86
closed trades
24%
win rate
-152.13
total pnl ($)
0.807
weight
7d window — n=13 wr=0% pnl=-51.12
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-18 20:39:11 (42.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
aef__restored_1349c2e9
n: 45
· wr: 40.0%
· total_bps: -1189.6
· mean_bps: -26.44
· sharpe: -0.22
· max_dd_bps: -1510.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 86 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 05:33 | BTC | Buy | 60494→59375 | -3.87 | timeout |
| 06-30 01:40 | ETH | Buy | 1628.76→1588.35 | -5.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 14:53 | ETH | Buy | 1575.56→1569.14 | -1.02 | timeout |
| 06-29 14:43 | BTC | Buy | 59752→59425 | -1.29 | timeout |
| 06-27 15:14 | ETH | Sell | 1577.94→1607.16 | -3.89 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:57 | BTC | Sell | 59229→60012 | -2.82 | timeout |
| 06-26 15:40 | ETH | Sell | 1549.85→1588.35 | -5.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:33 | ETH | Sell | 1538.55→1576.65 | -5.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:33 | BTC | Sell | 58311.1→59747.8 | -5.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:47 | BTC | Sell | 59507→60977.5 | -5.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:06 | ETH | Sell | 1571.04→1610.07 | -5.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:00 | ETH | Buy | 1664.17→1646.44 | -2.31 | timeout |
| 06-24 14:13 | BTC | Buy | 62647.1→61101.4 | -5.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | BTC | Buy | 64145.2→62556.6 | -5.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | ETH | Buy | 1731.17→1688.29 | -5.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 00:44 | BTC | Buy | 65052.3→64045.8 | -3.27 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:28 | ETH | Buy | 1764.38→1720.67 | -5.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 12:39 | BTC | Buy | 63928.2→65065.7 | +3.35 | timeout |
| 06-22 12:39 | ETH | Buy | 1727.37→1765.22 | +4.17 | timeout |
| 06-19 06:55 | ETH | Buy | 1684.47→1699.03 | +1.55 | timeout |
| 06-19 06:46 | BTC | Buy | 62735.1→62747.9 | -0.13 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:53 | BTC | Buy | 64054.2→62472.6 | -5.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:45 | ETH | Buy | 1738.47→1695.18 | -5.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 20:44 | BTC | Sell | 66582.7→65826.3 | +2.11 | timeout |
| 06-16 12:31 | ETH | Sell | 1783.42→1828.3 | -5.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 12:08 | ETH | Sell | 1726.83→1762.88 | -4.34 | timeout |
| 06-15 12:08 | BTC | Sell | 65749.7→66200.3 | -1.55 | timeout |
| 06-14 09:51 | BTC | Sell | 64442.8→64580.2 | -0.60 | timeout |
| 06-14 09:29 | ETH | Sell | 1675.73→1670.67 | +0.41 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:26 | BTC | Sell | 63783.8→64222.2 | -1.55 | timeout |
| 06-13 19:29 | ETH | Sell | 1672.73→1676.27 | -0.62 | timeout |
| 06-13 08:17 | BTC | Sell | 63507.8→63796.2 | -1.07 | timeout |
| 06-13 07:24 | ETH | Sell | 1667.53→1669.97 | -0.47 | timeout |
| 06-12 20:15 | BTC | Sell | 63271.8→63529.2 | -0.99 | timeout |
| 06-12 19:22 | ETH | Sell | 1656.83→1667.57 | -1.48 | timeout |
| 06-12 07:14 | ETH | Sell | 1677.53→1656.57 | +2.31 | timeout |
| 06-12 07:08 | BTC | Sell | 63378.8→63070.2 | +0.80 | timeout |
| 06-11 08:01 | BTC | Sell | 61787.9→62717.1 | -3.16 | timeout |
| 06-11 08:01 | ETH | Sell | 1625.24→1654.67 | -3.77 | timeout |
| 06-10 19:50 | ETH | Sell | 1638.84→1627.76 | +1.15 | timeout |
| 06-10 19:50 | BTC | Sell | 61674.9→61896.1 | -0.88 | timeout |
