l2_bridge_outflow_acceleration_ecosystem_stress_short

70

closed trades

46%

win rate

+12.83

total pnl ($)

1.340

weight

7d window — n=10 wr=50% pnl=+19.29 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-18 19:46:27 (39.7d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: abg__restored_49883924

n: 221 · wr: 46.2% · total_bps: -1397.5 · mean_bps: -6.32 · sharpe: -0.04 · max_dd_bps: -2771.1

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 07:52	ETH	Sell	1574.54→1583.96	-4.15	timeout
06-27 01:37	ETH	Sell	1577.54→1575.36	+0.30	timeout
06-26 13:55	ETH	Sell	1528.85→1557.73	-11.88	stop_loss
06-26 12:43	ETH	Sell	1577.74→1527.45	+18.57	take_profit
06-26 03:02	ETH	Sell	1563.04→1513.25	+18.56	take_profit
06-26 00:45	ETH	Sell	1561.64→1568.16	-3.06	timeout
06-25 13:46	ETH	Sell	1637.14→1584.96	+18.58	take_profit
06-25 12:59	ETH	Sell	1653.23→1634.46	+6.25	timeout
06-25 05:07	ETH	Sell	1619.14→1649.89	-11.92	stop_loss
06-24 20:06	ETH	Sell	1578.54→1608.56	-11.96	stop_loss
06-11 08:04	ETH	Sell	1642.54→1655.37	-5.19	timeout
06-11 01:56	ETH	Sell	1629.34→1642.06	-5.18	timeout
06-10 19:57	ETH	Sell	1652.53→1631.66	+7.00	timeout
06-10 13:50	ETH	Sell	1638.84→1663.97	-9.74	timeout
06-09 21:51	ETH	Sell	1638.34→1655.97	-7.02	timeout
06-09 16:10	ETH	Sell	1668.83→1626.66	+14.58	timeout
06-09 04:50	ETH	Sell	1665.33→1696.72	-11.86	stop_loss
06-09 03:55	ETH	Sell	1704.73→1664.87	+13.41	timeout
06-08 21:47	ETH	Sell	1692.13→1707.97	-6.20	timeout
06-08 11:21	ETH	Sell	1660.33→1691.81	-11.91	stop_loss
06-08 09:36	ETH	Sell	1679.63→1657.97	+7.20	timeout
06-07 22:13	ETH	Sell	1628.54→1659.2	-11.84	stop_loss
06-07 21:23	ETH	Sell	1627.64→1628.56	-0.94	timeout
06-07 15:23	ETH	Sell	1638.94→1627.26	+3.69	timeout
06-07 06:29	ETH	Sell	1592.14→1621.97	-11.80	stop_loss
06-07 01:13	ETH	Sell	1558.24→1587.45	-11.78	stop_loss
06-06 21:04	ETH	Sell	1553.24→1557.76	-2.31	timeout
06-06 15:04	ETH	Sell	1579.44→1554.66	+8.87	timeout
06-06 04:31	ETH	Sell	1574.14→1524.05	+18.53	take_profit
06-06 03:00	ETH	Sell	1603.64→1574.26	+10.42	timeout
06-05 16:59	ETH	Sell	1583.04→1612.77	-11.79	stop_loss
06-05 13:57	ETH	Sell	1666.83→1613.76	+18.54	take_profit
06-05 06:00	ETH	Sell	1734.53→1679.07	+18.63	take_profit
06-05 02:57	ETH	Sell	1771.32→1733.47	+12.24	timeout
06-04 21:17	ETH	Sell	1782.22→1776.78	+1.29	timeout
06-04 15:11	ETH	Sell	1762.82→1787.08	-8.75	timeout
06-04 09:22	ETH	Sell	1811.02→1753.38	+18.54	take_profit
06-03 21:43	ETH	Sell	1798.42→1832.7	-11.98	stop_loss
06-03 16:27	ETH	Sell	1870.81→1811.28	+18.55	take_profit
06-03 05:16	ETH	Sell	1839.82→1874.32	-11.79	stop_loss
06-03 05:11	ETH	Sell	1869.01→1872.79	-1.74	timeout
06-02 16:18	ETH	Sell	1907.01→1942.77	-11.79	stop_loss
06-02 13:07	ETH	Sell	1977→1976.7	-0.44	timeout
06-02 10:05	ETH	Sell	2003→1974.8	+7.92	timeout
06-02 03:01	ETH	Sell	2005.2→1996.9	+1.95	timeout
06-01 19:49	ETH	Sell	1975.1→2003.6	-9.19	timeout
05-24 03:06	ETH	Sell	2130.69→2125.81	+0.85	timeout
05-23 20:37	ETH	Sell	2062.09→2100.56	-11.69	stop_loss
05-23 14:56	ETH	Sell	2027.4→2065.24	-11.72	stop_loss
05-23 09:03	ETH	Sell	2068.39→2028.5	+11.04	timeout
05-23 03:04	ETH	Sell	2071.69→2068.81	+0.31	timeout
05-22 21:03	ETH	Sell	2119.89→2072.21	+12.98	timeout
05-22 15:03	ETH	Sell	2121.79→2120.41	-0.11	timeout
05-22 09:02	ETH	Sell	2137.59→2120.91	+4.17	timeout
05-22 03:02	ETH	Sell	2138.89→2138.11	-0.29	timeout
05-21 20:04	ETH	Sell	2123.99→2142.01	-5.60	timeout
05-21 14:03	ETH	Sell	2136.39→2124.51	+2.81	timeout
05-21 08:03	ETH	Sell	2141.39→2135.81	+1.04	timeout
05-21 02:02	ETH	Sell	2135.49→2141.41	-2.16	timeout
05-20 20:02	ETH	Sell	2120.39→2136.51	-5.09	timeout
05-20 14:03	ETH	Sell	2128.09→2120.81	+1.54	timeout
05-20 07:38	ETH	Sell	2105.09→2132.91	-8.45	timeout
05-20 01:37	ETH	Sell	2113.79→2104.81	+2.02	timeout
05-19 19:38	ETH	Sell	2120.79→2114.21	+1.37	timeout
05-19 13:38	ETH	Sell	2137.79→2121.21	+4.11	timeout
05-19 07:37	ETH	Sell	2129.89→2138.21	-2.88	timeout
05-19 01:37	ETH	Sell	2109.49→2130.31	-6.44	timeout
05-18 12:44	ETH	Sell	2116.19→2155.59	-11.71	stop_loss
05-12 04:43	ETH	Sell	2339.37→2339.83	-0.66	timeout
04-30 02:38	ETH	Sell	2275.4→2234.4	+0.00	stop_loss

Paper (trades.jsonl)

70

closed

46%

win rate

+12.83

total pnl ($)

+2.9 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
ETH	70	46%	+3.1	+12.83

time	sym	side	reason
06-27 13:32	ETH	Sell	circuit_breaker
06-27 13:32	ETH	Sell	circuit_breaker

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
04-30 02:38	ETH	SELL	-11.35	ETH declined 1.52% in the hour before the stop-loss triggered at $2234.40, with broader crypto weakness evident across the 24h (-2.07%) and 7d (-5.60%) timeframes, though BTC's more modest declines suggested selective Ethereum underperformance rather than s…

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Cumulative P&L (last 70 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)

Postmortem feed (last 10)