187
closed trades
45%
win rate
-124.56
total pnl ($)
0.850
weight
7d window — n=28 wr=43% pnl=-26.10
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 06:42 | BTC | Buy | 63650.2→64026.8 | +2.50 | timeout |
| 06-22 00:34 | BTC | Buy | 64079.2→63740.8 | -3.10 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:19 | BTC | Buy | 64251.2→63975.8 | -2.58 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:05 | BTC | Sell | 64364.8→64178.2 | +0.98 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:03 | BTC | Buy | 63962.2→64191.8 | +1.34 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:02 | BTC | Buy | 64026.2→64234.8 | +1.14 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:59 | BTC | Buy | 63728.2→63819.8 | +0.27 | timeout |
| 06-20 11:51 | BTC | Sell | 63430.8→63730.2 | -2.80 | timeout |
| 06-20 05:48 | BTC | Sell | 63092.8→63591.2 | -4.40 | timeout |
| 06-19 23:47 | BTC | Sell | 63216.8→63282.2 | -0.96 | timeout |
| 06-19 17:38 | BTC | Sell | 62411.9→63009.2 | -5.23 | timeout |
| 06-19 11:34 | BTC | Sell | 62752.9→62595.1 | +0.78 | timeout |
| 06-19 05:31 | BTC | Sell | 62938.9→62644.1 | +1.87 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:46 | BTC | Sell | 62805.9→62865.1 | -0.95 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:36 | BTC | Buy | 64216.2→63022.3 | -9.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 11:30 | BTC | Buy | 64297.2→64031.8 | -2.54 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:34 | BTC | Buy | 64304.2→63918.8 | -3.46 | timeout |
| 06-17 23:27 | BTC | Sell | 65310.7→64436.2 | +6.24 | timeout |
| 06-17 17:16 | BTC | Buy | 64963.2→65810.7 | +6.05 | timeout |
| 06-17 11:15 | BTC | Sell | 65783.7→64583.2 | +8.70 | timeout |
| 06-17 05:18 | BTC | Sell | 65734.7→65760.3 | -0.63 | timeout |
| 06-16 23:10 | BTC | Sell | 65800.7→65746.3 | -0.01 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:31 | BTC | Buy | 66674.3→65433 | -9.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 11:06 | BTC | Buy | 65774.3→66500.7 | +5.05 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:59 | BTC | Buy | 66476.3→65844.7 | -5.19 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:54 | BTC | Sell | 66589.7→66196.3 | +2.52 | timeout |
| 06-15 13:19 | BTC | Sell | 65630.7→66852.8 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 10:52 | BTC | Sell | 65462.7→65723.3 | -2.44 | timeout |
| 06-15 04:46 | BTC | Buy | 64026.2→65656.7 | +12.27 | timeout |
| 06-14 22:43 | BTC | Buy | 63893.2→65366.7 | +11.07 | timeout |
| 06-14 16:43 | BTC | Buy | 64454.2→64129.8 | -2.98 | timeout |
| 06-14 10:40 | BTC | Sell | 64513.8→64607.2 | -1.17 | timeout |
| 06-14 04:36 | BTC | Sell | 64224.8→64438.2 | -2.13 | timeout |
| 06-13 22:35 | BTC | Sell | 64151.8→64518.2 | -3.30 | timeout |
| 06-13 16:30 | BTC | Sell | 63771.8→63961.2 | -1.94 | timeout |
| 06-13 11:20 | BTC | Sell | 63579.8→63953.2 | -3.35 | timeout |
| 06-13 05:17 | BTC | Sell | 63614.8→63527.2 | +0.23 | timeout |
| 06-12 23:16 | BTC | Buy | 64278.2→63469.8 | -6.78 | timeout |
| 06-12 16:26 | BTC | Sell | 63459.8→63887.2 | -3.80 | timeout |
| 06-12 10:41 | BTC | Sell | 63560.8→63647.2 | -1.11 | timeout |
| 06-12 04:34 | BTC | Buy | 63377.2→63693.8 | +2.03 | timeout |
| 06-11 22:26 | BTC | Buy | 62916.1→63525.8 | +4.35 | timeout |
| 06-11 16:20 | BTC | Buy | 62801.1→62779.9 | -0.66 | timeout |
| 06-11 10:15 | BTC | Sell | 62147.9→62892.1 | -6.39 | timeout |
| 06-11 04:03 | BTC | Sell | 61818.9→62623.1 | -6.91 | timeout |
