95
closed trades
49%
win rate
+65.71
total pnl ($)
1.412
weight
7d window — n=9 wr=56% pnl=+24.44
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 95 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 12:50 | BTC | Buy | 59691→59246 | -4.20 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:46 | BTC | Buy | 61216.1→59703.1 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | BTC | Sell | 62644.9→59891 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-24 08:02 | BTC | Sell | 62475.9→62650.1 | -1.80 | timeout |
| 06-23 12:19 | BTC | Sell | 63911.8→62405.1 | +11.24 | timeout |
| 06-23 00:02 | BTC | Sell | 64720.8→63966.2 | +5.36 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:24 | BTC | Buy | 63723.2→64174.8 | +3.05 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:18 | BTC | Sell | 64240.8→63692.2 | +3.82 | timeout |
| 06-21 10:15 | BTC | Sell | 64076.8→64239.2 | -1.67 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:10 | BTC | Sell | 63656.8→64004.2 | -3.18 | timeout |
| 06-20 10:10 | BTC | Sell | 63041.8→63663.2 | -5.34 | timeout |
| 06-19 22:03 | BTC | Sell | 62363.9→63053.2 | -5.95 | timeout |
| 06-19 09:59 | BTC | Sell | 62946.9→62372.1 | +4.06 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:37 | BTC | Buy | 64433.2→62840.4 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 09:13 | BTC | Sell | 64305.8→64347.2 | -0.75 | timeout |
| 06-17 21:08 | BTC | Sell | 64944.8→64343.2 | +4.17 | timeout |
| 06-17 09:08 | BTC | Sell | 65868.7→64951.2 | +6.53 | timeout |
| 06-16 21:04 | BTC | Sell | 66815.7→65840.3 | +6.89 | timeout |
| 06-16 06:25 | BTC | Sell | 66787.7→66236.3 | +3.65 | timeout |
| 06-15 18:22 | BTC | Sell | 65859.7→66821.3 | -7.69 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:40 | BTC | Sell | 63669.8→65249.9 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 18:16 | BTC | Sell | 64441.8→63713.2 | +5.25 | timeout |
| 06-14 06:13 | BTC | Sell | 64044.8→64442.2 | -3.56 | timeout |
| 06-13 18:08 | BTC | Sell | 63562.8→64041.2 | -4.20 | timeout |
| 06-13 06:11 | BTC | Sell | 63844.8→63572.2 | +1.69 | timeout |
| 06-12 18:07 | BTC | Sell | 63372.8→63832.2 | -4.07 | timeout |
| 06-12 06:04 | BTC | Sell | 63502.8→63370.2 | +0.62 | timeout |
| 06-11 18:04 | BTC | Sell | 62569.9→63526.2 | -8.04 | timeout |
| 06-11 06:01 | BTC | Sell | 61967.9→62590.1 | -5.40 | timeout |
| 06-10 01:16 | BTC | Sell | 62508.9→62023.1 | +3.40 | timeout |
| 06-09 13:12 | BTC | Sell | 62637.9→62624.1 | -0.36 | timeout |
| 06-09 01:10 | BTC | Sell | 63791.8→62608.1 | +8.82 | timeout |
| 06-08 13:03 | BTC | Sell | 63485.8→63733.2 | -2.39 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:14 | BTC | Sell | 61858.9→63466.9 | -13.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 06:36 | BTC | Sell | 60755→62251.2 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 20:51 | BTC | Sell | 61371.9→60703 | +4.97 | timeout |
| 06-06 08:50 | BTC | Sell | 61732.9→61384.1 | +2.42 | timeout |
| 06-05 16:12 | BTC | Sell | 62490.9→59743 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-05 08:51 | BTC | Sell | 63521.8→62504.1 | +7.54 | timeout |
| 06-04 21:12 | BTC | Sell | 63272.8→63770.2 | -4.38 | timeout |
| 06-04 01:50 | BTC | Sell | 65277.7→62411.1 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-03 20:26 | BTC | Sell | 67013.6→65562.3 | +10.42 | timeout |
