15
closed trades
47%
win rate
-1.67
total pnl ($)
1.251
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-18 21:26:11 (40.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
aga__restored_e1d3512d
n: 16
· wr: 37.5%
· total_bps: -487.2
· mean_bps: -30.45
· sharpe: -0.60
· max_dd_bps: -512.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 15 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 23:51 | BTC | Buy | 66502.3→66289.7 | -0.31 | timeout |
| 06-09 18:00 | BTC | Buy | 61469.1→61688.9 | +0.20 | timeout |
| 06-08 05:32 | BTC | Buy | 63041.2→62599.9 | -0.59 | timeout |
| 06-08 02:03 | BTC | Buy | 62964.1→63144.8 | +0.15 | timeout |
| 06-06 21:32 | BTC | Buy | 60531→60893 | +0.38 | timeout |
| 06-06 13:58 | BTC | Buy | 60514→60794 | +0.28 | timeout |
| 06-01 17:46 | BTC | Buy | 71524.6→71649.4 | +0.06 | timeout |
| 05-31 03:23 | BTC | Buy | 73904.7→74129.3 | +0.16 | timeout |
| 05-29 13:46 | BTC | Buy | 73574.7→73231.3 | -0.42 | timeout |
| 05-27 22:38 | BTC | Buy | 75005.8→74564.3 | -0.51 | timeout |
| 05-22 22:06 | BTC | Buy | 76332.8→75834.2 | -0.56 | timeout |
| 05-22 14:06 | BTC | Buy | 77275.9→77031.1 | -0.31 | timeout |
| 05-18 18:36 | BTC | Buy | 76277.8→76395.2 | +0.05 | timeout |
| 05-12 01:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.07 | timeout |
| 05-09 11:33 | BTC | Buy | 80402→80289 | -0.17 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
15
closed
47%
win rate
-1.67
total pnl ($)
-14.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 15 | 47% | -14.7 | -1.67 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 11:33 | BTC | Buy | -0.17 | The market was in a persistent downtrend across timeframes, with BTC declining 2% in 24 hours and negative funding indicating bearish sentiment. The thesis failed because the trade was not executed (entry=None) and was closed by timeout, resulting in a negl… |