.48	+0.01	timeout
06-17 13:24	ETH	Sell	1746.33→1756.38	-2.66	timeout
06-17 12:06	ETH	Sell	1762.72→1763.78	-0.60	timeout
06-17 09:31	ETH	Sell	1767.12→1774.78	-2.10	timeout
06-17 08:23	BTC	Sell	65510.7→65325.3	+0.77	timeout
06-17 01:53	ETH	Sell	1780.02→1799.28	-4.69	stop_loss
06-17 00:19	ADA	Sell	0.172257→0.172633	-1.24	timeout
06-16 20:04	BTC	Sell	65688.7→65613.3	+0.10	timeout
06-16 17:31	ETH	Sell	1774.82→1780.38	-1.61	timeout
06-16 15:19	ETH	Sell	1779.82→1781.78	-0.80	timeout
06-16 13:44	ETH	Sell	1816.52→1804.38	+2.32	timeout
06-16 12:10	AVAX	Sell	6.93757→6.94754	-0.94	timeout
06-16 09:52	DOGE	Sell	0.0884989→0.0884761	-0.27	timeout
06-16 05:32	ETH	Sell	1762.62→1761.98	-0.21	timeout
06-16 03:13	ETH	Sell	1785.12→1772.58	+2.45	timeout
06-16 00:39	ETH	Sell	1788.42→1796.48	-2.16	timeout
06-15 23:36	DOGE	Sell	0.0882289→0.087882	+1.21	timeout
06-15 22:33	DOGE	Sell	0.0886948→0.088036	+2.61	timeout
06-15 20:21	ETH	Sell	1812.32→1821.08	-2.29	timeout
06-15 18:04	ETH	Sell	1828.32→1827.08	-0.09	timeout
06-15 14:31	ETH	Sell	1816.42→1811.78	+0.66	timeout
06-15 02:08	ETH	Sell	1716.83→1719.67	-1.02	timeout
06-14 23:08	BTC	Sell	64954.8→65436.3	-3.32	timeout
06-14 18:39	BTC	Sell	63731.8→63763.2	-0.55	timeout
06-14 15:31	BTC	Sell	64075.8→63994.2	+0.15	timeout
06-14 13:40	ETH	Sell	1668.13→1664.67	+0.47	timeout
06-13 20:19	ADA	Sell	0.171597→0.171933	-1.15	timeout
06-12 20:47	SOL	Sell	66.75→66.65	+0.23	timeout
06-12 16:34	BTC	Sell	63909.8→63875.2	-0.14	timeout
06-12 14:31	BTC	Sell	63215.8→63588.2	-2.71	timeout
06-12 13:29	BTC	Sell	63428.8→63365.2	+0.04	timeout
06-12 07:30	ETH	Sell	1658.33→1658.57	-0.42	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

315

closed

32%

win rate

-159.69

total pnl ($)

-13.3 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	119	36%	-11.0	-50.06
ETH	99	32%	-15.8	-60.78
SOL	35	40%	+1.5	+1.74
XRP	21	24%	-21.6	-17.32
SUI	11	0%	-44.2	-10.58
DOGE	10	40%	+10.4	+3.74
ADA	8	0%	-55.2	-15.50
AVAX	5	0%	-81.7	-13.08
ARB	2	100%	+69.5	+5.53
LINK	2	0%	-104.7	-8.38
DOT	2	100%	+62.4	+4.99
BNB	1	0%	—	+0.00

Recent bounces (last 20 of 4)

time	sym	side	reason
06-26 02:42	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 16:12	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 14:06	DOGE	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 13:19	BTC	Sell	stale_intent

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…