| 06-10 21:58 | BTC | Buy | 62114.1→61171.9 | -8.04 | timeout |
| 06-10 15:51 | BTC | Buy | 61657.1→62346.9 | +5.13 | timeout |
| 06-09 23:58 | BTC | Sell | 61083.9→62023.1 | -8.16 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:29 | BTC | Buy | 62652.1→61486.2 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 11:53 | BTC | Buy | 62725.1→62605.9 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 06-09 05:52 | BTC | Sell | 63717.8→63364.2 | +2.34 | timeout |
| 06-08 23:52 | BTC | Buy | 63963.2→63035.8 | -7.71 | timeout |
| 06-08 17:45 | BTC | Buy | 63325.2→63372.8 | -0.11 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:42 | BTC | Buy | 63166.2→63696.8 | +3.74 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:14 | BTC | Sell | 62095.9→63251.8 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 22:14 | BTC | Sell | 61677.9→62826.5 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 17:38 | BTC | Sell | 62506.9→62292.1 | +1.26 | timeout |
| 06-07 08:46 | BTC | Sell | 61630.9→62778.5 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 05:20 | BTC | Buy | 60851→61960.9 | +8.68 | timeout |
| 06-06 23:14 | BTC | Buy | 60591→60719 | +0.63 | timeout |
| 06-06 17:11 | BTC | Sell | 61233.9→60657 | +4.25 | timeout |
| 06-06 11:03 | BTC | Sell | 60864→60657 | +1.24 | timeout |
| 06-05 23:33 | BTC | Buy | 61630.1→60483.7 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 21:03 | BTC | Sell | 60706→61836 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 14:04 | BTC | Sell | 62527.9→60533 | +15.50 | take_profit |
| 06-05 11:47 | BTC | Sell | 62776.9→62160.1 | +4.47 | timeout |
| 06-05 04:57 | BTC | Sell | 63522.8→63222.2 | +1.90 | timeout |
| 06-04 17:32 | BTC | Buy | 64231.2→63036.3 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 17:08 | BTC | Buy | 63287.2→63459.8 | +0.89 | timeout |
| 06-04 10:49 | BTC | Sell | 64397.8→62343.1 | +15.47 | take_profit |
| 06-04 00:38 | BTC | Sell | 65284.7→63201.2 | +15.50 | take_profit |
| 06-03 19:52 | BTC | Buy | 66731.3→65490 | -9.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 12:44 | BTC | Buy | 66433.3→66933.7 | +3.33 | timeout |
| 06-03 11:54 | BTC | Buy | 65907.3→67042.6 | +8.12 | timeout |
| 06-03 03:33 | BTC | Buy | 67251.4→65998.7 | -9.77 | stop_loss |
| 05-31 21:48 | BTC | Sell | 73840.3→73889.7 | -0.78 | timeout |
| 05-31 13:45 | BTC | Sell | 74065.3→73861.7 | +0.92 | timeout |
| 05-31 07:44 | BTC | Buy | 73778.7→73822.3 | -0.20 | timeout |
| 05-31 05:28 | BTC | Sell | 73956.3→74124.7 | -1.57 | timeout |
| 05-30 17:41 | BTC | Sell | 73522.3→73907.7 | -3.03 | timeout |
| 05-30 07:32 | BTC | Buy | 73351.7→73514.3 | +0.65 | timeout |
| 05-29 20:50 | BTC | Buy | 73215.7→73696.3 | +2.82 | timeout |
| 05-29 14:34 | BTC | Sell | 73678.3→72824.6 | +5.39 | timeout |
| 05-29 06:18 | BTC | Sell | 73673.3→73387.7 | +1.53 | timeout |
| 05-29 00:24 | BTC | Sell | 73289.3→73822.7 | -4.04 | timeout |
| 05-28 18:05 | BTC | Sell | 73470.3→73585.7 | -1.19 | timeout |
| 05-28 11:57 | BTC | Sell | 73162.3→73482.7 | -2.62 | timeout |
| 05-28 05:57 | BTC | Sell | 74307.3→72981.6 | +8.48 | timeout |
| 05-27 23:57 | BTC | Buy | 75275.8→74414.3 | -6.19 | timeout |
| 05-27 17:56 | BTC | Buy | 75862.8→74776.3 | -7.63 | timeout |
| 05-27 11:56 | BTC | Sell | 75635.2→75743.8 | -1.21 | timeout |
| 05-27 05:55 | BTC | Sell | 75903.2→75670.8 | +1.04 | timeout |
| 05-26 23:54 | BTC | Sell | 76239.2→75886.8 | +1.87 | timeout |
| 05-26 17:52 | BTC | Buy | 76632.8→76021.2 | -4.45 | timeout |
