5
closed trades
60%
win rate
+1.58
total pnl ($)
1.084
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-18 13:13:30 (34.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
act
n: 17
· wr: 52.9%
· total_bps: -110.1
· mean_bps: -6.48
· sharpe: -0.08
· max_dd_bps: -291.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 5 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 19:17 | ETH | Sell | 2391.06→2344.03 | +9.37 | timeout |
| 05-06 09:32 | ETH | Sell | 2354.06→2397.94 | -9.64 | stop_loss |
| 05-04 01:42 | ETH | Sell | 2333.17→2331.53 | -0.10 | timeout |
| 05-03 01:41 | ETH | Sell | 2310.57→2303.83 | +1.01 | timeout |
| 05-02 01:41 | ETH | Sell | 2303.67→2297.33 | +0.95 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
5
closed
60%
win rate
+1.58
total pnl ($)
+5.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 5 | 60% | +5.8 | +1.58 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 19:17 | ETH | Sell | +9.37 | The market was in a mild short-term uptrend with ETH gaining 0.65% in the hour, but still down over the past week. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, preventing any profit from the minor intraday… |
| 05-06 09:32 | ETH | Sell | -9.64 | The market was in a broad downtrend with ETH falling 4.89% over the week and negative funding, indicating persistent bearish pressure. The short thesis failed because the stop_loss was triggered by a temporary intraday bounce against the prevailing trend, c… |
| 05-03 01:41 | ETH | Sell | +1.01 | # Trade Analysis When ETH closed at $2313.18, the market was consolidating with minimal directional momentum (0.38% 24h gain, 0.08% 1h move on BTC), offering no catalyst to push price toward your $2,300.96 take-profit target within the 360-minute window. Y… |
| 05-02 01:41 | ETH | Sell | +0.95 | # Trade Closeout Analysis At close, ETH was trading in a low-volatility, positively-funded environment with $1.76B open interest and 0.0054% funding, indicating modest bullish positioning but no extreme leverage buildup. The thesis partially succeeded beca… |