kimchi_premium_compression_global_capitulation_long

47

closed trades

32%

win rate

-136.42

total pnl ($)

0.884

weight

7d window — n=7 wr=43% pnl=-21.39 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-18 19:49:57 (34.4d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: abo__restored_8cb7b494

n: 34 · wr: 35.3% · total_bps: -527.2 · mean_bps: -15.51 · sharpe: -0.20 · max_dd_bps: -843.7

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-21 21:15	ETH	Buy	1725.87→1709.43	-6.78	timeout
06-19 09:34	ETH	Buy	1688.17→1692.93	+1.24	timeout
06-19 04:31	BTC	Buy	62892.1→62633.9	-3.24	timeout
06-18 23:32	ETH	Buy	1686.87→1709.33	+8.04	timeout
06-18 15:38	BTC	Buy	64027.2→62836.4	-12.67	stop_loss
06-18 11:30	ETH	Buy	1730.37→1744.73	+4.77	timeout
06-17 19:39	ETH	Buy	1765.08→1732.06	-12.74	stop_loss
06-08 03:20	ETH	Buy	1684.17→1684.73	-0.31	timeout
06-05 06:03	BTC	Buy	63249.2→62068.8	-12.70	stop_loss
06-03 23:54	BTC	Buy	65310.3→64095.7	-12.67	stop_loss
06-03 19:55	ETH	Buy	1830.98→1796.62	-12.78	stop_loss
06-03 13:34	ETH	Buy	1876.49→1874.41	-1.30	timeout
06-02 15:30	ETH	Buy	1939.09→1902.76	-12.77	stop_loss
06-02 12:07	ETH	Buy	1977.4→1977.7	-0.51	timeout
06-02 08:23	ETH	Buy	1997.3→1980.8	-5.98	timeout
06-02 02:27	ETH	Buy	1995.2→1985.9	-3.62	timeout
06-01 20:23	ETH	Buy	1963.9→2005.1	+13.05	timeout
06-01 07:32	ETH	Buy	2002.3→1981.3	-7.44	timeout
06-01 01:05	BTC	Buy	73588.7→73714.3	+0.53	timeout
05-31 17:41	ETH	Buy	2023.7→2004.2	-6.87	timeout
05-29 06:54	BTC	Buy	73553.7→73735.3	+0.99	timeout
05-28 16:34	ETH	Buy	1988.7→2000.6	+3.27	timeout
05-28 04:02	BTC	Buy	74315.7→72933.9	-12.67	stop_loss
05-27 21:47	ETH	Buy	2059.41→2020.89	-12.74	stop_loss
05-26 02:10	ETH	Buy	2110.31→2093.29	-5.80	timeout
05-24 01:46	ETH	Buy	2130.91→2119.59	-4.06	timeout
05-22 17:57	BTC	Buy	77445.9→76759.2	-6.38	timeout
05-22 12:57	ETH	Buy	2128.81→2132.39	+0.47	timeout
05-22 07:57	BTC	Buy	77603.9→77377.1	-2.49	timeout
05-22 02:57	ETH	Buy	2134.71→2135.69	-0.32	timeout
05-21 21:56	ETH	Buy	2127.11→2135.49	+1.95	timeout
05-21 16:53	ETH	Buy	2116.71→2125.29	+2.01	timeout
05-21 11:53	BTC	Buy	77587.9→77209.1	-3.79	timeout
05-21 06:53	BTC	Buy	77801.9→77575.1	-2.50	timeout
05-20 16:17	BTC	Buy	77478.9→77354.1	-1.66	timeout
05-20 11:08	ETH	Buy	2127.11→2129.59	+0.14	timeout
05-20 06:08	ETH	Buy	2111.51→2126.69	+4.07	timeout
05-20 01:08	BTC	Buy	76872.8→76731.2	-1.82	timeout
05-19 20:08	ETH	Buy	2107.61→2114.79	+1.59	timeout
05-19 15:08	ETH	Buy	2114.21→2106.99	-2.82	timeout
05-19 10:07	BTC	Buy	76892.8→76826.2	-1.17	timeout
05-19 05:08	BTC	Buy	77041.9→76885.2	-1.93	timeout
05-18 12:43	BTC	Buy	76914.8→77682.1	+5.87	timeout
05-16 07:13	ETH	Buy	2224.32→2180.69	-13.34	stop_loss
05-12 03:43	BTC	Buy	81724.1→81715.9	-0.67	timeout
05-12 03:43	ETH	Buy	2339.83→2339.37	-0.72	timeout
04-30 09:23	ETH	Buy	2245→2256.93	+2.87	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

47

closed

32%

win rate

-136.42

total pnl ($)

-44.4 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
ETH	30	40%	-34.4	-67.45
BTC	17	18%	-62.2	-68.97

time	sym	side	reason
06-22 00:57	ETH	Buy	trigger_already_opened

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
04-30 09:23	ETH	BUY	+2.87	# Trade Analysis: ETH Long (Kimchi Premium Compression) Market Context at Close: ETH was trading at $2266.39 with flat 1-hour momentum (+0.38%) but persistent 24-hour weakness (-2.70%), suggesting a brief intraday bounce within a downtrend, while fundi…

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 47 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)

Postmortem feed (last 10)