273
closed trades
38%
win rate
-806.83
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=57 wr=32% pnl=-196.07
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 13:31:29 (24.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_apu
n: 149
· wr: 34.9%
· total_bps: -4885.3
· mean_bps: -32.79
· sharpe: -0.30
· max_dd_bps: -5237.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 06:56 | SOL | Buy | 71.0247→70.4094 | -7.15 | timeout |
| 06-28 06:16 | XRP | Buy | 1.04556→1.04124 | -3.67 | timeout |
| 06-27 21:21 | XRP | Buy | 1.06097→1.05504 | -4.75 | timeout |
| 06-27 19:25 | DOGE | Buy | 0.076193→0.0747439 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:25 | SOL | Buy | 72.7299→71.3536 | -14.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 18:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.147187→0.146403 | -4.48 | timeout |
| 06-27 17:18 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0752988→0.075787 | +4.11 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:22 | XRP | Buy | 1.06407→1.05834 | -4.67 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.148047→0.147003 | -5.91 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:18 | SOL | Buy | 72.3208→71.6582 | -7.51 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:28 | BTC | Buy | 60082→59884 | -3.17 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:15 | XRP | Buy | 1.02396→1.04754 | +16.58 | timeout |
| 06-26 10:39 | ETH | Buy | 1573.06→1543.27 | -14.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:14 | ADA | Buy | 0.142356→0.146933 | +23.49 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.142706→0.139945 | -15.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:10 | SOL | Buy | 66.1579→67.0749 | +9.72 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:42 | BTC | Buy | 61346.1→60197.9 | -14.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:56 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0765581→0.075864 | -7.44 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:55 | XRP | Buy | 1.07787→1.07353 | -3.68 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:55 | BTC | Buy | 61182.1→61202.9 | -0.41 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:50 | SOL | Buy | 68.1152→68.4187 | +2.64 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.145386→0.150062 | +23.55 | take_profit |
| 06-25 01:07 | XRP | Buy | 1.05596→1.07543 | +13.21 | timeout |
| 06-24 16:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0753218→0.0738816 | -14.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | ETH | Buy | 1633.06→1602.54 | -14.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:44 | SOL | Buy | 68.9103→67.614 | -14.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:31 | BTC | Buy | 61862.1→60708.6 | -14.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.150558→0.147609 | -15.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 09:35 | BTC | Buy | 63043.2→62650.9 | -5.38 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.150758→0.153942 | +15.09 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:21 | XRP | Buy | 1.10288→1.10762 | +2.58 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:30 | BTC | Buy | 62432.1→62458.9 | -0.36 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:18 | ETH | Buy | 1652.97→1664.03 | +4.33 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:14 | SOL | Buy | 68.9933→69.1226 | +0.83 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:28 | ADA | Buy | 0.153848→0.150927 | -14.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:24 | BTC | Buy | 63459.2→62276.7 | -14.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | ADA | Buy | 0.15938→0.156253 | -15.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:28 | XRP | Buy | 1.14379→1.12186 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 20:38 | BTC | Buy | 65013.3→64448.8 | -7.20 | timeout |
| 06-22 17:27 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0835869→0.0831142 | -4.93 | timeout |
| 06-22 16:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.16145→0.158371 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:50 | ADA | Buy | 0.16048→0.162599 | +9.17 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:50 | SOL | Buy | 73.7901→73.7969 | -0.65 | timeout |
| 06-22 09:26 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0836809→0.0835771 | -1.63 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:03 | BTC | Buy | 63751.2→64164.8 | +4.18 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:11 | ETH | Buy | 1706.57→1736.93 | +12.66 | timeout |
| 06-22 00:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833538→0.0828823 | -4.91 | timeout |
| 06-21 23:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.16044→0.157232 | -15.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 22:54 | BTC | Buy | 64056.2→63770.8 | -4.00 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:08 | SOL | Buy | 74.5352→73.1334 | -14.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.16097→0.16188 | +3.53 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:32 | XRP | Buy | 1.14329→1.14521 | +0.53 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:23 | SOL | Buy | 73.0099→73.9739 | +9.15 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:14 | BTC | Buy | 64179.2→64031.8 | -2.36 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:13 | ETH | Buy | 1733.07→1721.63 | -5.62 | timeout |
