halving_top_trader_divergence_looser_bearish

72

closed trades

50%

win rate

+202.40

total pnl ($)

1.092

weight

7d window — n=7 wr=29% pnl=-20.71 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-03 17:13:23 (23.1d ago) · src: canon

verdict: PASS · strict: STRICT-PASS · batch: strategies_batch_amh

n: 141 · wr: 46.1% · total_bps: +2360.2 · mean_bps: +16.74 · sharpe: +0.09 · max_dd_bps: -2208.7

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-25 23:27	SOL	Sell	66.3011→67.9952	-13.22	stop_loss
06-25 17:16	AVAX	Sell	6.09857→6.25639	-8.05	stop_loss
06-25 13:58	BTC	Sell	60811→58140.9	+21.46	take_profit
06-25 13:43	AVAX	Sell	6.52927→6.24476	+12.80	take_profit
06-25 06:41	ETH	Sell	1613.74→1654.09	-12.93	stop_loss
06-25 06:15	SOL	Sell	67.7788→69.4621	-12.88	stop_loss
06-25 05:08	AVAX	Sell	6.4151→6.57783	-7.89	stop_loss
06-18 15:37	BTC	Sell	65837.7→62935.1	+20.86	take_profit
06-17 22:03	AVAX	Sell	6.97456→6.66977	+12.66	take_profit
06-17 20:20	AVAX	Sell	6.90617→6.74729	+10.74	timeout
06-17 01:22	ADA	Sell	0.178855→0.171063	+21.18	take_profit
06-17 01:00	ADA	Sell	0.179445→0.171633	+21.18	take_profit
06-16 12:16	ETH	Sell	1776.32→1821.19	-7.83	stop_loss
06-16 08:17	AVAX	Sell	6.8008→6.97203	-13.06	stop_loss
06-15 16:32	AVAX	Sell	6.90207→7.0756	-13.01	stop_loss
06-15 11:20	AVAX	Sell	6.76011→6.92959	-12.94	stop_loss
06-14 21:40	ETH	Sell	1675.43→1716.93	-7.66	stop_loss
06-14 21:25	ADA	Sell	0.167198→0.171388	-12.96	stop_loss
06-14 20:10	ETH	Sell	1663.63→1663.47	-0.18	timeout
06-14 18:22	AVAX	Sell	6.71042→6.4169	+21.26	take_profit
06-14 18:22	AVAX	Sell	6.70932→6.4169	+12.65	take_profit
06-14 12:17	AVAX	Sell	6.62924→6.64236	-0.93	timeout
06-14 08:09	ETH	Sell	1665.23→1675.87	-2.17	timeout
06-14 04:09	AVAX	Sell	6.64294→6.70718	-5.21	timeout
06-13 20:07	AVAX	Sell	6.66183→6.70067	-3.33	timeout
06-12 07:50	AVAX	Sell	6.55676→6.55044	+0.02	timeout
06-11 17:32	ETH	Sell	1638.64→1680.11	-13.03	stop_loss
06-11 11:30	ETH	Sell	1625.54→1665.8	-12.78	stop_loss
06-11 10:55	BTC	Sell	61674.9→63201.7	-12.66	stop_loss
06-11 01:41	SOL	Sell	63.2915→64.8641	-12.86	stop_loss
06-10 13:49	BTC	Sell	60965→62469.3	-12.77	stop_loss
06-10 13:44	ETH	Sell	1627.54→1668.2	-12.96	stop_loss
06-10 04:05	BTC	Sell	62915.9→62023.1	+6.51	timeout
06-09 18:18	AVAX	Sell	6.49937→6.66239	-12.98	stop_loss
06-09 05:34	ADA	Sell	0.165879→0.170108	-13.20	stop_loss
06-08 15:01	SOL	Sell	65.8371→67.4728	-7.72	stop_loss
06-08 15:01	AVAX	Sell	6.67243→6.84003	-7.81	stop_loss
06-08 11:22	ADA	Sell	0.163099→0.167215	-13.02	stop_loss
06-07 22:14	SOL	Sell	64.9922→66.6233	-7.95	stop_loss
06-05 20:09	ETH	Sell	1552.14→1590.75	-7.74	stop_loss
