28
closed trades
54%
win rate
+158.34
total pnl ($)
1.085
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 03:56:47 (33.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: PASS
· strict: STRICT-PASS
· batch:
mk
n: 6
· wr: 66.7%
· total_bps: +827.8
· mean_bps: +137.97
· sharpe: +0.39
· max_dd_bps: -537.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 28 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 17:32 | ETH | Sell | 1637.74→1678.91 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 22:23 | ETH | Sell | 1674.93→1608.56 | +19.03 | timeout |
| 06-07 08:56 | ETH | Sell | 1598.84→1638.38 | -12.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 08:46 | ETH | Sell | 1592.04→1631.68 | -12.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 06:25 | ETH | Sell | 1571.34→1610.27 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:31 | ETH | Sell | 1593.74→1523.85 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-06 04:31 | ETH | Sell | 1594.04→1524.15 | +21.33 | take_profit |
| 06-06 04:31 | ETH | Sell | 1595.14→1525.25 | +21.32 | take_profit |
| 06-05 15:12 | ETH | Sell | 1653.63→1581.16 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-05 14:06 | ETH | Sell | 1663.93→1590.96 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-05 14:04 | ETH | Sell | 1678.83→1605.26 | +21.44 | take_profit |
| 06-05 09:13 | ETH | Sell | 1640.84→1681.51 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 05:45 | ETH | Sell | 1772.82→1695.07 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-05 05:45 | ETH | Sell | 1774.52→1696.47 | +21.46 | take_profit |
| 06-05 05:43 | ETH | Sell | 1775.82→1697.87 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-05 05:43 | ETH | Sell | 1777.32→1699.37 | +21.42 | take_profit |
| 06-05 05:41 | ETH | Sell | 1780.92→1702.87 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-03 21:48 | ETH | Sell | 1797.82→1842.4 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 20:55 | ETH | Sell | 1851.91→1770.78 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-03 10:08 | ETH | Sell | 1845.12→1890.83 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 04-27 15:04 | ETH | Sell | 2364.2→2293.2 | +14.57 | take_profit |
| 04-27 15:04 | ETH | Sell | 2363.8→2292.8 | +14.57 | take_profit |
| 04-27 01:01 | ETH | Sell | 2359.3→2401.8 | -9.46 | stop_loss |
| 04-26 18:12 | ETH | Sell | 2320.5→2362.3 | -9.46 | stop_loss |
| 04-26 18:12 | ETH | Sell | 2317.8→2359.6 | -9.47 | stop_loss |
| 04-26 18:12 | ETH | Sell | 2317.8→2359.6 | -9.47 | stop_loss |
| 04-26 18:12 | ETH | Sell | 2315.3→2357 | -9.46 | stop_loss |
| 04-26 18:12 | ETH | Sell | 2313.8→2355.5 | -9.46 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
28
closed
54%
win rate
+158.34
total pnl ($)
+113.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 28 | 54% | +113.8 | +158.34 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 15:04 | ETH | Sell | +14.57 | # Trade Analysis: L2 Capital Flight ETH Short ETH was trading sideways-to-slightly-down at $2298 (1h: -0.63%, 24h: -2.08%) with negative funding rates (-0.00332%) suggesting weakening long positioning, consistent with the broader market's mild bearish bias… |
| 04-27 15:04 | ETH | Sell | +14.57 | # Trade Analysis: L2 Capital Flight ETH Short **Market Context at Close:** ETH was declining modestly (-0.63% in the 1h, -2.08% in the 24h) as Bitcoin consolidated around $77.5k with mild weakness, while funding rates turned slightly negative, indicating r… |
| 04-27 01:01 | ETH | Sell | -9.46 | Ethereum was rallying modestly with a 2.78% 24-hour gain and positive 1-hour momentum of 0.59%, while Bitcoin showed similar strength with a 1.75% daily increase. The L2 capital flight short thesis failed because despite the -11.2% TVL decline and -$218.5M … |
| 04-26 18:12 | ETH | Sell | -9.46 | At close, ETH was trading at $2,363.49 with modest positive momentum across timeframes (1h +0.73%, 24h +2.27%, 7d +2.19%), while BTC showed stronger strength particularly over the week (+3.59%), signaling broad market resilience. The thesis failed because t… |
| 04-26 18:12 | ETH | Sell | -9.47 | ETH was trading sideways to slightly positive at $2,363.49 with modest 24-hour gains of 2.27%, showing relative stability rather than the sharper decline needed to validate the short thesis. The trade's L2 capital flight signal (-16% TVL, -$322.4M netflow) … |
| 04-26 18:12 | ETH | Sell | -9.47 | At close, ETH was trading at $2363.49 with modest positive momentum across timeframes (0.73% in 1h, 2.27% in 24h) while Bitcoin showed slightly stronger gains of 3.59% over 7 days. The L2 capital flight thesis failed because the $321.8M TVL decline signal d… |
| 04-26 18:12 | ETH | Sell | -9.46 | At close, ETH was consolidating near $2363 with modest positive momentum across 1h (0.73%), 24h (2.27%), and 7d (2.19%) timeframes, while BTC showed broader strength with 3.59% weekly gains. The short thesis failed because the L2 capital flight signal (-15.… |
| 04-26 18:12 | ETH | Sell | -9.46 | ETH was in a mild uptrend at close with positive 1h/24h/7d returns of 0.73%, 2.27%, and 2.19% respectively, while BTC showed broader strength up 3.59% over 7 days. The short thesis failed because the L2 capital flight signal (-15.9% TVL, -$321.8M netflow) d… |