kraken_top_trader_ls_contrarian_24h · strategy

227

closed trades

43%

win rate

-49.74

total pnl ($)

0.992

weight

7d window — n=54 wr=46% pnl=-38.14 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-24 04:34:30 (34.5d ago) · src: canon

verdict: PASS · strict: STRICT-PASS · batch: axn

n: 77 · wr: 49.4% · total_bps: +474.5 · mean_bps: +6.16 · sharpe: +0.04 · max_dd_bps: -2075.4

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 16:06	DOT	Buy	0.858054→0.845319	-7.87	timeout
06-27 16:06	LINK	Buy	7.36584→7.45024	+5.40	timeout
06-27 01:03	XLM	Buy	0.179595→0.175089	-13.00	stop_loss
06-26 21:07	AAVE	Buy	95.1888→92.8084	-12.95	stop_loss
06-26 16:04	TRX	Buy	0.322761→0.31966	-5.25	timeout
06-26 13:57	HYPE	Sell	62.1515→63.7088	-12.98	stop_loss
06-26 12:43	BNB	Buy	568.112→553.764	-13.11	stop_loss
06-26 12:43	NEAR	Buy	1.82046→1.77367	-13.34	stop_loss
06-26 10:40	ATOM	Buy	1.63841→1.5967	-13.22	stop_loss
06-26 09:52	SOL	Buy	70.5456→68.7803	-12.97	stop_loss
06-26 07:12	UNI	Sell	2.85769→2.9297	-13.05	stop_loss
06-26 03:01	HBAR	Buy	0.0731723→0.0712915	-13.30	stop_loss
06-26 02:13	INJ	Buy	4.31278→4.20444	-12.98	stop_loss
06-26 01:30	APT	Buy	0.596649→0.581364	-13.17	stop_loss
06-25 23:27	SOL	Sell	66.337→67.9842	-12.86	stop_loss
06-25 17:59	HYPE	Sell	61.6706→63.2144	-12.97	stop_loss
06-25 14:17	XMR	Sell	315.081→301.185	+21.60	take_profit
06-25 13:59	KAS	Sell	0.0277851→0.0265566	+21.66	take_profit
06-25 13:51	ICP	Sell	2.22954→2.13203	+21.42	take_profit
06-25 10:47	HBAR	Buy	0.0754018→0.0734839	-13.17	stop_loss
06-25 05:24	BTC	Sell	60271→61764	-12.85	stop_loss
06-25 05:02	SOL	Sell	67.2009→68.8757	-12.95	stop_loss
06-25 04:57	ETH	Sell	1594.24→1633.78	-12.84	stop_loss
06-24 17:48	INJ	Sell	4.30872→4.12103	+21.32	take_profit
06-24 16:51	BLUR	Sell	0.0154291→0.0147527	+21.47	take_profit
06-24 16:51	BCH	Sell	193.792→185.286	+21.49	take_profit
06-24 16:48	OP	Sell	0.101984→0.0974844	+21.56	take_profit
06-24 13:43	AAVE	Buy	76.05→74.1154	-13.17	stop_loss
06-24 12:04	SOL	Sell	69.1876→69.8365	-5.15	timeout
06-24 08:05	DOGE	Sell	0.079785→0.0789247	+4.81	timeout
06-24 08:04	LINK	Sell	7.63999→7.6099	+1.43	timeout
06-24 08:04	BTC	Sell	62800.9→62661.1	+0.74	timeout
06-24 04:02	BNB	Sell	591.212→577.794	+11.04	timeout
06-23 08:17	ETH	Sell	1723.53→1646.86	+21.73	take_profit
06-23 06:21	ETC	Buy	7.15819→6.97297	-13.39	stop_loss
06-23 06:08	BTC	Buy	64709.2→63117.3	-12.77	stop_loss
06-23 04:06	ADA	Buy	0.15829→0.15973	+4.23	timeout
06-23 00:51	XMR	Sell	319.39→327.435	-13.04	stop_loss
06-23 00:12	AAVE	Buy	74.3196→75.1192	+4.93	timeout
06-22 22:28	ETH	Buy	1763.78→1720.17	-12.80	stop_loss
06-22 20:06	FIL	Sell	0.8001→0.795149	+2.64	timeout
06-22 12:00	SUI	Buy	0.709697→0.740655	+21.34	take_profit
06-22 08:06	UNI	Buy	3.00775→3.01115	+0.11	timeout
06-22 04:05	LINK	Sell	7.96151→7.86797	+5.52	timeout
06-22 01:26	ETH	Sell	1713.73→1756.65	-12.97	stop_loss
06-22 00:07	HBAR	Sell	0.0804819→0.0782446	+13.45	timeout
06-21 20:08	INJ	Buy	4.99605→4.95696	-4.25	timeout
06-21 16:58	SAGA	Buy	0.0173143→0.0168773	-13.07	stop_loss
06-21 16:09	BTC	Buy	63998.2→64160.8	+0.85	timeout
06-21 04:45	ACE	Buy	0.0905226→0.0944764	+21.39	take_profit
06-21 04:05	XLM	Buy	0.212323→0.214426	+4.50	timeout
06-21 04:05	RENDER	Sell	1.74466→1.70273	+11.57	timeout
06-21 00:05	ETC	Sell	7.63359→7.44486	+11.91	timeout
06-20 20:05	HBAR	Sell	0.080146→0.080205	-0.82	timeout
06-20 15:25	SAGA	Sell	0.0132167→0.0135502	-13.07	stop_loss
06-19 20:06	BNB	Sell	579.415→579.675	-0.89	timeout
06-19 16:05	BTC	Sell	62522.9→63157.2	-5.59	timeout
06-19 13:45	OP	Buy	0.100875→0.105294	+21.45	take_profit
06-19 12:47	DOT	Buy	0.969222→0.944311	-13.30	stop_loss
06-19 08:09	BNB	Sell	590.992→573.613	+14.39	timeout
06-19 08:08	LTC	Sell	44.5319→43.4399	+11.43	timeout
06-18 15:51	SOL	Sell	71.9042→68.7603	+21.54	take_profit
06-18 15:45	ETH	Sell	1772.92→1694.97	+21.30	take_profit
06-18 15:18	AVAX	Sell	6.73712→6.43901	+21.58	take_profit
06-18 04:11	BNB	Buy	605.571→590.357	-13.01	stop_loss
06-18 04:01	DOT	Sell	1.02394→0.979325	+21.34	take_profit
06-17 19:29	SUI	Buy	0.796869→0.776857	-13.15	stop_loss
06-17 16:28	BTC	Sell	64830.8→66427.5	-12.77	stop_loss
06-17 12:11	UNI	Sell	3.23049→3.31248	-13.14	stop_loss
06-17 09:57	XMR	Buy	352.348→343.502	-13.00	stop_loss
06-17 08:05	LINK	Sell	8.28443→8.28227	-0.17	timeout
06-17 01:46	DOT	Sell	0.99975→1.02547	-13.31	stop_loss
06-16 21:16	BCH	Sell	217.706→223.227	-13.13	stop_loss
06-16 17:49	SAGA	Buy	0.0129832→0.0135666	+22.02	take_profit
06-16 14:33	HYPE	Buy	75.1178→73.235	-12.98	stop_loss
06-16 14:31	OP	Buy	0.108147→0.105431	-12.97	stop_loss
06-16 08:45	AVAX	Sell	6.82279→6.99354	-12.96	stop_loss
06-16 08:27	INJ	Sell	5.80305→5.94976	-13.09	stop_loss
06-16 08:16	XLM	Sell	0.213347→0.218764	-13.15	stop_loss
06-16 02:27	SOL	Buy	75.0123→73.1384	-12.93	stop_loss
06-16 01:54	XRP	Buy	1.26011→1.22848	-13.02	stop_loss
06-16 00:03	LTC	Sell	45.3497→45.7044	-4.28	timeout
06-15 22:24	ETH	Buy	1841.48→1795.12	-13.06	stop_loss
06-15 22:22	LINK	Buy	8.54414→8.32385	-13.38	stop_loss
06-15 13:16	ETH	Buy	1727.87→1803.62	+21.43	take_profit
06-15 13:08	ETC	Buy	7.28082→7.5997	+21.45	take_profit
06-15 12:44	UNI	Buy	2.59185→2.70472	+21.33	take_profit
06-15 12:24	XRP	Buy	1.1835→1.23499	+21.28	take_profit
06-15 04:03	LTC	Sell	44.3999→45.2863	-10.45	timeout
06-14 21:50	BCH	Sell	203.349→208.506	-13.13	stop_loss
06-14 21:40	ADA	Sell	0.169468→0.1738	-13.18	stop_loss
06-14 21:39	ONDO	Buy	0.345986→0.36111	+21.41	take_profit
06-14 16:08	SOL	Buy	68.2302→67.4819	-5.81	timeout
06-14 14:20	NEAR	Buy	2.12933→2.07604	-13.10	stop_loss
06-14 12:06	AAVE	Sell	66.7793→65.9905	+5.46	timeout
06-14 08:02	ADA	Buy	0.173023→0.170787	-6.66	timeout
06-14 03:43	XLM	Buy	0.190007→0.185201	-13.10	stop_loss
06-13 12:57	XRP	Sell	1.12672→1.15507	-12.90	stop_loss
06-13 08:08	HBAR	Sell	0.0787583→0.0780595	+3.99	timeout
06-13 06:10	OP	Sell	0.100275→0.102977	-14.05	stop_loss