| 06-03 11:31 | BTC | Sell | 66284.7→67243.4 | -7.62 | timeout |
| 06-02 08:31 | BTC | Sell | 71605.4→70036.5 | +10.57 | timeout |
| 06-01 17:31 | BTC | Sell | 73376.3→71713.6 | +10.96 | timeout |
| 06-01 01:36 | BTC | Sell | 73931.3→73627.7 | +1.60 | timeout |
| 05-31 11:44 | BTC | Sell | 73770.3→73913.7 | -1.35 | timeout |
| 05-30 21:41 | BTC | Sell | 73522.3→73964.7 | -3.40 | timeout |
| 05-29 23:33 | BTC | Sell | 73498.3→73351.7 | +0.57 | timeout |
| 05-29 11:27 | BTC | Sell | 73609.3→73580.7 | -0.23 | timeout |
| 05-28 23:03 | BTC | Sell | 73400.3→73541.7 | -1.34 | timeout |
| 05-28 10:59 | BTC | Sell | 74378.3→73372.7 | +6.32 | timeout |
| 05-27 19:59 | BTC | Buy | 75927.8→75016.2 | -6.49 | timeout |
| 05-26 21:52 | BTC | Buy | 76632.8→75919.2 | -5.13 | timeout |
| 05-26 09:52 | BTC | Buy | 77282.9→76625.2 | -4.70 | timeout |
| 05-25 13:59 | BTC | Buy | 76884.8→77290.1 | +2.14 | timeout |
| 05-25 01:59 | BTC | Buy | 76695.8→76866.2 | +0.64 | timeout |
| 05-24 07:46 | BTC | Buy | 75870.8→76801.2 | +5.62 | timeout |
| 05-23 19:45 | BTC | Sell | 75186.2→75896.8 | -5.15 | timeout |
| 05-23 07:45 | BTC | Sell | 75752.2→75197.8 | +3.21 | timeout |
| 05-22 19:45 | BTC | Sell | 77426.1→75772.8 | +10.25 | timeout |
| 05-22 07:45 | BTC | Sell | 77586.1→77432.9 | +0.55 | timeout |
| 05-21 19:43 | BTC | Sell | 77673.1→77592.9 | +0.12 | timeout |
| 05-21 07:43 | BTC | Sell | 77594.1→77680.9 | -0.97 | timeout |
| 05-20 19:44 | BTC | Sell | 77346.1→77601.9 | -2.06 | timeout |
| 05-20 07:43 | BTC | Sell | 76844.2→77353.9 | -3.70 | timeout |
| 05-19 19:43 | BTC | Sell | 77246.1→76851.8 | +2.18 | timeout |
| 05-19 07:42 | BTC | Sell | 76683.2→77176.9 | -3.64 | timeout |
| 05-18 19:43 | BTC | Sell | 76915.2→76732.8 | +0.78 | timeout |
| 05-16 17:00 | BTC | Buy | 78992.9→78989 | -0.52 | timeout |
| 05-16 00:59 | BTC | Sell | 80319→79031 | +7.55 | timeout |
| 05-12 10:43 | BTC | Sell | 81715.9→81724.1 | -0.44 | timeout |
| 05-11 22:01 | BTC | Sell | 80965→81831.1 | -5.79 | timeout |
| 05-10 21:01 | BTC | Sell | 80854→80771 | +0.08 | timeout |
| 05-10 01:22 | BTC | Sell | 80324→80592 | -2.13 | timeout |
| 05-09 13:21 | BTC | Sell | 80268→80332 | -0.84 | timeout |
| 05-09 01:20 | BTC | Sell | 79752→80276 | -3.78 | timeout |
| 05-08 13:20 | BTC | Sell | 79735→79760 | -0.60 | timeout |
| 05-08 01:20 | BTC | Sell | 80999.9→79743 | +7.34 | timeout |
| 05-07 13:18 | BTC | Sell | 81001.9→81008.1 | -0.45 | timeout |
| 05-07 01:18 | BTC | Sell | 82088.9→81010.1 | +6.09 | timeout |
| 05-06 13:16 | BTC | Buy | 79794→82088.9 | +13.85 | timeout |
| 05-04 15:01 | BTC | Sell | 80084→80297 | -1.80 | timeout |
| 05-04 03:01 | BTC | Sell | 78739.1→80092 | -8.98 | timeout |
| 05-03 15:00 | BTC | Sell | 78120.1→78746.9 | -4.41 | timeout |
| 05-02 20:03 | BTC | Buy | 78166.9→78417.1 | +1.16 | timeout |
| 05-02 08:03 | BTC | Buy | 78312.9→78159.1 | -1.47 | timeout |
| 05-01 20:02 | BTC | Buy | 77078.9→78305.1 | +7.54 | timeout |
| 04-30 04:01 | BTC | Buy | 75828→75902 | +0.04 | timeout |
| 04-29 16:01 | BTC | Sell | 76945→75828 | +6.81 | timeout |
| 04-29 04:01 | BTC | Buy | 76015→76932 | +5.58 | timeout |
| 04-28 16:01 | BTC | Buy | 76774→76015 | -5.39 | timeout |
| 04-28 02:01 | BTC | Sell | 77780→77058 | +4.19 | timeout |
| 04-27 14:02 | BTC | Sell | 79171→77736 | +8.61 | timeout |
| 04-26 21:55 | BTC | Sell | 77920→78933 | -6.95 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
