3
closed trades
33%
win rate
-5.35
total pnl ($)
1.129
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 04:09:09 (41.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
po
n: 3
· wr: 33.3%
· total_bps: -140.8
· mean_bps: -46.93
· sharpe: -1.04
· max_dd_bps: -157.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 3 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 20:49 | BTC | Buy | 80122→79967 | -1.44 | timeout |
| 05-07 02:20 | BTC | Buy | 81611.1→80898 | -4.82 | timeout |
| 05-06 20:19 | BTC | Buy | 81383.1→81602.9 | +0.91 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
3
closed
33%
win rate
-5.35
total pnl ($)
-35.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 3 | 33% | -35.6 | -5.35 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 20:49 | BTC | Buy | -1.44 | The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with stable open interest, offering no clear directional catalyst. The thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching the target or stop, as the lack of volatility and momentum prevented any … |
| 05-07 02:20 | BTC | Buy | -4.82 | The market was in a mild intraday uptick within a broader weekly downtrend, with BTC showing a slight 1-hour gain but still down over the past 24 hours and week. The thesis failed because the trade was not executed before the timeout, resulting in a small n… |
| 05-06 20:19 | BTC | Buy | +0.91 | BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing a slight 1-hour gain but remaining in a weekly downtrend. The trade failed because the timeout closed the position before the thesis could play out, capturing only a small positive PnL from mino… |