13
closed trades
46%
win rate
+7.43
total pnl ($)
1.185
weight
7d window — n=2 wr=0% pnl=-10.09
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 03:25:58 (39.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
na
n: 99
· wr: 44.4%
· total_bps: -1695.7
· mean_bps: -17.13
· sharpe: -0.12
· max_dd_bps: -2281.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 13 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 08:55 | ETH | Sell | 1583.94→1583.26 | -0.26 | timeout |
| 06-26 03:56 | ETH | Sell | 1529.55→1558.23 | -9.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 06:22 | ETH | Sell | 1684.23→1668.47 | +4.18 | timeout |
| 06-07 06:28 | ETH | Sell | 1588.14→1617.87 | -9.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:07 | ETH | Sell | 1600.44→1548.65 | +15.68 | take_profit |
| 06-04 10:49 | BTC | Sell | 64331.8→62279.1 | +15.47 | take_profit |
| 06-03 08:20 | BTC | Sell | 66813.7→67048.4 | -2.17 | timeout |
| 05-24 08:19 | ETH | Sell | 2122.79→2118.91 | +0.50 | timeout |
| 05-23 08:18 | ETH | Sell | 2064.79→2030.5 | +7.85 | timeout |
| 05-21 15:18 | ETH | Sell | 2136.49→2132.01 | +0.62 | timeout |
| 05-18 12:42 | ETH | Sell | 2115.99→2155.39 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 05-12 04:43 | ETH | Sell | 2339.37→2339.83 | -0.55 | timeout |
| 04-26 05:17 | ETH | Sell | 2313.3→2331.9 | -4.47 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
13
closed
46%
win rate
+7.43
total pnl ($)
+11.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 11 | 45% | -10.5 | -5.87 |
| BTC | 2 | 50% | +133.0 | +13.30 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-26 05:17 | ETH | Sell | -4.47 | ETH was trading relatively flat with a slight uptick of 0.83% over the past hour and 0.69% over 24 hours as the broader crypto market showed modest stability. The trade's thesis failed because the l2_capital_flight_stablecoin_deceleration short signal did n… |