6
closed trades
67%
win rate
+9.99
total pnl ($)
1.255
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-18 19:51:41 (40.7d ago) · src: canon
verdict: PASS
· strict: STRICT-PASS
· batch:
abm__restored_c11bd8f6
n: 35
· wr: 48.6%
· total_bps: +567.1
· mean_bps: +16.20
· sharpe: +0.17
· max_dd_bps: -278.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 6 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-02 03:06 | ETH | Buy | 2285.23→2303.17 | +4.32 | timeout |
| 05-01 21:06 | ETH | Buy | 2305.33→2284.67 | -6.17 | timeout |
| 05-01 15:05 | ETH | Buy | 2283.43→2304.87 | +5.32 | timeout |
| 05-01 09:05 | ETH | Buy | 2265.73→2282.97 | +4.19 | timeout |
| 05-01 03:04 | ETH | Buy | 2263.63→2265.27 | -0.10 | timeout |
| 04-30 09:02 | ETH | Buy | 2245.7→2256.43 | +2.42 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
6
closed
67%
win rate
+9.99
total pnl ($)
+26.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 6 | 67% | +26.7 | +9.99 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-02 03:06 | ETH | Buy | +4.32 | At close, ETH had staged a modest intraday recovery (+0.20% on the 1h timeframe) after a weak 7-day performance (-0.68%), with BTC outperforming on a daily basis (+2.23% vs ETH's +1.58%), suggesting a mild risk-on sentiment correction rather than sustained … |
| 05-01 21:06 | ETH | Buy | -6.17 | # Trade Analysis: ETH Lending/AAVE Utilization Stress Capitulation Long Ethereum was grinding sideways-to-slightly-lower during the close window (1h=-0.79%, 24h=+1.05%), with modest positive weekly momentum (+0.21% BTC 7d) but no capitulation shock to trig… |
| 05-01 15:05 | ETH | Buy | +5.32 | ETH was consolidating in a narrow range with modest positive 24-hour momentum (+1.86%) but mild 1-hour weakness (-0.58%), while funding rates turned slightly negative suggesting long liquidation pressure. The trade's thesis—that Aave utilization stress woul… |
| 05-01 09:05 | ETH | Buy | +4.19 | # Trade Analysis: lending_aave_utilization_stress_capitulation_long Ethereum drifted sideways near $2283 with minimal intraday momentum (0.18% 1h return) while Bitcoin showed marginally stronger strength (0.26% 1h), indicating low volatility and consolidat… |
| 05-01 03:04 | ETH | Buy | -0.10 | # Trade Analysis: ETH Lending-AAVE Capitulation Long Ethereum was flat to slightly negative over the 1-hour and 24-hour periods (−0.10% 1h, +0.88% 24h) with a mild 7-day downtrend (−2.90%), while funding rates remained slightly negative (−0.001421%), indic… |
| 04-30 09:02 | ETH | BUY | +2.42 | At close, ETH was flat on the hourly timeframe (-0.08%) but down 2.84% over 24h and 3.72% over 7d, with negative funding rates (-0.034%) suggesting short positioning despite the recent weakness. The thesis worked marginally (+47.76 bps gross P&L) because th… |