95
closed
49%
win rate
+65.71
total pnl ($)
+13.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
3
closed
0%
win rate
-5.77
total pnl ($)
-44.7 bps
avg bps net
Live: 3 trades (insufficient sample, <5)
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 95 | 49% | +13.7 | +65.71 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 21:02 | BTC | Sell | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 01:22 | BTC | Sell | -2.13 | BTC was trading in a mild uptrend with positive short-term momentum across the 1h and 24h periods. The short thesis failed because the market continued to grind higher, and the trade was closed by timeout without reaching a favorable exit. |
| 05-09 13:21 | BTC | Sell | -0.84 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC down 1.66% over 24 hours and negative funding, but the trade was a sell that expired without entry due to timeout. The thesis failed because the order was never executed, so no position was taken to capture the di… |
| 05-09 01:20 | BTC | Sell | -3.78 | The market was in a mild intraday uptick within a broader weekly downtrend, with BTC showing a slight 1-hour gain of 0.15% but still down over 1.5% on the week. The short thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout before the anticipated continuatio… |
| 05-08 13:20 | BTC | Sell | -0.60 | BTC traded in a narrow range with low volatility, showing slight hourly gains but remaining in a weekly downtrend. The short thesis failed because the market did not move decisively within the timeout period, resulting in a small loss from funding costs. |
| 05-08 01:20 | BTC | Sell | +7.34 | The market was in a low-funding, neutral regime with stable open interest, offering no clear directional bias. The thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout without hitting a target or stop, as the sideways price action never triggered the intende… |
| 05-07 13:18 | BTC | Sell | -0.45 | BTC was in a mild downtrend across all timeframes with low funding and declining open interest. The short thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout without reaching target, as the market lacked the volatility to trigger a decisive move. |
| 05-07 01:18 | BTC | Sell | +6.09 | The market was in a mild short-term uptrend with BTC gaining 0.57% on the hour, but the broader 24h and 7d trends remained negative. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected bearish move materialized, as the short-term b… |
| 05-06 13:16 | BTC | Buy | +13.85 | The market was in a broad downtrend with BTC falling 1.84% over 24 hours and 3.52% over the week, reflecting persistent bearish pressure. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without reaching its target or stop, as the ongoing decline p… |
| 05-04 15:01 | BTC | Sell | -1.80 | The market was in a tight consolidation phase with neutral funding rates and low volatility, creating an environment where directional momentum was absent. The trade failed because the anticipated move never materialized, resulting in a forced exit due to t… |
| 05-02 20:03 | BTC | Buy | +1.16 | Bitcoin was consolidating near $78,400 with minimal intraday movement (0.01% hourly, 0.17% daily) while funding rates remained deeply negative at -0.0988%, signaling persistent short overcrowding. The trade's thesis worked partially—the sustained negative f… |