| 05-26 11:52 | BTC | Buy | 76611.8→77207.1 | +3.43 | timeout |
| 05-26 05:52 | BTC | Sell | 77268.1→76830.8 | +2.38 | timeout |
| 05-25 16:03 | BTC | Buy | 77339.9→77535.1 | +0.78 | timeout |
| 05-25 10:03 | BTC | Buy | 77011.9→77534.1 | +2.89 | timeout |
| 05-25 04:03 | BTC | Buy | 76673.8→77010.1 | +1.73 | timeout |
| 05-24 22:03 | BTC | Buy | 76698.8→76516.2 | -1.64 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
187
closed
45%
win rate
-124.56
total pnl ($)
-13.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 187 | 45% | -13.3 | -124.56 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 23:06 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 09:28 | BTC | Buy | +0.96 | The market was in a low-funding, sideways regime with stable open interest, offering no clear directional catalyst. The thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching a target or stop, as the lack of volatility prevented any meaningful price movem… |
| 05-10 03:26 | BTC | Buy | -0.93 | The market was in a neutral to slightly bearish regime with negative funding and moderate open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, indicating the expected price movement did not materialize within the allotted time. |
| 05-09 21:27 | BTC | Buy | +2.10 | BTC was trading in a narrow range near $79,953 with low volatility and mixed short-term momentum. The trade was closed by timeout, failing to reach a profit target because the market lacked directional conviction to trigger an exit. |
| 05-09 15:25 | BTC | Sell | -1.29 | BTC was trading in a narrow, low-volatility range near $79,495 with minimal directional bias across timeframes. The short thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout without reaching a target or stop, as the market lacked the momentum needed to gene… |
| 05-09 09:24 | BTC | Sell | -0.79 | The market was in a mild intraday uptick within a broader weekly downtrend, with BTC up 0.05% on the hour but down over 2% on the week. The short thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the anticipated continuation of the weekly bearish… |
| 05-09 03:22 | BTC | Buy | +2.30 | The market was in a mild downtrend with negative 24h and 7d performance for both BTC and ETH. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to timeout, indicating the anticipated move did not materialize within the expected timeframe. |
| 05-08 21:22 | BTC | Buy | +2.37 | The market was in a short-term uptrend with BTC gaining 0.47% in the hour, but the broader 24-hour and weekly trends remained negative. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, indicating the expected move did not materialize within … |
| 05-08 15:22 | BTC | Sell | -3.90 | The market was in a sustained downtrend across timeframes, with BTC falling 2.45% in 24 hours and negative funding. The short thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the downtrend could fully materialize into a profitable exit. |
| 05-08 09:20 | BTC | Sell | -1.83 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC falling 2% over 24 hours and negative momentum across crypto. The short thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, resulting in a small loss from funding costs. |
| 05-08 03:19 | BTC | Sell | +2.11 | The market was in a mild short-term uptrend with low funding and declining weekly momentum, suggesting a range-bound or consolidating regime. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, as the market rema… |