06-05 20:09	BTC	Sell	59259→60719.4	-7.66	stop_loss
06-05 18:44	BTC	Sell	62455.9→59713	+12.92	take_profit
06-05 16:11	BTC	Sell	62609.9→59860	+21.47	take_profit
06-05 14:06	ETH	Sell	1675.63→1602.16	+12.88	take_profit
06-05 06:24	AVAX	Sell	7.35386→7.03286	+21.39	take_profit
06-05 06:22	ETH	Sell	1727.23→1651.17	+12.94	take_profit
06-04 02:03	ADA	Sell	0.19873→0.190078	+21.33	take_profit
06-04 01:49	BTC	Sell	65356.7→62487.1	+12.90	take_profit
06-03 23:07	BTC	Sell	67424.6→64463.2	+12.95	take_profit
06-03 21:49	ETH	Sell	1803.42→1848.41	-7.75	stop_loss
06-03 20:55	ETH	Sell	1860.91→1779.38	+21.43	take_profit
06-03 20:48	SOL	Sell	74.6108→71.3457	+12.76	take_profit
06-02 19:31	ADA	Sell	0.223514→0.213613	+21.74	take_profit
06-02 14:27	ADA	Sell	0.226673→0.216804	+21.32	take_profit
06-02 14:27	ETH	Sell	2013.9→1923.39	+22.08	take_profit
06-02 14:27	BTC	Sell	70936.5→67799.4	+21.68	take_profit
06-02 14:10	BTC	Sell	71473.4→68333.4	+21.56	take_profit
06-02 00:14	AVAX	Sell	8.95036→8.91083	+1.09	timeout
06-01 16:13	AVAX	Sell	8.98345→8.69337	+9.60	timeout
06-01 09:39	ADA	Sell	0.234641→0.231538	+6.46	timeout
06-01 08:09	ADA	Sell	0.235091→0.231408	+7.68	timeout
05-31 16:08	ADA	Sell	0.235461→0.234028	+2.86	timeout
05-30 08:11	BTC	Sell	73372.3→73508.7	-1.29	timeout
05-29 15:34	SOL	Sell	81.1128→83.126	-12.66	stop_loss
05-29 15:33	ETH	Sell	1990.1→2039.42	-12.65	stop_loss
05-28 18:02	ADA	Sell	0.230302→0.236067	-7.76	stop_loss
05-28 18:02	ADA	Sell	0.230192→0.236067	-7.87	stop_loss
05-28 04:01	ADA	Sell	0.242049→0.231428	+21.23	take_profit
05-28 03:56	BTC	Sell	76404.2→73049.7	+12.92	take_profit
05-28 03:18	AVAX	Sell	9.30427→8.89362	+13.03	take_profit
05-28 03:18	SOL	Sell	84.5263→80.8071	+21.51	take_profit
05-28 03:17	ETH	Sell	2094.69→2002.7	+12.77	take_profit

Paper (trades.jsonl)

72

closed

50%

win rate

+202.40

total pnl ($)

+68.9 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
AVAX	20	50%	+55.4	+30.01
ETH	16	31%	-15.5	-15.58
BTC	14	71%	+229.6	+130.85
ADA	14	64%	+113.1	+90.17
SOL	8	25%	-86.8	-33.04

time	sym	side	reason
06-26 00:14	ETH	Sell	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 16:12	SOL	Sell	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 16:12	ETH	Sell	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 15:21	AVAX	Sell	below_min_notional_skip
06-24 23:10	AVAX	Sell	below_min_notional_skip
06-24 23:09	SOL	Sell	below_min_notional_skip
06-24 23:09	ETH	Sell	below_min_notional_skip
06-24 23:08	BTC	Sell	below_min_notional_skip

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 72 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 8)

Postmortem feed (last 10)