4
closed trades
25%
win rate
-20.81
total pnl ($)
1.157
weight
7d window — n=2 wr=50% pnl=-5.87
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 03:40:14 (34.6d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
af__restored_82ae36db
n: 25
· wr: 28.0%
· total_bps: -1561.6
· mean_bps: -62.46
· sharpe: -0.39
· max_dd_bps: -1673.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 4 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 05:23 | ETH | Buy | 1726.87→1733.33 | +1.40 | timeout |
| 06-17 09:23 | ETH | Buy | 1794.78→1770.12 | -7.27 | timeout |
| 06-14 12:22 | ETH | Buy | 1679.47→1673.43 | -2.26 | timeout |
| 05-07 00:44 | ETH | Buy | 2391.54→2332.7 | -12.68 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
4
closed
25%
win rate
-20.81
total pnl ($)
-104.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 4 | 25% | -104.5 | -20.81 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 00:44 | ETH | Buy | -12.68 | The market was in a short-term uptrend on the hourly chart but remained in a broader weekly downtrend with negative 24-hour and 7-day performance. The thesis failed because the stop_loss was triggered as the broader bearish momentum outweighed the minor hou… |