governance_voting_activity_surge

61

closed trades

38%

win rate

-43.53

total pnl ($)

1.187

weight

7d window — n=10 wr=50% pnl=-6.56 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-18 22:19:41 (39.9d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: ahr__restored_1f3cec5e

n: 28 · wr: 39.3% · total_bps: -682.5 · mean_bps: -24.38 · sharpe: -0.39 · max_dd_bps: -888.8

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 10:42	BTC	Buy	60275→60401	+0.29	timeout
06-26 19:13	BTC	Buy	59465→59978	+1.91	timeout
06-26 02:02	BTC	Buy	59571→59346	-1.16	timeout
06-25 11:03	BTC	Buy	60773→61201.9	+1.54	timeout
06-24 13:22	BTC	Buy	62935.1→61753	-4.92	stop_loss
06-24 03:00	BTC	Buy	62212.1→62640.9	+1.49	timeout
06-23 06:20	BTC	Buy	63980.2→62790.4	-4.86	stop_loss
06-22 19:31	BTC	Buy	64420.2→64356.8	-0.47	timeout
06-22 03:15	BTC	Buy	64172.2→64069.8	-0.63	timeout
06-21 11:14	BTC	Buy	64274.2→64389.8	+0.24	timeout
06-20 18:13	BTC	Buy	63665.2→63810.8	+0.35	timeout
06-20 01:19	BTC	Buy	63075.2→63429.8	+1.18	timeout
06-19 08:24	BTC	Buy	62923.1→62674.9	-1.19	timeout
06-18 15:17	BTC	Buy	64524.2→63305.2	-4.95	stop_loss
06-17 19:20	BTC	Buy	65848.3→64623.4	-4.88	stop_loss
06-17 08:12	BTC	Buy	65743.3→65372.7	-1.63	timeout
06-16 16:08	BTC	Buy	66339.3→65805.7	-2.23	timeout
06-16 00:01	BTC	Buy	67152.4→66276.7	-3.49	timeout
06-15 08:01	BTC	Buy	65727.3→65616.7	-0.66	timeout
06-14 15:58	BTC	Buy	64429.2→63996.8	-1.93	timeout
06-13 23:54	BTC	Buy	64289.2→64386.8	+0.15	timeout
06-13 07:55	BTC	Buy	63573.2→63794.8	+0.64	timeout
06-12 15:53	BTC	Buy	62992.1→63803.8	+2.98	timeout
06-12 00:13	BTC	Buy	62747.1→63660.8	+3.39	timeout
06-11 07:58	BTC	Buy	61478.1→62693.9	+4.70	timeout
06-10 15:50	BTC	Buy	61681.1→62271.9	+2.16	timeout
06-09 13:36	BTC	Buy	63356.2→62173.8	-4.89	stop_loss
06-08 22:06	BTC	Buy	63656.2→63517.8	-0.77	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Buy	61742.1→63711.8	+7.75	take_profit
06-07 13:59	BTC	Buy	61732.1→61722.9	-0.27	timeout
06-06 21:57	BTC	Buy	60778→60726	-0.43	timeout
06-05 23:33	BTC	Buy	61717.1→60567.7	-4.88	stop_loss
06-05 06:24	BTC	Buy	62305.1→61146.4	-4.87	stop_loss
06-04 21:53	BTC	Buy	63763.2→63337.8	-1.89	timeout
06-03 23:54	BTC	Buy	65305.3→64090.7	-4.87	stop_loss
06-03 12:31	BTC	Buy	66349.3→67063.6	+2.45	timeout
06-02 14:01	BTC	Buy	69914.5→68599.3	-4.94	stop_loss
06-02 02:07	BTC	Buy	71419.6→70088.4	-4.91	stop_loss
05-31 11:36	BTC	Buy	74165.7→73885.3	-1.19	timeout
05-30 17:40	BTC	Buy	73528.7→73888.3	+0.98	timeout
05-29 08:24	BTC	Buy	73821.7→73763.3	-0.42	timeout
05-28 15:51	BTC	Buy	73363.7→72946.4	-1.67	timeout
05-27 23:47	BTC	Buy	75256.8→74423.3	-3.00	timeout
05-27 07:47	BTC	Buy	75912.8→75872.2	-0.34	timeout
05-26 15:46	BTC	Buy	76612.8→76409.2	-0.89	timeout
05-25 23:45	BTC	Buy	77619.9→77281.1	-1.33	timeout
05-25 07:45	BTC	Buy	77130.9→77282.1	+0.25	timeout
05-24 15:45	BTC	Buy	76833.8→76397.2	-1.65	timeout
05-23 23:44	BTC	Buy	75456.8→76676.2	+3.80	timeout
05-23 07:44	BTC	Buy	75783.8→75239.2	-2.02	timeout
05-22 15:44	BTC	Buy	77445.9→76671.2	-2.74	timeout
05-21 23:43	BTC	Buy	77199.9→77681.1	+1.32	timeout
05-21 07:44	BTC	Buy	77477.9→77673.1	+0.39	timeout
05-20 15:43	BTC	Buy	77356.9→77428.1	-0.02	timeout
05-19 23:43	BTC	Buy	76496.8→76888.2	+1.03	timeout
05-19 07:42	BTC	Buy	77073.9→77169.1	+0.07	timeout
05-18 15:43	BTC	Buy	76922.8→76317.2	-2.21	timeout
05-16 07:14	BTC	Buy	79068→78247.1	-2.82	timeout
05-12 06:43	BTC	Buy	81724.1→81715.9	-0.25	timeout
05-10 23:14	BTC	Buy	80998→82315.9	+3.84	timeout
05-10 07:14	BTC	Buy	80699→80712	-0.19	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

61

closed

38%

win rate

-43.53

total pnl ($)

-28.3 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	61	38%	-28.3	-43.53

time	sym	side	reason
06-27 17:12	BTC	Buy	circuit_breaker

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
05-10 07:14	BTC	Buy	-0.19	The market was in a mild uptrend over 24h and 7d but showed short-term weakness with a negative 1h candle and negative funding. The thesis failed because the trade was not executed (entry=None) and was closed by timeout, likely due to a missed fill or order…

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 61 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)

Postmortem feed (last 10)