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

227

closed

43%

win rate

-49.74

total pnl ($)

-4.6 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
SOL	14	36%	-83.5	-57.69
ETH	13	54%	+63.2	+41.21
LINK	13	54%	-44.3	-28.53
BTC	11	36%	-100.8	-55.26
XRP	9	33%	-28.0	-11.89
SUI	9	56%	+97.4	+43.86
LTC	8	50%	-2.5	-1.41
BNB	8	50%	+39.4	+15.79
INJ	7	29%	-41.6	-14.75
DOGE	7	57%	+1.4	+0.73
HYPE	7	43%	+35.2	+12.32
UNI	7	43%	-19.4	-6.80
DOT	7	29%	-75.4	-26.40
HBAR	6	33%	-76.5	-22.94
ADA	6	33%	-33.8	-9.56
OP	6	50%	+81.7	+24.38
XMR	6	50%	+84.6	+25.39
AAVE	6	50%	-95.5	-28.65
APT	5	0%	-237.0	-59.05
SAGA	5	40%	+16.5	+4.13
BCH	5	40%	+15.9	+3.98
ETC	5	40%	+4.9	+1.22
KAS	5	60%	+158.7	+39.68
XLM	5	20%	-192.6	-48.15
NEAR	4	50%	+82.4	+16.29
ICP	4	25%	-91.6	-18.32
ONDO	4	75%	+254.5	+50.91
TRX	4	50%	+9.7	+1.94
ACE	4	50%	+66.4	+13.27
RENDER	4	50%	+33.6	+6.72
ARB	4	25%	-49.5	-9.69
AVAX	4	50%	+1.2	+0.07
ATOM	3	33%	-39.3	-5.88
FIL	3	67%	-49.5	-7.43
BLUR	3	100%	+433.1	+64.96
GOAT	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
CHILLGUY	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
ZEREBRO	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…