7
closed trades
43%
win rate
-7.44
total pnl ($)
1.223
weight
7d window — n=2 wr=100% pnl=+1.36
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 05:29:41 (33.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
vu
n: 4
· wr: 0.0%
· total_bps: -216.1
· mean_bps: -54.01
· sharpe: -3.01
· max_dd_bps: -216.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 7 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 10:56 | BTC | Buy | 64054.2→64131.8 | +0.13 | timeout |
| 06-19 00:33 | BTC | Buy | 62793.1→63002.8 | +1.23 | timeout |
| 06-08 06:28 | BTC | Buy | 63433.2→63029.8 | -3.63 | timeout |
| 05-28 09:50 | BTC | Buy | 73383.7→73520.3 | +0.49 | timeout |
| 05-18 13:43 | BTC | Buy | 76914.8→76809.2 | -1.16 | timeout |
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.51 | timeout |
| 04-29 15:03 | BTC | Buy | 76985→76442 | -3.98 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
7
closed
43%
win rate
-7.44
total pnl ($)
-21.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 7 | 43% | -21.1 | -7.44 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 05:15 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-29 15:03 | BTC | Buy | -3.98 | On close, BTC had drifted sideways-to-down over the 6-hour hold (1h=-0.13%, 7d=-3.18%), with negative funding rates (-0.007887%) suggesting weak long positioning that offered no reversal catalyst. The trade's kimchi premium + stablecoin inflow thesis failed… |