| 06-10 07:48 | BTC | Sell | 61748.9→62023.1 | -1.08 | timeout |
| 06-10 07:48 | ETH | Sell | 1647.14→1655.97 | -1.27 | timeout |
| 06-09 19:45 | BTC | Sell | 63181.8→61845.1 | +4.07 | timeout |
| 06-09 19:45 | ETH | Sell | 1680.13→1651.87 | +3.20 | timeout |
| 06-08 23:46 | BTC | Sell | 63584.8→63058.2 | +1.48 | timeout |
| 06-08 23:27 | ETH | Sell | 1689.43→1695.47 | -0.92 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:36 | BTC | Buy | 63126.2→63744.8 | +1.77 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:25 | ETH | Buy | 1677.07→1690.83 | +1.45 | timeout |
| 06-05 06:20 | BTC | Buy | 63269.2→61709 | -5.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 05:37 | ETH | Buy | 1755.38→1711.97 | -5.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 01:16 | ETH | Buy | 1821.88→1776.73 | -5.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 23:51 | BTC | Buy | 65761.3→64132.7 | -5.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 16:21 | ETH | Buy | 1873.19→1826.9 | -5.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:27 | ETH | Buy | 1978.2→1929.34 | -5.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:21 | BTC | Buy | 69914.5→68192.5 | -5.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 09:23 | ETH | Buy | 1995.8→1968.8 | -2.90 | timeout |
| 06-02 07:02 | BTC | Buy | 71565.6→69804.6 | -5.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 18:30 | ETH | Buy | 1986.6→1991 | +0.24 | timeout |
| 06-01 15:24 | BTC | Buy | 73455.7→71163.8 | -6.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 02:36 | ETH | Buy | 2012.3→2002.1 | -1.20 | timeout |
| 06-01 01:16 | BTC | Buy | 73941.7→73571.3 | -1.18 | timeout |
| 05-29 15:17 | ETH | Buy | 2005.4→2015.4 | +0.79 | timeout |
| 05-28 03:52 | BTC | Buy | 75138.8→73290.7 | -5.10 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 03:18 | ETH | Buy | 2024.3→1973.12 | -5.23 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 09:30 | ETH | Buy | 2111.21→2097.09 | -1.54 | timeout |
| 05-24 09:07 | ETH | Buy | 2134.61→2118.69 | -1.70 | timeout |
| 05-22 11:06 | ETH | Buy | 2133.11→2122.69 | -1.18 | timeout |
| 05-22 10:31 | BTC | Buy | 77694.9→77321.1 | -1.16 | timeout |
| 05-21 22:41 | ETH | Buy | 2113.41→2130.29 | +1.40 | timeout |
| 05-20 13:37 | BTC | Buy | 76567.8→77019.1 | +0.98 | timeout |
| 05-20 13:07 | ETH | Buy | 2109.81→2131.99 | +1.90 | timeout |
| 05-20 01:37 | BTC | Buy | 77012.9→76562.2 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 05-20 01:07 | ETH | Buy | 2114.21→2108.49 | -0.72 | timeout |
| 05-19 13:38 | BTC | Buy | 76835.8→76932.2 | +0.06 | timeout |
| 05-19 13:07 | ETH | Buy | 2132.81→2113.69 | -1.97 | timeout |
| 05-18 21:36 | ETH | Buy | 2118.91→2135.89 | +1.39 | timeout |
| 05-18 21:36 | BTC | Buy | 76979.8→77050.1 | -0.02 | timeout |
| 05-16 06:40 | BTC | Buy | 79262→78767.1 | -1.42 | timeout |
| 05-16 06:11 | ETH | Buy | 2229.92→2221.68 | -0.93 | timeout |
| 05-12 10:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.23 | timeout |
| 05-12 10:43 | ETH | Buy | 2339.83→2339.37 | -0.22 | timeout |
| 05-12 05:35 | ETH | Buy | 2329.83→2339.37 | +0.66 | timeout |
| 05-12 05:35 | BTC | Buy | 81662.1→81715.9 | -0.04 | timeout |
| 05-11 05:36 | ETH | Buy | 2354.44→2337.37 | -1.65 | timeout |
| 05-11 05:36 | BTC | Buy | 81266.1→80897 | -1.11 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
86
closed
24%
win rate
-152.13
total pnl ($)
-88.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 46 | 28% | -87.1 | -80.37 |
| BTC | 40 | 20% | -89.6 | -71.76 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||