lending_aave_weth_utilization_extreme_supply_long

not live
0
closed trades
0%
win rate
+0.00
total pnl ($)
0.000
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-18 06:40:57 (34.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: aaw
n: 98  ·  wr: 46.9%  ·  total_bps: -443.3  ·  mean_bps: -4.52  ·  sharpe: -0.07  ·  max_dd_bps: -540.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 0 closed)

no closed trades to chart

Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
none

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
0
closed
0%
win rate
+0.00
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
no paper trades

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
05-04 21:57ETHBuy-4.32The market exhibited low volatility with flat momentum and neutral funding rates, creating a stagnant environment for directional moves. The trade failed because the thesis relied on immediate price appreciation that never materialized, resulting in a loss …
05-04 17:57ETHBuy+9.72The market was in a neutral state with ETH trading sideways near $2330 while both Bitcoin and Ethereum experienced minor intraday declines. The trade failed because the anticipated move did not materialize within the allocated time window, resulting in a ti…
05-03 05:52ETHBuy-0.86# Trade Analysis: ETH Lending Position ETH traded sideways with minimal directional momentum (0.10% over the prior hour, -0.74% over 7 days) while maintaining stable funding rates at 0.001394%, providing no tailwind for a long position seeking yield or dir…
05-03 01:51ETHBuy-7.03At close, ETH had drifted sideways with minimal directional conviction over 1h (−0.03%) and 7d weakness (−0.97%), while positive funding at 0.00126% suggested modest long positioning lacked urgency to push price higher. The thesis failed because the long en…
05-02 21:51ETHBuy+5.29ETH traded sideways with a slight 1-hour decline of -0.47% while maintaining positive 24-hour momentum (+1.25%), closing near the trade's exit price of $2,325.97 in a low-volatility environment. The lending_aave_weth_utilization_extreme_supply_long thesis f…
05-02 17:51ETHBuy-1.39# Trade Analysis **Market Context at Close:** ETH was trading with negative funding rates at -0.007%, indicating slight bearish sentiment with $1.77B in open interest, suggesting neither strong conviction nor panic in the derivatives market during the 4-ho…
05-02 13:48ETHBuy-0.04# Trade Post-Mortem: ETH Lending/WETH Utilization Long **Market Context:** ETH was trading in a low-volatility, slightly negative funding environment (-0.00107%) with $1.78B open interest, indicating weak bullish conviction and potential deleveraging press…
05-02 09:49ETHBuy+0.85# Trade Analysis: AAVE WETH Utilization Long (ETH) Market was trading ETH near $2,305 with minimal funding rates (0.004%) and $1.76B open interest, indicating balanced leverage positioning with no extreme funding pressure to sustain the utility-driven thes…
05-02 05:48ETHBuy-0.27# Trade Analysis: ETH Lending Strategy ETH traded sideways in a narrow 50 bps range during the 4-hour window, closing near entry with minimal directional conviction and depressed funding rates (0.003492%) signaling weak long demand. The thesis of capturing…
05-02 01:48ETHBuy+2.02At close, ETH was trading with minimal positive funding (0.005394%) and substantial open interest ($1.76B), indicating balanced long-short positioning with no acute leverage squeeze pressure. The thesis underperformed because the 240-minute horizon was insu…