7
closed trades
43%
win rate
-15.00
total pnl ($)
1.060
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 16:19:44 (18.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_recovered_007
n: 17
· wr: 41.2%
· total_bps: -427.7
· mean_bps: -25.16
· sharpe: -0.21
· max_dd_bps: -918.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 7 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 21:23 | ETH | Buy | 2330.03→2332.67 | +0.10 | timeout |
| 05-09 15:21 | ETH | Buy | 2310.73→2306.27 | -1.45 | timeout |
| 05-08 09:20 | ETH | Buy | 2292.93→2289.27 | -1.24 | timeout |
| 05-07 00:47 | ETH | Buy | 2389.24→2330.4 | -12.69 | stop_loss |
| 05-04 10:07 | ETH | Buy | 2384.24→2325.6 | -12.73 | stop_loss |
| 05-03 13:12 | ETH | Buy | 2322.03→2326.37 | +0.49 | timeout |
| 05-02 23:12 | ETH | Buy | 2262.83→2321.57 | +12.52 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
7
closed
43%
win rate
-15.00
total pnl ($)
-43.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 7 | 43% | -43.0 | -15.00 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 15:21 | ETH | Buy | -1.45 | The market was in a low-volatility, sideways grind with neutral funding and stable open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the holding period. |
| 05-08 09:20 | ETH | Buy | -1.24 | The market was in a mild downtrend with ETH dropping 1.34% over 24 hours and negative momentum across timeframes. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the holding … |
| 05-07 00:47 | ETH | Buy | -12.69 | The market was in a short-term uptrend on the hourly chart but remained in a broader weekly downtrend with negative 24h and 7d performance. The thesis failed because the stop-loss was triggered as the broader bearish momentum outweighed the minor hourly bou… |
| 05-02 23:12 | ETH | Buy | +12.52 | # Trade Analysis ETH was consolidating in a narrow range near $2313, with minimal intraday momentum (-0.41% 1h) and positive funding rates (0.004086%) signaling modest long pressure despite the lack of directional conviction. The lending stress thesis part… |