36
closed trades
50%
win rate
-0.21
total pnl ($)
1.215
weight
7d window — n=2 wr=50% pnl=-4.20
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 07:42:55 (35.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
gr
n: 17
· wr: 47.1%
· total_bps: -99.1
· mean_bps: -5.83
· sharpe: -0.08
· max_dd_bps: -427.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 36 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 05:34 | SOL | Buy | 71.8848→70.8899 | -7.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 03:02 | SOL | Buy | 71.8438→72.3571 | +3.14 | timeout |
| 06-13 04:01 | SOL | Buy | 66.768→66.873 | +0.36 | timeout |
| 06-12 06:34 | SOL | Buy | 66.919→65.9921 | -7.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 01:41 | SOL | Buy | 63.2335→64.6073 | +10.41 | take_profit |
| 06-09 21:03 | SOL | Buy | 64.2986→65.5232 | +9.08 | timeout |
| 06-09 02:38 | ETH | Buy | 1676.77→1653.61 | -7.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 22:00 | ETH | Buy | 1688.67→1697.23 | +2.11 | timeout |
| 06-08 10:05 | SOL | Buy | 65.4818→66.2321 | +5.32 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:13 | SOL | Buy | 64.5887→65.9901 | +10.43 | take_profit |
| 06-07 19:03 | SOL | Buy | 65.2008→64.3012 | -7.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 19:05 | SOL | Buy | 61.9613→61.7147 | -2.42 | timeout |
| 06-06 08:32 | ETH | Buy | 1555.36→1589.34 | +10.46 | take_profit |
| 06-06 01:21 | SOL | Buy | 64.7297→63.8235 | -7.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 20:05 | SOL | Buy | 63.5705→62.6882 | -7.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 16:10 | ETH | Buy | 1574.26→1552.47 | -7.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 07:07 | SOL | Buy | 65.0338→64.1283 | -7.41 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 02:00 | SOL | Buy | 67.7272→68.5217 | +5.47 | timeout |
| 06-04 03:16 | SOL | Buy | 69.5884→71.0993 | +10.41 | take_profit |
| 06-03 15:41 | SOL | Buy | 74.2991→73.2693 | -7.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 05:04 | SOL | Buy | 72.9579→74.5518 | +10.48 | take_profit |
| 06-02 22:47 | SOL | Buy | 75.5433→74.5015 | -7.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 19:28 | SOL | Buy | 76.5145→75.4509 | -7.38 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 03:18 | SOL | Buy | 82.4414→81.3011 | -7.36 | stop_loss |
| 05-27 04:30 | SOL | Buy | 84.1156→82.9461 | -7.38 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 22:03 | SOL | Buy | 83.5595→83.7574 | +0.75 | timeout |
| 05-26 12:00 | SOL | Buy | 84.3266→85.1492 | +4.41 | timeout |
| 05-25 08:00 | SOL | Buy | 84.8927→85.9021 | +5.47 | timeout |
| 05-25 02:02 | BTC | Buy | 76487.8→76965.2 | +2.66 | timeout |
| 05-24 04:01 | SOL | Buy | 85.6758→85.8481 | +0.55 | timeout |
| 05-23 18:00 | SOL | Buy | 83.2165→84.1234 | +4.99 | timeout |
| 05-23 12:59 | BTC | Buy | 74646.7→74697.3 | -0.11 | timeout |
| 05-15 13:46 | BTC | Buy | 80062→78976.5 | -7.23 | stop_loss |
| 05-12 02:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.46 | timeout |
| 05-11 23:00 | BTC | Buy | 81833.1→81715.9 | -1.17 | timeout |
| 05-06 08:33 | BTC | Buy | 79935→81689.9 | +10.45 | take_profit |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
36
closed
50%
win rate
-0.21
total pnl ($)
-0.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 26 | 54% | -2.0 | -2.24 |
| BTC | 6 | 33% | +14.0 | +4.15 |
| ETH | 4 | 50% | -10.8 | -2.12 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 08:33 | BTC | Buy | +10.45 | The market was in a mild downtrend across timeframes with negative funding and declining open interest. The thesis worked because the take-profit was triggered during a short-lived bounce in the broader bearish regime. |