| 06-21 10:13 | SOL | Buy | 73.203→74.0189 | +7.61 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.162911→0.15978 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 00:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.16197→0.163209 | +5.05 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:55 | XRP | Buy | 1.14499→1.15171 | +3.66 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:55 | ETH | Buy | 1732.47→1743.23 | +3.92 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:48 | BTC | Buy | 63866.2→64251.8 | +3.85 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:34 | SOL | Buy | 71.9438→74.2309 | +23.09 | take_profit |
| 06-20 14:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.15978 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 13:09 | ETH | Buy | 1717.87→1726.43 | +3.01 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:09 | BTC | Buy | 63678.2→63604.8 | -1.56 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:43 | SOL | Buy | 70.8096→71.5293 | +6.91 | timeout |
| 06-20 11:35 | XRP | Buy | 1.13848→1.14761 | +5.37 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:40 | BTC | Buy | 63239.2→63711.8 | +4.92 | timeout |
| 06-20 05:04 | XRP | Buy | 1.13318→1.14321 | +6.01 | timeout |
| 06-19 22:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.16173→0.16066 | -5.55 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:46 | BTC | Buy | 62492.1→63200.8 | +7.88 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.12318→1.13492 | +7.19 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0826196→0.0826683 | -0.19 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:08 | ETH | Buy | 1695.07→1695.83 | -0.34 | timeout |
| 06-19 08:18 | BTC | Buy | 62849.1→62582.9 | -3.77 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.162091→0.158941 | -15.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 04:55 | SOL | Buy | 69.5024→68.1966 | -14.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 23:54 | XRP | Buy | 1.13668→1.14641 | +5.69 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:41 | BTC | Buy | 62746.1→62897.9 | +1.17 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.16108→0.163179 | +9.02 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:40 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0821895→0.0834321 | +10.62 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:36 | SOL | Buy | 70.9176→69.5648 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 14:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0845851→0.083974 | -6.04 | timeout |
| 06-18 14:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.16609→1.15881 | -5.33 | timeout |
| 06-18 12:06 | ADA | Buy | 0.166362→0.164789 | -7.82 | timeout |
| 06-18 04:05 | ETH | Buy | 1741.17→1738.13 | -2.02 | timeout |
| 06-18 03:34 | BTC | Buy | 64419.2→64286.8 | -2.23 | timeout |
| 06-17 21:47 | SOL | Buy | 72.6709→71.4653 | -13.15 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:20 | XRP | Buy | 1.2124→1.18911 | -15.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:05 | BTC | Buy | 64592.2→65355.7 | +8.14 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:55 | ETH | Buy | 1763.78→1772.82 | +3.14 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859445→0.0872152 | +10.34 | timeout |
| 06-17 11:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.2136→1.19051 | -14.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 09:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.170973→0.168508 | -11.53 | timeout |
| 06-17 05:28 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0875389→0.0874491 | -1.45 | timeout |
| 06-16 16:32 | ETH | Buy | 1784.38→1775.32 | -4.54 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:32 | BTC | Buy | 66583.3→65344 | -14.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0883341→0.086645 | -15.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.178335→0.174899 | -15.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.24821→1.22438 | -14.99 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
273
closed
38%
win rate
-806.83
total pnl ($)
-39.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 62 | 39% | -37.2 | -172.13 |
| BTC | 45 | 40% | -30.1 | -101.73 |
| XRP | 44 | 41% | -38.8 | -127.18 |
| DOGE | 42 | 36% | -40.8 | -128.98 |
| ETH | 41 | 32% | -69.3 | -213.41 |
| SOL | 39 | 44% | -21.7 | -63.40 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 5)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 05:59 | DOGE | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 05:59 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 05:59 | XRP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 23:00 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 22:22 | XRP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||